were only three days of racing to kick off the spring meet at
Keeneland this year. Not enough data to create any meaningful stats,
but just enough info to think about as you handicap this week's card.
the Keeneland meet, I'll keep you up to date on all of the trends -
which sires' offspring are showing a fondness for Polytrack, which
jocks and trainers are having a strong meet, track bias, and where the
most winners are shipping in from. Look for this info to be posted
Monday through Wednesdays throughout the meet.
Distorted Humor's (above) progeny are worth their weight in gold at Keeneland. Out of four
runners, three have won and one finished second. Win payouts were
$34.80, $18.20 and $10.80.
Kitten's Joy is an automatic play at Keeneland. He's had two winners, one second
place finisher from three runners. If you see a Kitten's Joy sired
runner trained by Mike Maker and owned by the Ramsey's, run to the
betting window. Two Kitten Joy runners with the Maker/Ramsey connection paid over $15 apiece.
Keep an eye on the freshman sire U S Ranger. He's had two starters
and both have finished in the money. For the most part, his
offspring will be very precocious. Although he was a turf sprinter, U
S Ranger's babies may surprise and go as far as 1 1/8 miles,
especially over turf and Polytrack. His offspring racing over dirt
may prefer shorter distances.
sires who are hot (3 or more runners) right now at Keeneland:
3 runners, 2 ITM
Orientate: 3 runners, 1 winner, 1 ITM
Heart, Rockport Harbor, Smarty Jones: 0-3
Joel Rosario and Julien Leparoux are slugging it out for the top
spot. Each have ridden 15 horses. Joel is one win ahead of Leparoux
with 5, but Julien has a total of 8 in the money. Unless something
untoward happens, these two exceptional athletes will be battling to
the end of the meet for top honors.
jocks to watch are Alan Garcia (27% wins, 55% ITM) and Jesus Castanon
(25% wins, 42% ITM)
at the gate:
Lanerie has received the most mounts (21) but he's only 1-21. He's
Hernandez, Jr.: 13-0-2-3
Mike Maker traditionally has a strong meet at Keeneland, especially with
the Ramsey-owned runners. He continued the trend on Sunday, owning
the seventh, eighth and ninth races. Astute backers were rewarded
with win payouts of $15.60, $15.40, and $9.40. Overall, Maker is
hitting with 36% winners and 50% ITM on the main course.
Motion's charges are the ones to bet over the turf course. His main
track record is 0-5 so far, however, two of his five runners have won
over the lawn and his overall rate is an excellent 10-2-3-2.
handicappers know that Wesley Ward is the king of early two year old
racing at Keeneland. He isn't disappointing this year either, as he's
2-2 in the maiden races.
for the Winners' Circle:
Gorder, Wayne Rice: 0-5