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Is Twice the Appeal Really 9-1?

Zipse’s Kentucky Derby Daily – Day 0

Have you seen the early odds for the Kentucky Derby?

Dialed In is the favorite, no surprise there … but how about Twice the Appeal? Longshot winner of the Sunland Derby five weeks ago at 25-1 odds, and winner of three of ten lifetime, the son of Successful Appeal is currently at 9-1 for the Derby.

Are you kidding me???

Certainly the Jeff Bonde trainee merits nothing lower  than his odds were last time in New Mexico, let alone three times lower. On paper, I would list him at 30-1.

So how can this horse possibly be one of the favorites? Of course we all know the answer…

Calvin, Calvin, Calvin.

The Borel factor has taken over the Kentucky Derby betting.

Personally, I don’t see it. Calvin can’t possibly win his 4th Derby in five years … or could he?

Steve Haskin just reminded me that Twice the Appeal has the best slop breeding in the entire field.

Rain is looming here in Louisville … Calvin Borel in a muddy Kentucky Derby? Sounds way too familiar, doesn’t it?

 

 

What the Nation is saying about Is Twice the Appeal Really 9-1?...

a FRIGHTENINGLY FAST Derby! BOREL, GO TO HELL! PACK A FLASHLIGHT, Mutant!
going off at 29-1 instead of his TRUE ODDS, many zillions to one. Publicity KILLS. MUCHO MACHO MAN in
Remember RICK'S NATURAL STAR in the Breeder's Cup? Insanity ruled the day with this ROCKING HORSE
This here country LOVES LOSERS! Case in point, Georgie Bush NOT once, but twice! Anyone out there remem
This here country LOVES LOSERS! Case in point, Georgie Bush NOT once, but twice! Anyone out there re-
people bet on tta because of the toothless cajun hillbilly on his back.
Good, maybe my win ticket on Dialed In will pay more :)
People gamble just by the last race its won, not the racing style or past record.

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Meet Brian Zipse 

Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing since birth. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta. Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. 
  
As Managing Editor of Horse Racing Nation, Brian authors a daily column as Zipse at the Track, or ZATT for short, and adds his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Brian also serves on the the Board of Directors of ReRun Thoroughbred Adoption and is a Vox Populi committee member. 
  
A graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives in Suburban Chicago with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra, where he is a professional golf instructor when he is not following the horses.  



Kentucky Derby 2014