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  • Far From Over is injured and off the Kentucky Derby trail, according to owner, James Covello.Posted 22 hours ago
  • Materiality turns away the challenge of Upstart to win the Florida Derby.Posted 3 days ago
  • International Star reels in Stanford late to win the Louisiana Derby.Posted 3 days ago
  • I'm A Chatterbox sweeps the 3yo filly stakes at Fair Grounds with today's win in the Oaks.Posted 3 days ago
  • I'm A Chatterbox sweeps the 3yo filly stakes at Fair Grounds with today's win in the Oaks.Posted 3 days ago
  • Pants On Fire guts out a win in the Sir Shackleton.Posted 3 days ago
  • War Correspondent rolls late to win the Appleton.Posted 3 days ago
  • Prince Bishop wins the world's richest race; California Chrome 2nd.Posted 3 days ago
  • Dolniya dominates the boys in the Dubai Sheema ClassicPosted 3 days ago
  • Solow defeats The Grey Gatsby in the $6,000,000 Dubai TurfPosted 3 days ago

HRN Original Blog:
Zipse At The Track

 

Older Comments...

Beholder, the two-time champion, is on schedule for a springtime comeback. She worked six furlongs in 1:12.40 on Thursday, continuing a steady pattern of workouts since mid-February. Trainer Richard Mandella said the $1 million Ogden Phipps Stakes at Belmont Park on June 6 is a long-range goal for Beholder, the champion 2-year-old filly of 2012 and champion 3-year-old filly of 2013. Beholder has not raced since winning the G1 Zenyatta Stakes last September. The G1 Madison at Keeneland could be her 2015 debut, but it's not 100%. According to DRF
  • cedar · Keeneland released the probables for their spring meet stakes and I didn't see Beholder's name listed. Other sources still say she's aiming for the Madison. Hopefully these other sources are true so I can finally see her in person! · 5 days ago
  • Sullivan · She's nominated · 10 minutes ago
UAE invaders haven't panned out stateside historically. Though I will admit his he may be the best foreign invader in the field & his past 3 races (especially the last one) visually look like impressive finishes. The fact of the matter is the small UAE fields, along with the splits and overall times are not impressive for those distances; 1M, first quarter in 25secs final time in 1:37.7? 1 3/16M first quarter in 26secs final times in 1:58 or 1:59? That's MSW times there, the Derby first quarter will be ~24 secs and the final time for 1 1/4 will be ~2:02 so is he going to miraculously be getting through a boatload of traffic and getting that last 1/16 in 4 seconds flat??? Ummm, NO! My money will be elsewhere...
  • Show All 4 Comments
  • Fiddler's Green Standardbred via Disqus · If you're looking for actual evidence that the track is slower... look no further than the fact that Meydan uses gate timing instead of a run-up. · 1 day ago
  • amdaman via Disqus · Could it be because historically it was a synthetic surface? About the times, Meydan is a slow track. It was playing faster on DWC day, but it was still slow. Did you see how fast they ran the DWC? Also, have you considered the fact that they don't use a run-up in Meydan? The Florida Derby had a run-up of 80 ft., and they took 2.5 seconds before they activated the clock. That's pretty slow. But the clock only gets activated when they've already picked up speed. So when you see the first 1/4 in Meydan run in 25 seconds, it's not because they're running slow, its because the clock starts as soon as the gates open. I think this horse has a legitimate shot at the KD if he maintains his current form. · 42 minutes ago
Only 6 horses entered for the Wood, that is sad. Most of them closers as well. This is Frosted's best chance to sneak into The Derby with some easy points if he ends up being the lone speed at Aqueduct... The only bright side to this is that if El Kabeir doesn't get exposed here as a middle distance horse and Frosted finds a backdoor into this field, that's 2 horses I get to toss for my exotics are Derby Day. That's a precious commodity in a 20 horse field.
  • Deano · You may want to consider Toasting Master. Only his 2nd start at a distance on dirt.(Ocala route was synthetic) Nice first try over the track and set most of the pace with pressure. Another 1/8th of a mile maybe he gets brave if not challenged early. Like you said with a lot of closers you look for speed. Just a thought. · 17 hours ago
  • MarkKennedy · Hell i think you can toss the FLORIDA < LOUISANNA AND NEW YORK series horses completley out and leave you 6 nice horses in no particular order dortmund, carpe diem, firing line, american pharoh,mutajji, and if he gets in BOLD CONQUEST · 51 minutes ago
el kabeir and frosted...like to see both in the derby
Where is he?
With Far From Over out of commission I think the race will be left to a closer.
Anyone using times to rate this horse didn't watch the race. He was basically pulled up to a gallop at the quarter pole. What needed to Be seen is the extra gear he had and the explosion of foot once he got to the leader. That what you plant to see from a derby prep. A stalker with an extra gear. Easily the best performance this yr with out being tested. This is a derby horse and if your leaving him off then I'm glad. I'll take the money and laugh to the bank
  • Show All 3 Comments
  • Lorelord via Disqus · Also, don't be deceived, there was no explosion or extra gear, those other horses were clearly backing up and spitting the bit while he was the only one finishing at all... Yes there was some finish there, but without another legit animal in the race it's tough to gauge what you're seeing... · 6 hours ago
  • amdaman via Disqus · I agree with everything you said, well... except for the part where you say your, instead of you're. · 2 hours ago
Check out race 4 at keeneland. Allowance featuring big blue kitten, mr speaker, hyper, majestic harbor, guys reward, and war dancer.
I hope the field gets better as the week goes on. It's looking pretty weak right now and Dortmund should jog his way to another victory.
  • Show All 3 Comments
  • vodkak · Dortmund will probably go off about 1 to 5. So much for being a competitive race; a paid workout. · 1 day ago
  • Scrap via Disqus · You might wanna take good look at cross the line, had a rough trip last out,seems to enjoy running distance, and might take to the dirt !? Can't argue with the connections!!! · 5 hours ago
Hard to gauge him since he's faced absolutely no other legit Derby potential horse... Still leaning Dortmund there, but his Spiral win was impressive in the sense he came out of gate 12 and put that field of nobodies away pretty well.
Got Mubtaahij at 125-1(only $25, unfortunately) three weeks ago...very excited after his UAE Derby performance....if he can translate that turn of foot to the Churchill surface, we might have have a winner
  • Lorelord via Disqus · Well you're getting great odds! That's the good news. The bad news is if the UAE performance excited you, you didn't see who he ran against... he basically faced a crew of horses that should of been packing a lunch and flashlights for that trip... · 6 hours ago
@hrn-5817b9ce0166e6e9a3bbf012af91e781:disqus I honestly could care less about the trip he got. I rather see him get a dream trip and visually see him throttle away from horses then to see him run like most of this years crop and win a race by about a length with little or no acceleration.
  • Lorelord via Disqus · Most of this years crop is running against other formidable competitors (who aren't backing up) so it's tougher to throttle away... · 6 hours ago
For those of you claiming track time difference look no further than Materiality. 1.52 and change, finished up in 13 4/5. Say he runs 14 in the Derby that puts him at 2.06.....this same horse just ran the best Beyer (110) for any 3 year old heading to Kentucky. I'm not even a big Beyer or Materiality fan, but lets face it - final time means next to nothing. Show me who they beat, and how they do it. Final time is little more than a statistic for Track Variant.
  • Lorelord via Disqus · I don't disagree, but when you show me who they beat (and it was nobody for this guy), then I start looking at splits & times to gauge what exactly we're working with since there are no other parameters to gauge. · 6 hours ago
Big Beast is gonna Pounce!
I'll agree with firing line but not Dortmund I'll take the use derby winner and firing line as my two picks
Frustrating because he would have had second very easily and made the race closer had he changed leads. Around the turn he was actually pretty close to AP and then struggled to change leads and lost a ton of ground. Unfortunately a trainer can't get a horse to change leads, so one can only hope the experience helps.
  • MarkKennedy · This whole Curlin baby thing is frustrating. We should have had 3 colts to make the ky derby field and they all have screwed around and now we will be lucky if one makes the gate. Depressing · 13 hours ago
OFF tracks, as shown by 25 years of study, have shown to make very little difference in the horses that do well at CD at 10f.
  • amino998 · Does this conclusion mean your pre-race evaluation {HANDICAPPING} of The Derby is unchanged by track condition? That track in 2013 only increased my confidence in Orb and moved Revolutionary up to #2 in the hierarchy :) · 13 hours ago
They dicked around and now have 22 points sitting 17 with Far From Over out Don't think this ur 22 is going to make the gate
From what I see there are two horses in this race (KD) Dortmund and Firing Line. It should be a classic duel akin tho War Admiral vs. Seabiscut, or the Seattle Slew Affirmed duels. Dortmund has awesome features and spectacular class. Firing Line's a step behind, but he has Gary Stevens in the saddle. It may be the greatest Kentucky Derby ever. I a record breaking pace... and at the finish line the best three year old in a decade.
  • Montezuma1 via Disqus · The Affirmed/Alydar comparison came to mind regarding Dortmund and Firing Line just yesterday for me. If Dortmund get2 4-10 PP I think the Derby is automatically his. I'd hat to see him past PP 12. · 13 hours ago
I took a note on him when he won last year said How good is he???? won under wraps he must have had some problems as he regressed but in his return last start he is back i don't know about the conditions but he is back

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Meet Brian Zipse 

Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing since birth. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta. Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. 
  
As Managing Editor of Horse Racing Nation, Brian authors a daily column as Zipse at the Track, or ZATT for short, and adds his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Brian also serves on the the Board of Directors of ReRun Thoroughbred Adoption and is a Vox Populi committee member. 
  
A graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives in Suburban Chicago with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra, where he is a professional golf instructor when he is not following the horses.  

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