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HRN Original Blog:
Zipse At The Track

From the Eighth Pole to the Wire - 4/14/14

 

Dan is still the Man


He’s won 16 of his last 19 races. He’s a grade 1 winner in four consecutive seasons. He’s a back-to-back to winner of the Breeders’ Cup Mile. He’s a graded stakes winner on turf, dirt, and synthetics. He is the reigning two-time Horse of the Year. He is the antithesis of the horse who is ushered off to the breeding shed after only ten races or so. And thankfully for fans, it looks like the seven-year-old version of Wise Dan is very much like the six-year-old version, and the five-year-old version, and the four-year-old version… His triumphant return to the races in the Grade 1 Maker’s 46 Mile was vintage Dan. Shuffled between and behind horses in the early going, he gave rider John Velazquez all the horse he needed to patiently wait for a seam to open, before demonstrating his clockwork burst that effectively ended any suspense to the outcome. So what if has become strictly a middle distance turf specialist?  Isn’t that exactly what Frankel and Goldikova were? Let’s enjoy the continuing brilliance of a truly marvelous American racehorse


A Danza stunner in Hot Springs


The romping win by Danza in Saturday’s Arkansas Derby may have been the biggest surprise since the successful eight-year primetime run of Who’s the Boss?. A promising juvenile of last summer, the son of Street Boss was ignored by me and most bettors before the race. With only an unsuccessful seven furlong optional claimer to show for the past eight months, not including Danza among your top picks for Oaklawn’s signature race seemed a prudent way to go. Color me surprised … and impressed. Danza took full advantage of a rail hugging trip, and exploded early in the stretch to skip away from a solid field in the million dollar affair. In only his fourth lifetime go, it would seem that the chestnut stunner is every bit the colt who flashed big promise last summer, and then some. Whether he can pair this performance up with an even bigger one needed to win under the twin spires, remains a point of skepticism for me, but he clearly looks like one to watch for later down the road. I would also be remiss not to hand out big kudos to Joe Bravo on a brilliant ride, and trainer, Todd Pletcher, for having his inexperienced charge ready to pop.



Wild and Wooly for Will Take Charge


Granted, the weekend past was not one of my finer handicapping performances, but one thing I knew for sure was that Saturday was going to be the day that things would finally all fall into place for the three-year-old champ, Will Take Charge. The beautiful white-faced, tri stockinged colt had been up against track bias and running style when second in both the Donn and the Big Cap in his first two starts of the year, but it looked like neither would be a problem at his home base in Hot Springs for the Oaklawn Handicap. Sure enough, the big horse answered the bell when the real running began, and swallowed up his competition in mid-stretch. Problem was, from that point to the wire, the path home was anything but direct. The running became rough, and the heavy favorite was a big reason why. He was the best horse, and survived a late running Revolutionary, and the inquiry, as I thought he should, but the win was less than impressive. As always, I thought that if the race went farther, Will Take Charge would have had more in reserve to exert his will on his competition, but on the other hand, I felt a little uncomfortable with his erratic path down the Oaklawn Park stretch. It made me wonder if his arduous schedule of the past 20 months might be finally catching up with him. Time will tell.



Hatches holds serve


The older female division is really starting to take shape. First, Close Hatches returned in fine form while winning last month’s Azeri. Then the Good Princess of Sylmar looked like three million bucks in romping home over Wedding Toast at Aqueduct. On Friday, it was time for the Juddmonte owned, and Bill Mott trained, Close Hatches to hold serve in Oaklawn Park’s Grade 1 Apple Blossom. Hold serve she did in her typical cat toying with mice style. Facing a small, but select field of five, the daughter of First Defence dictated the running right from the opening bell and never looked back. The facile 1 ¼-length victory over On Fire Baby, Stanwyck and the rest, confirmed her fine form heading to bigger tests to come. The victory raised her lifetime record to a sparkling record of 10-7-2-0. Clearly she knows how to win and enjoys doing so. She also is enoguh to be placed just about anywhere in the race as needed. Bring on Beholder next in Sunday’s Santa Lucia, and then bring on all three excellent four-year-old fillies for the rich Ogden Phipps on Belmont Stakes Day. I am already licking my chops thinking about that one.



The Fate of Polytrack


The fickle hands of fate have dealt the well-intentioned life of Polytrack a death knell with the recent announcement by Keeneland that the eight-year experiment had reached an end. One of the factors of going back to the future with dirt was the importance that it’s signature race, the Blue Grass, played in identifying horses to beat for the Kentucky Derby. Or, in the life of Polytrack, the lack of this happening. Most believe that a return to dirt for the Blue Grass would reverse the recent downward trend trend in importance of the historic race as a prep for the Run for the Roses. Seeing the results of the eighth and final Polytrack Blue Grass, it would be hard to argue with this line of thinking. No offense to fine races run by the winner, Dance of Fate, and his two closest competitors, Medal Count, and Pablo Del Monte, but it’s hard to imagine a similar result happening if the race had been contested on dirt. Look for more serious Derby horses to find their way back to Keeneland starting in 2015.



Judy is a Beauty

 

Betting Judy the Beauty in the old exacta box is like money in the bank. Never better than she is at the friendly confines of Keeneland, the five-year-old daughter of Ghostzapper flaunted both her sprint running prowess, and her affinity for the Lexington, Kentucky oval, with a dominating score in the Grade 1 Madison on Saturday. In so doing, The Wesley Ward trained miss earned her first career grade 1 victory. She also raised her career mark to 15-7-7-1, with her only failure to fit into the exacta was a good 3rd place finish to the two-time champion, Groupie Doll. Since the retirement of that one, I see it no stretch at all to anoint Judy the Beauty as the current Queen of female sprinters. The 2 ½-length show of class was her second easy win in as many starts this year. Oh, and by the way, looking forward to this year’s Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint, the Keeneland loving mare also has run big in both of her attempts at Santa Anita.



Hard Not to Like Sometimes

 

When Hard Not to Like is good, she is very good. When she’s not... When the Canadian-bred hit the wire first in Saturday’s Grade 1 Jenny Wiley, she lit up the tote at $29.00 for a two dollar win bet. Not bad for a mare who already had a couple of impressive stakes wins on the grass to her credit. She also was coming off a sharp score in her seasonal debut at Gulfstream Park. So what gives with the big odds? Well, after winning a solid edition of the Grade 3 Marshua’s River early last year, the daughter of Hard Spun rattled off the following results in her subsequent six starts: 5th-9th-2nd-6th-3rd-7th. Included in that string was a 9th place finish in last year’s running of the Jenny Wiley. Consistent, Hard Not to Like is not. But when she’s good… If anyone knows a key to figure out when she is ready to run a big one please clue me in, because in-and-outers like this can be a little hard to like. 

 

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Older Comments about From the Eighth Pole to the Wire - 4/14/14...

Melarkey...watched in several times and the colt was slammed from the outside
Passed on the race because Golden Lad was ridiculously washed out. I'm not a WTC fan, bit it looked like Revolutionary was the one who came in on Carve (I think that's who it was)
the front on view i saw following the inquiry showed the horse to the inside of golden lad coming out on him, just after that WTC drifted in. Golden Lad's troubles happened before WTC came in.
Jay pay no mind to what he says about Dqs. In the Rebel,Vic and his director wanted to DQ Tapiture for fouling Hoppy,then return the favor by Hoppy fouling Tapiture. Yet these 2 rocket scientists still opine.
That's if we're talking about the same thing tv. I'm talking about the head-on shot as they come down the stretch. The replayed it about 20 times during the inquiry.
I saw it after the race on the replay. Haven't seen it since.
and JUST where is that front tower shot?
*indentions*
Front tower shot shows Golden Lad checks when Revolutionary moves to the outside directly in front of him. It also shows the straight line tractor grate indention. Those tell the tale of how little WTC came over on GL.
chart :"brished with Golden Lad..." and then "slightly bothered Revolutionary...." the first made a huge difference, the 2nd was hardly worth a second look if you watch the race again.
front tower shot would be more illuninating but could not find one
http://www.hrtv.com/videos/race-replay-2014-oaklawn-handicap/ watch for yourself. Revoltionary moved by the 3 who had established position and did not bother anyone (even in the chart notes they played down that interactipn) http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/OP041214USA10.pdf
Andy, have you watched the race? Revolutionary is the horse that should have been DQ'ed. He positively rammed into Golden Lad. WTC didn't affect him in the slightest. And the only reason Revolutionary was making any ground at the end is because WTC stops once he's hit the lead.
The venue (Kee) isn't big enough for the Bluegrass Stakes. I go every year. Its ridiculous. Not enough toilets (and they apparently frown on port-a-jons). Not enough beer tents. They don't open the infield. Last Sat they squeezed 39,700 into that shoebox. And they didn't have the bandwidth to keep the wifi up, so my online betting acct was worthless. Love Kee, but the Breeders Cup at that venue would be like putting the Super Bowl in UKs football stadium.
Will Take Charge should have been DQ'd. His weaving down the stretch cost Revolutionary the win regardless of whether there was any contact. WTC forced two horses to significantly alter their paths.
from what I am CONTINUING to hear from vet's about Polytrack's accumulation in horse's lungs, I doubt if I would choose to run many over it ro very long.
apologies for it's its error.
It does seem perverse that Keeneland would let it's choice of track be decided by an early season classic trial - grade 1 accepted. Not sure the venue is big enough for a Breeder's Cup albeit it is a lovely place.

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Meet Brian Zipse 

Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing since birth. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta. Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. 
  
As Managing Editor of Horse Racing Nation, Brian authors a daily column as Zipse at the Track, or ZATT for short, and adds his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Brian also serves on the the Board of Directors of ReRun Thoroughbred Adoption and is a Vox Populi committee member. 
  
A graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives in Suburban Chicago with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra, where he is a professional golf instructor when he is not following the horses.