I don’t post my plays often on these pages, but with what promises to be one of the largest Pick 6 pools of the year, I’ve decided to take a swing at that $619,482 Carryover today at Del Mar and publish the picks. Here’s the analysis...
Race 5 – Optional Claimer ($62,500) - One Mile
In an interesting opener to the big Pick 6, the three I like are the winning machine, #5 Mega Heat, the classy and consistent, #2 Rousing Sermon, and long shot, #6 American Act. While the first two figured to be the chalk, American Act had some top performances on synthetic surfaces last year, and looks to be slowly rounding back into form this year. I’m hoping time at the shore awakens his best, which could light up the Pick 6 early.
Race 6 – Allowance - One Mile Turf
In the most wide heat of the sequence, I will not try to get too cute and spread this thing seven deep. My top pick #7 Prettypriceygirl, will be joined by #1 Upward Spiral, #2 English Crossing, #4 Lady’s Plan, #8 Warren’s Flasher, #9 Cavelletta, and #10 Heart Slate on the ticket.
Race 7 – Maiden Special Weight (Cal-bred) - 5 ½ furlongs
Maiden races can often be tricky in a Pick 6, but in #1 Swissarella and #3 Eddies Curl, there are two filles who should only need to run back to their last respective race to prove too tough for the rest today. Each filly also ran well in their career debut, giving them an experience edge over everyone else today in their third career start`.
Race 8 – Grade 1 Clement L. Hirsch - 8 ½ furlongs
#9 Include Me Out is the class of this race, and I don’t even think it’s that close. The lone bright spot in a lackluster group of older females in California, the BC Ladies’ Classic third has come back in top form this year as evidenced by her sharp win against sprinters in the Desert Stormer. Back at her favorite distance and at a track that she has won of 2-of-3, the daughter of Include should have little trouble with these.
Race 9 – Claiming ($16,000) - 6 ½ furlongs
The second of three consecutive singles will be #3 Just Irish. After breaking her maiden against maiden 20k fillies three starts back, she was claimed by Doug O’Neill while finishing fast in a Hollywood Park claimer. Competitive last time in a fast mile turf race at Del Mar for her new barn, she should be primed against this weak bunch while equipped with first time blinkers today.
Race 10 – Optional Claiming ($25,000) - 1 1/16 Turf
#7 Ethnic Dance looks like the one in here. The son of Tribal Rule has been a new horse since switching to the grass two starts ago for trainer John Sadler. A bang-up nose defeat in which of the top three came out to win next out, was followed by 6 ¾ length dominating score to break his maiden. Facing winners for the first time today, but the step up against this bunch of optional claimers should only be a quick step on on the ladder to better things. Note the :58 ? workout around the dogs on this course in preparation for his first start on the Del Mar turf course.
And here’s the ticket...
2,3,5 / 1,2,4,7,8,9,10 / 1,3 / 9 / 3 / 7 = $84