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HRN Original Blog:
Zipse At The Track

Horse of the Year Betting

 

The week before the 2014 Kentucky Derby might seem like an odd time to be thinking about who may be awarded year-end honors, but with a brand new future wager just announced to whet our appetites, now is as good a time as any to do a little prognosticating as far as who may gallop home with the Horse of the Year Award.


Wise Dan is one-for-one this year, and more importantly, he is the reigning two-time Breeders’ Cup Mile winner, and Horse of the Year. He’s also the favorite for the inaugural Nevada offering on a future bet for Horse of the Year of 2014. Offered by William Hill in Nevada, if you believe he will win a third straight, you will get 4-1.


Over the years, Older Dirt Males has been the most likely place to find a Horse of the Year, but the division has been shut out for five consecutive years. Despite that slump, most of the horses just below the reigning two-time champ come from this division, including the overall second choice, Will Take Charge (5-1). Just behind him come a handful of the divisional heavyweights: Game On Dude (6-1), Mucho Macho Man (7-1), Palace Malice (8-1), and Lea (12-1).


If you tend to side with the fairer sex, and think one of the fantastic four-year-old fillies can follow in the footsteps of Rachel Alexandra, Zenyatta, and Havre de Grace as recent females to be named Horse of the Year, you can get Beholder at 15-1, while Princess of Sylmar (20-1) and Close Hatches (20-1) are not far behind. Meanwhile, Untapable gets serious respect as the lone three-year-old filly on the list at 15-1. 


One of the surest ways to win the Horse of the Year is to win the Triple Crown. It hasn’t been done in 37 years, but if it can be done this year, you can bet the feat will be honored in a big way next January. California Chrome, at 8-1, is far and away the lowest of the three-year-old males, while two of his main competitors for the Run for the Roses, are next on the list in Wicked Strong (40-1) and Hoppertunity (40-1).


Unless your name is Wise Dan, winning the Horse of the Year from the Turf or Sprint divisions is no simple task. If you really like one of them; however, you can find some attractive odds: Secret Circle (60-1), Little Mike (75-1), Big Blue Kitten (75-1), Winning Prize (100-1), and Sahara Sky (100-1).


My choice for the 2014 Horse of the Year, just in case you were wondering, is Palace Malice, and I am not the only one who likes him. For without his owner, Cot Campbell, inquiring to the good folks at William Hill about betting on his horse to win the award, none of this would have happened right now. I am willing to bet that the octogenarian, and driving force behind Dogwood Stable, is betting just a few more dollars on Palace Malice than I will be. Good luck, Cot! 

 

************************************

  

Time to toss another pretender from the 2014 Kentucky Derby list until we are down to only the true contenders - #5 Uncle Sigh. 

 

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Older Comments about Horse of the Year Betting...

I'll put some on Chromio... You know... Just in case...
ill throw some money on Palice Malice
I wouldn't mind Chrome or another of these exciting three year olds getting HOTY. Really like this year's model of Palace Malice. Cali love Dude has too many races that were blown, sadly, but he's not out yet.
forego, I'm not really into the 6 awards Dan has now. I was looking at some records the other day and noticed , for instance, that Affirmed(and you or others can remember horses that had multiple awards or consecutive year-end awards to compare) has I think 5 year-end awards, if you get what I mean, which is that these sweeps of awards are for another stratosphere of horse, imo. I don't get why it is now okay to not divvy up awards. Seems like Dan's 2012 Turf award and 2013 top older male were, sorry to say, the easy way out for voters.
HOTY betting?? The 300+ eclipse voters have now the power to vote for a HOTY honors which involves MONEY. Whoever thought of this idea is a genius. They might be thinking that the voting is fair & square, with no biased, favoritism or corruption. And now, they are asking people to bet who the eclipse voter's favorite horse, or with vested interest in or the worst, who most of these eclipse voters bets with their own personal money. Perfect idea. Bravo!!
HOTY betting, genious, I started out the year thinking Will Take Charge my HOTY pick but since then have added Palice Malice and of course Wise Dan. How can you not root for W.D. to get a third straight. Love the toss out the pretenders and only keep the true contenders
With the BC on her home track again, I'll take Beholder at 15-1.
in APRIL??
i am not a huge futures person, but i am tempted to flutter a few on Palace Malice. he is going gangbusters this year, and i have so much hope for the next six months!
Like Kelso and Forego etc. before him, when you have a multiple HOY winner, there seems to be a presumption that he has to lose it not necessarily win it. And the horse to upset a multiple winner has to be quite spectacular IMO.
If we think about a season, Will Take Charge will be injured next out. Sahara Sky if he goes long has a shot. Throw out Game on Dude, Mucho Macho Man, and Princwss of Sylmar.
Wise Dan is my choice...as of right now.
I think Fink already paid for this year too.
This is a slippery slope.
I think it's to early for that , but PM gets' my vote !!! jlp
I'll go out on a limb; Mylute
Donate that wad to charity Cot,at least put it to good use,instead of some legalized bookmakers pocket.
8/1 when 3 Cal breds have won the Derby in a 140 yrs----Pass. Matbe 80/1
California not a bad try at this point

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Meet Brian Zipse 

Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing since birth. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta. Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. 
  
As Managing Editor of Horse Racing Nation, Brian authors a daily column as Zipse at the Track, or ZATT for short, and adds his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Brian also serves on the the Board of Directors of ReRun Thoroughbred Adoption and is a Vox Populi committee member. 
  
A graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives in Suburban Chicago with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra, where he is a professional golf instructor when he is not following the horses.