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HRN Original Blog:
Zipse At The Track

Peter Pan to Belmont for Incognito?

Incognito Allowance 615 X 400
The Kentucky Derby madness is over. Now it’s on to Triple Crown mania, and with Orb winning in Louisville impressively, the dial has been turned up all the way to eleven. But Preakness 2013 is still a week away, so this weekend, a light one on the big race front, all eyes will point to Belmont Park for today’s Grade 2 Peter Pan. A race that traditionally feeds into the final leg of the Triple Crown, this year’s edition has attracted a well-matched field of eleven, and among them is one horse I believe has the potential to make some noise in the Belmont. Clearly, Incognito made some noise in his last start.

“I think it may have been, quite remarkably, Incognito!”

As the excited words of Tom Durkin rang through the grandstand, a new star may have been born. The second foal of the top notch racemare, Octave, and by A.P. Indy, Incognito is one of the best bred horses on the planet. After running 5th in his career debut last December, the Darley Stable runner has been getting better with each and every start. After a bang-up second to the stakes winner, Mr. Palmer, Incognito broke his maiden nicely at Aqueduct on March 16, before impressing Durkin and everyone else with this April 13 pip.



Incognito’s conditioner, Kiaran McLaughlin, is no stranger to using the Peter Pan as a springboard to the Belmont Stakes. In 2009, he saddled Charitable Man to victory in the 2009 Peter Pan, before bringing that one back to run 4th against a pair of Birds in the Belmont. Incognito’s sire, A.P. Indy actually did Charitable Man three spots better. 21 years ago, the son of Seattle Slew parlayed a victory in May’s Peter Pan into Belmont Stakes glory in June. Will it be a case of like father, like son?

Possibly, but first things first, and as mentioned before, this is a well-matched field of 11, so Incognito has his work cut out for him today. Breaking from post position 10, with Mike Luzzi in the saddle, the regally bred colt is listed as the 5-1 third choice on the morning line, but anyone who expects to get those odds today may be in store for disappointment. Abraham, 3rd in the Sunland Derby and 4th in the Illinois Derby in his last two, and Declan’s Warrior, winner of the 7 furlong Bay Shore Stakes last time, are listed as the two favorites, but I look for bettors to make Incognito the favorite by the time the Peter Pan gates open.

Favored or not, Incognito also has to tangle with a number of interesting colts in today’s nine furlong test. One such horse is West Point Thoroughbreds’ Freedom Child. You remember him, he’s the colt who was declared a non-starter in the Wood Memorial after being held by the starter after the gates opened. Breaking from the rail today, Freedom Child should be able to flash some speed, presuming all goes well at the start, and may prove one to watch this afternoon. Besides him, there are a plethora of intriguing colts in here, and it would be no stretch to say everyone in the field is in with more than a punter’s chance, but I like Incognito best.

I believe Incognito has improved enough to handle these, and McGlaughlin believes he can run all day. If we are both right, look for this one to be in with a shot for that final leg of the Triple Crown, which could well have even more riding on it than usual this year. 

 

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Older Comments about Peter Pan to Belmont for Incognito?...

it is the wise player who stays away from a race (I barely looked at it because I had to work all day on a double shift) to which they cannot an evaluation in proper heirarchy. Not that much value either.
I have to agree with ZATT. I truly hope they consider the Belmont because Incognito is definitely a horse on the improve. I think he'll like the added ground, and hopefully would be more forwardly placed as well. The only reason I didn't choose him over Saint Vigeur (SV) was because I simply felt SV ran against tougher. I was biting my nails when he came skimming up the rail though, I have to admit. Thought he was going to catch Abraham in the lane.
Yes, TV. Wide open...as in the lengths Freedom Child was opening in the stretch. LOL
Interesting race run by Incognito in the Peter Pan. Once he got hold of the track, he finished quite well. Hope they still consider Belmont.
open race today 5 9 10 11? not one stands out over the other
so if you do not know anything about him,why are you so quick tocompare im to habitual criminals.if life has taught me anything,it is that peolpe are individuals.yet you for some reason have analyzed him perfectly without him visiting your couch.rudy has stated he might be being set up.why ,would you not give him the benefit of the doubt.instead you take the high road and basically convict him,then cop out by saying you do not know him.i do know him.he is very intellegent.my claim is not that he drugs or not.every trainer does it.yet they are darlings to everyone,so the public fails to accept it.maybe the fact he is not one of the good ole boys has something to it.have a nice day doctor phil and your psyco analysis
Courageous effort in that race by Incognito!

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Meet Brian Zipse 

Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing since birth. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta. Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. 
  
As Managing Editor of Horse Racing Nation, Brian authors a daily column as Zipse at the Track, or ZATT for short, and adds his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Brian also serves on the the Board of Directors of ReRun Thoroughbred Adoption and is a Vox Populi committee member. 
  
A graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives in Suburban Chicago with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra, where he is a professional golf instructor when he is not following the horses.