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HRN Original Blog:
Zipse At The Track

Orb out to stop Violence in the Fountain of Youth

Who would have guessed that those in attendance at Saratoga on August 18 would be seeing the key race for the $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes some six months later? It was the highly regarded son of Medaglia d’Oro, Violence, who lived up to the confidence of the bettors by overcoming a sluggish start to get up to a hard-earned neck victory over another talented two-year-old named Titletown Five. Bet down to 4-5 in the seven furlong maiden race, Violence would parlay that debut victory into a pair of graded stakes wins later in the year that established him as one of the winter favorites for the Kentucky Derby
 
Meanwhile, another first-timer that day ran a very big race. Closing with a rush to finish third, Orb got within 1 ¼ lengths of Violence at the wire. This came after the son of Malibu Moon broke very slowly from his rail post position. It was the kind of performance that promises of better things to come, but unlike Violence, there would be no stakes wins for the Shug McGaughey charge in the coming months. A very disappointing race in his second start, in which he acted badly in the starting gate before the race, followed and the promise he showed in his debut was forgotten by many. In three subsequent starts, though, Orb has improved each time.
 
He now enters Saturday’s Grade 2 feature at Gulfstream Park as a hot horse for his rematch with Violence. The Kentucky homebred for Stuart Janney III and the Phipps Stable got his first win at Aqueduct on November 24, when he rallied powerfully from last to win going away at a flat mile. Behind him that day was future Withers winner, Revolutionary. In his next start, Orb came back to capture a nine furlong allowance at Gulfstream four weeks ago, despite getting bounced around on the first turn. Once clear, he made a decisive move on the turn to quickly take command. It was a performance that impressed his Hall of Fame conditioner.
 
“When I came down here after he broke his maiden, I thought it was a deal where I’d get to run him a couple times and then when we got him back to New York and we’d run him over the bigger track – and that’d be his gig,” McGaughey said. “He was a surprise the other day, but he was training awfully well for it.”
 
While Orb will be making up a big jump up on paper, he is a horse who has plenty going for him on Saturday. Despite the Fountain of Youth being his initial foray into stakes racing, Orb is no stranger to running against quality opponents. Past performances for his short career are already littered with stakes runners and talented colts, and he has proven quite competitive. As his trainer said, he also has been working very well since coming to Florida, and certainly looks to be headed in the right direction.
 
Violence is the horse to beat, and will undoubtedly be heavily favored in the Fountain of Youth, but if you are looking for a horse that might be able to give him a real run for his money, look no further than the horse that began his racing career in the same race as Violence. Orb might just be for real. 

 

 

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Older Comments about Orb out to stop Violence in the Fountain of Youth...

Congrats, Brian.
Great call, Zipster!
Nice call, Brian!
I'm not sure if Orb is quite ready to take down stakes competition just yet, but I'm expecting him to run a very strong race - strong enough to convince Shug and Co. to move on toward the Florida Derby/Kentucky Derby. I was a bit concerned when I heard Rosario was getting off him, but then I found out Johnny V. was picking up the mount (I heard he was a decent rider). I'll key Orb in multi's and play him to win, and I'll be shocked if he doesn't get a piece of it.
Good point on the spedd bias at Gulfstream Park. That is one obstacle that worries me about Orb getting up but he might be abe to overcome it unless he gets left at the gate which he has had gate problems in a couple of starts.Any major gate problem will probable eliminate any chance he has to get up in the stretch.
Is it OK if I make Orb my pick to win the Travers?
Violence actually has a great PP for this race. At Gulfstream there is an inside bias for the 8.5F races due to the short run to the first turn.
Agreed. Orb is the biggest threat to Violence IMHO. PLus, does everyone really think that TAP has Violence cranked-up for this one?! GP 8.5f races have been very kind to early speed types (54% in past week; 42% for the meet). So has a value play, I'd go w/ Elmutahid, Cerro & Speak Logistics OVER Orb & Violence in Exacta$.
ORB has a victory at Gulfstream, but coming from far behind to win at 9 furlongs will be different than doing it at 8.5 urlongs with a shorter stretch.
I remember this period of racing from last summer quite well. Several horses caught my eye around this time...Orb was one of them, Craving Carats, Violence...I remember watching one impressive performance after another. Man, I can't wait for Saratoga! :) Oh wait... we have this whole Triple Crown thing first. :)

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Meet Brian Zipse 

Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing since birth. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta. Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. 
  
As Managing Editor of Horse Racing Nation, Brian authors a daily column as Zipse at the Track, or ZATT for short, and adds his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Brian also serves on the the Board of Directors of ReRun Thoroughbred Adoption and is a Vox Populi committee member. 
  
A graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives in Suburban Chicago with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra, where he is a professional golf instructor when he is not following the horses.