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HRN Original Blog:
Zipse At The Track

15 Winners for the 2012 Breeders’ Cup

 
Fields are not set, post positions are not drawn, I have not seen the horses up close and personal yet on site at Santa Anita, and wagers obviously are far from finalized. Having said all this, the majority of handicapping is done for the 2012 Breeders’ Cup. With the pre-entries being announced yesterday (how much fun is that day every year?) I feel prepared enough to release my list of the 15 horses I believe destined to stroll into the Breeders’ Cup winner’s circle on November 2 & 3. Sure there is still a lot of work to be done, but I know these horses. I should after all; I’ve been following them 7 days a week, 365 days a year. Couple that with twenty-nine years of ‘capping the Breeders’ Cup, and I would humbly say to discount these selections at your own risk.
 
Stay tuned on ZATT for any changes with my top picks, and much more on wagering strategies (I plan on zeroing in on the rolling pick-3’s this year.) You can bet that all of the horses below, unless scratched, will be included on those tickets. Also, look for contender stories, on-site info, and much, much more. Eight more days until the Breeders’ Cup … are you ready???
 
Friday
 
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint – Beholder (9-5)
 
Breeders’ Cup Marathon – Not Abroad (15-1)
 
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf – Spring Venture (6-1) 
 
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies – Executiveprivilege (7-5)
 
Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf –The Fugue (9-2)
 
Breeders’ Cup Ladies' Classic – Awesome Feather (5-1)
 
Saturday
 
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf – Artigiano (8-1)
 
Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint – Groupie Doll (7-5)
 
Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile – Jersey Town (5-1)
 
Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint – Mizdirection (12-1)
 
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – Power Broker (7-2)
 
Breeders’ Cup Turf – Trailblazer (15-1)
 
Breeders’ Cup Sprint – Emcee (4-1)
 
Breeders’ Cup Mile – Wise Dan (2-1)
 
Breeders’ Cup Classic – Mucho Macho Man (6-1)
 

*Note the odds above are my own personal estimation on what their odds will be on race day. 

 

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Older Comments about 15 Winners for the 2012 Breeders’ Cup...

At a glance, the best bet of BC Friday appears to be Lady Of Shamrock at 15-1.
The Feather will not be beaten in the Ladies Classic. I predict she'll win by at least two, probably more. That last little stakes was the perfect tightner, and she'll just glide over that speed favoring oval. It'll be flag fall to that's all, sitting chilly behind Questing, L&P, My Miss, or whoever wants to take up the running. And if everybody takes back then Jeffery can pull a Track Robbery from the 80s like P Val used to do. It's the most anticipated race of the two days for me, just to see her do her thing. Unfortunately, I don't think we'll get 5 to 1, though perhaps they'll pound RD & the other contenders, assuming (wrongly) that she hasn't beaten anything. I'll be happy with 7/2 and above.
Also think the Juddmonte colt trained by Roger Charlton, Dundonnell, has a huge chance in the BC Juvenile Turf. Never off the board in 4 starts, his last 2 races have produced a win in the Acomb Stakes at York and a 2nd, beaten only a 1/2 length by the unbeaten Tornado trained by Richard Hannon in the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster. This colt is for real.
Selling the European contingent awfully short in the races on turf, IMO. Can't see Sky Lantern being beaten in the Juvenile Fillies Turf, and I don't see Wise Dan beating Excelebration in the BC Mile, either. Since he's very likely to catch firm turf at Santa Anita, I think St Nicholas Abbey has a big chance to defend his BC Turf title, and I think the firm turf could suit the French filly Shareta as well. I do think Point of Entry will make the frame in the BC Turf, but I don't think he'll win it. JMO.
I agree with many of your choices, Brian.
Only agree with three of them, one of us will not do well. GL
I hope your'e right Zipse! If so, I will hit a 50C early pick 4. I think Trailblazer is a major reach. No one will get close to Game on Dude, he will win by open lengths.
Yes ... the BC Survivor shall return!
Definetly Agree with the BCC pick, although I will interject Nonios into that column. I can see GOD winnign but just think that once again, he will be just barely beaten. Gunna be close.... and Brian, are you doing another Survivor Pool this year, I want to see if I can take the crown once again haha!!
I'll be very surprised if Game On Dude is beaten in the Classic at Santa Anita. He ran a storming race in last year's Classic for 2nd, but I think he's a good deal better on the Santa Anita surface than he was at Churchill Downs.
Looks like we are going to need to play some exotics together because our picks are very similar!
I view Bob Baffert as a key to this BC, he will have several horses take a ton of money: Executiveprivilege, Coil, Game On Dude. Will he have a big day? It looks like Zipse says no. I love Baffert. He's great for the game, but in this BC I will be betting against him.
Moonlight Cloud should be a decent price too since nobody seems to think she has a chance. Maybe I'll go for an all Cal/ Moonlight Cloud box. I like Wise Dan and Excelebration, but their odds may not be attractive
I would love Jeranimo to go off at 40-1.
Maybe a wise dan exilebration 10 dollar exacta box if I get 4-1 on ex
Mr.Commons will range from 30-1 to 50-1 with wise Dan @ 2-1 exilibration @4-1 moonlit cloud @ 6-1 Jeronimo is my pick @ like 40-1
Right on Thanks!
I think Mr. Commons will be in the 12-1 range, and yes, I will be including him on my tickets.
What kind of ODDS will be on MR Commons? In your opinion.
I do not agree with all of your picks but do appreciate the read!! Anything BC talk is cool with me!

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Meet Brian Zipse 

Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing since birth. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat, Forego, and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra, Zenyatta, and American Pharoah. 

Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. 
  
As Managing Editor of Horse Racing Nation, Brian authors a daily column as Zipse at the Track, or ZATT for short, and adds his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Brian also consults for Derby Wars, is on the the Board of Directors of ReRun Thoroughbred Adoption and is a Vox Populi committee member. 
  
A graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives just outside of Louisville with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra.  

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