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HRN Original Blog:
Zipse At The Track

The Six Levels of the 2012 Kentucky Derby


Already fitted for a blanket of roses

As wide open as this year's Kentucky Derby may appear to be on paper, I think there are two horses who stand a great chance to win. Both Dullahan and Union Rags have shown consistent class, and the ability to rally late. The expected pace scenario should set things up perfectly for these two to be laying it down and picking them up late.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Scottie Pippen special

Raise your hand if you ever thought Scottie Pippen was the star of one of the Bulls' championship teams. *crickets* This lonely bunch includes the horse that might not get all the respect of a few going in, but he just might end up becoming a champion, and who knows, maybe even a member of the Hall of Fame. He has no real weaknesses, is well prepared, and is a great bet to be in the mix at the end. 

 

 

 




Danger, Will Robinson

None of these made the first two levels, but are still good to ignore. If they are feeling good on Saturday and get the right trip, they will have every chance to become instant stars. Some are mega-talents, who might not have everything go their way, and will be bet a little too low. While others may be ready to peak, or will prove to be true distance horses, and should have very attractive odds. Play both types accordingly.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 



 

 

The first Saturday in May will not be there day

These are good horses, and are eligible to have excellent careers, but for various reasons will not put it all together over ten furlongs at Churchill Downs. Whether they will be chewed up near a strong pace, are not currently at their very best, or they are simply a shade below the best, look for them to have better days after the biggest day.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




 

 

Longshots, Superfecta fillers, and Also rans

While it's highly unlikely that any of these will win the Kentucky Derby, they at least stand a fighter's chance to either make some noise on the far turn, or clunk up late to fill out those big superfecta tickets at juicy odds. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baked Halibut with a lemon, butter sauce

After about a mile, many horses will say no mas in this year's Kentucky Derby. Some will come as a surprise, some we may have an idea about, but only one is a sure thing ... It's not a matter of if, it's only a matter of when Trinniberg drops anchor and Willie waves the white flag.

 

 

 

 

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Older Comments about The Six Levels of the 2012 Kentucky Derby...

Spot on, except I'll Have Another deserves a bit more respect I think - certainly more than some of the "Danger" horses.
  • amberflash · ah, and here's someone who agrees with me: -- http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/05/01/2777467_p2/the-138th-kentucky-derby-top-seven.html · 820 days ago
kedez, I know, right? Cuz they all made it to the Derby. So, really thinking about doing one tri box, just on the BCJ triumvirate. Again, just a small cma bet. Hope none of them gets a bad post, and CC is my fav.
Dullahan,Gemologist,Went the day well,Alpha ..super box..I dont think rags cant get the distance and hansen is out of the question.I always thought Hansen was to stubborn to stalk a pace and against all odds he CANT go wire to wire in a speed battle with Trinniberg,Bode,Take charge Indy at the KD
I'm probably going to bet a trifecta with the big three just for nostalgia's sake, hahaha. Can you imagine if that hit, even if it was in a different order? People all over America would be slapping themselves. Other than those three, I really like I'll Have Another and Daddy Nose Best.
I like the top 3, maybe in a differant order, but they seem right......i think Alpha should be rated just a tad higher,and lets hope one of the top3 doesn't get the "1" hole, that would really blow
I think I should box the Danger, Will Robinson level.
Spot on, I believe. I definitely agree with the first level all the way around.
I don't mind if The Godfather is part of the ex even - but, he was taking a lot of $$$ in pool 1, remember...
Need a Dully/CC exacta Zipster...
Now how do we bet the race???
I agree almost 100%. I feel Gemologist is rated a tad bit low, other than that, I think this is right on the money.

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Meet Brian Zipse 

Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing since birth. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta. Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. 
  
As Managing Editor of Horse Racing Nation, Brian authors a daily column as Zipse at the Track, or ZATT for short, and adds his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Brian also serves on the the Board of Directors of ReRun Thoroughbred Adoption and is a Vox Populi committee member. 
  
A graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives in Suburban Chicago with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra, where he is a professional golf instructor when he is not following the horses.