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HRN Original Blog:
Pedigree Power

Who's Hot and Who's Not at Keeneland: Sires, Trainers, and Jockeys

 
There were only three days of racing to kick off the spring meet at Keeneland this year. Not enough data to create any meaningful stats, but just enough info to think about as you handicap this week's card.
 
During the Keeneland meet, I'll keep you up to date on all of the trends - which sires' offspring are showing a fondness for Polytrack, which jocks and trainers are having a strong meet, track bias, and where the most winners are shipping in from. Look for this info to be posted Monday through Wednesdays throughout the meet.

Sires:

Distorted Humor's (above) progeny are worth their weight in gold at Keeneland. Out of four runners, three have won and one finished second. Win payouts were $34.80, $18.20 and $10.80.
 
Kitten's Joy is an automatic play at Keeneland. He's had two winners, one second place finisher from three runners. If you see a Kitten's Joy sired runner trained by Mike Maker and owned by the Ramsey's, run to the betting window. Two Kitten Joy runners with the Maker/Ramsey connection paid over $15 apiece. 
 
Giant's Causeway also has two winners and a runner-up from three starters.
 
Keep an eye on the freshman sire U S Ranger. He's had two starters and both have finished in the money. For the most part, his offspring will be very precocious. Although he was a turf sprinter, U S Ranger's babies may surprise and go as far as 1 1/8 miles, especially over turf and Polytrack. His offspring racing over dirt may prefer shorter distances.
 
Other sires who are hot (3 or more runners) right now at Keeneland:
Bernstein: 3 runners, 2 ITM
Posse, Orientate: 3 runners, 1 winner, 1 ITM


Not so hot:
Lion Heart, Rockport Harbor, Smarty Jones: 0-3


Jockeys:

Currently Joel Rosario and Julien Leparoux are slugging it out for the top spot. Each have ridden 15 horses. Joel is one win ahead of Leparoux with 5, but Julien has a total of 8 in the money. Unless something untoward happens, these two exceptional athletes will be battling to the end of the meet for top honors.
 
Other jocks to watch are Alan Garcia (27% wins, 55% ITM) and Jesus Castanon (25% wins, 42% ITM)


Left at the gate:
Corie Lanerie has received the most mounts (21) but he's only 1-21. He's ITM 38%. 
James Graham: 18-0-2-1
Brian Hernandez, Jr.: 13-0-2-3
Robby Albarado: 11-0-2-1


Trainers:
Mike Maker traditionally has a strong meet at Keeneland, especially with the Ramsey-owned runners. He continued the trend on Sunday, owning the seventh, eighth and ninth races. Astute backers were rewarded with win payouts of $15.60, $15.40, and $9.40. Overall, Maker is hitting with 36% winners and 50% ITM on the main course.
Graham Motion's charges are the ones to bet over the turf course. His main track record is 0-5 so far, however, two of his five runners have won over the lawn and his overall rate is an excellent 10-2-3-2.
 
Experienced handicappers know that Wesley Ward is the king of early two year old racing at Keeneland. He isn't disappointing this year either, as he's 2-2 in the maiden races.


Searching for the Winners' Circle:
Mark Casse: 14-2-1-0
Wayne Lukas: 0-6
Kelly Gorder, Wayne Rice: 0-5



 

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Older Comments about Who's Hot and Who's Not at Keeneland: Sires, Trainers, and Jockeys...

Great information. Keeneland can appear to be a crap shoot with shippers from all corners of the country and the different surfaces. This helps.
That was great. Keep it coming.
Gotta love data like this for a short meet. Thanks, Laura!
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Meet Laurie Ross
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I've been around horses for most of my life, working in racing stables as a hot walker and exercise rider in my teenage years, and later as a volunteer with rescued and retired racehorses. I became interested in pedigree when the sons and daughters of my favorite horses started their racing careers.   

 

For more than a decade, I've passionately studied pedigree, how it applies to handicapping and breeding theories. In 2010, I joined Horse Racing Nation as their Pedigree Analyst, focusing on juvenile stakes winners, Triple Crown contenders and first crop sires from a handicapping perspective.   

 

In 2011, I accepted the role of South Florida Coordinator and Advisory Board Member for the national non-profit Thoroughbred Racing Fan Association (ThoroFan). Working closely with Gulfstream Park management and other race fans, we created a ThoroFan Chapter at Gulfstream Race Track. Our main project is assisting Thoroughbred rescue and re-training groups.

 

I continue to maintain my website Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds and blog of the same name. As a pedigree consultant, I specialize in assisting small to mid-size breeding/training operations with broodmare breeding reports, sales catalog analysis and recommendations on claims and private sales. 10 - 20% of all proceeds are donated to Thoroughbred rescue and retraining groups.
 
I welcome your questions regarding pedigree, handicapping and breeding. If you would like me to cover a specific topic please contact me at lross@horseracingnation.com.