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HRN Original Blog:
Pedigree Power

What do Shanghai Bobby and Rolling Fog have in common?

The legendary sire line of Northern Dancer was clearly evident in the major two year old races on both coasts this week. At Saratoga Shanghai Bobby, Northern Dancer's descendant through his grandson Storm Cat, celebrated a victory in the Hopeful Stakes (G-2). Two days later, Rolling Fog, a great grandson of Deputy Minister, who himself is a grandson of Northern Dancer, captured the Del Mar Futurity (G-1). Given the influence that Northern Dancer has in modern Thoroughbred bloodlines, this isn't surprising.

Additionally, both colts have connections to Blushing Groom. Known as a leading broodmare sire, Blushing Groom was a French Champion Juvenile and as a sire was designated as a Brilliant/Classic Chef-de-race. His brilliance is evident in Posse, the sire of Rolling Fog and in Orientate, the damsire of Shanghai Bobby.

Lets take a closer look at the pedigrees of Shanghai Bobby and Rolling Fog. Both the Hopeful Stakes and Del Mar Futurity are “Win and You're In” Breeders' Cup races, meaning both colts are guaranteed a spot in the starting gate of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile in two months.



In the Hopeful Stakes (G-2) on September 3 at Saratoga, Shanghai Bobby went wide the entire seven furlongs while pressing the pace in third. Rounding the far turn, he took command and opened up on the field. The Todd Pletcher trainee crossed the wire 3 ¾ lengths in front and stopped the clock in 1:22.72.

Shanghai Bobby is now undefeated in three starts, including a victory in the 5 ½ furlong Track Barron Stakes at Belmont. The speedy colt won the Track Barron in 1:02. 87, just a tick off of the track record of 1:02.26.
 

SIRE:
Shanghai Bobby is bred to be a precocious runner. His sire gets win-early runners over all surfaces. Harlan's Holiday's dirt/synthetic offspring are best up to 1 1/6 miles, but his turf progeny can handle 1 1/8 miles. Besides Shanghai Bobby, Harlan's Holiday's other 2012 juvenile stakes winners include American Sugar (Prairie Gold Lassie), Zeewat (Cavonnier Juvenile) and the Irish Gr.-2 winner My Special J's. Harlan Holiday's son Carson's Crown placed in the Hollywood Juvenile Championship (G-3).
 

FEMALE FAMILY:
Shanghai Bobby is the first foal produced by his dam. Steelin' didn't make her debut until February of her three year old season and needed six starts to win her maiden. She evolved into a versatile allowance class runner in California, winning races up to 1 1/6 miles over dirt, turf and Polytrack. As a four year old, Steelin' won a listed sprint stakes at Fairplex. Steelin is the best foal produced by her dam Steel Band (by Carson City). Steel Band is a full sister to City Band, heroine of the Oak Leaf (G-1) and Golden Rod Stakes (G-3). Shanghai Bobby's third dam Wedding Band (by Mighty Appealing) was a listed stakes winner. There are a few other minor blacktype runners sprinkled throughout this female family.
 
 

DAMSIRE:
Orientate (Mt. Livermore - Dream Team, by Cox's Ridge) is Shanghai Bobby's damsire. Although he won up to 1 1/16 miles, Orientate earned Champion Sprinter honors after a victory in the 2002 Breeders' Cup Sprint. He's a young damsire and besides Shanghai Bobby, is represented by only one other stakes winner, 2011 Mountaineer Juvenile Stakes winner Backdoor Kenny.
 

HANDICAPPER'S PERSPECTIVE:
Shanghai Bobby has the conformation of a sprinter-miler. He isn't as compact as some sprinters, although he has a slightly upright shoulder. The leggy colt has a thick neck and defined muscular shoulder, balanced by powerful hindquarters. He appears to be slightly cow-hocked and has longer than average cannons. While racing, Shanghai Bobby's gait has slightly high knee action, no wasted motion, average reach for his build and no paddling of his forelegs. In the Champagne Stakes, once clear of the field, Shanghai Bobby raced a bit greenly down the stretch, ducking slightly towards the rail in response to the whip. This isn't cause for concern since it is only his third start.

Shanghai Bobby will likely be distance challenged and may find 1 1/16 miles at the top of his range. He may point for the Champagne Stakes (G-1) at Belmont on October 6 or train up to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile.




In the seven furlong Del Mar Futurity (G-1), Rolling Fog pressed the pace set by Caballo De Cielo for most of the race. Rounding the far turn Rolling Fog put that foe away and held a convincing 1 ½ length lead in the stretch. Trained by Bob Baffert, Rolling Fog flashed under the wire in 1:22.96 and 1 ¼ lengths ahead of the race favorite Know More.
 

SIRE:
Rolling Fog became a Grade 1 Stakes winner in only his second start. His sire Posse passes along brilliant win-early speed to his offspring. Most of his babies are best up to 1 1/16 miles over dirt, turf and Polytrack, although he does have a turf winner at 1 1/8 miles and two stakes placed runners at the same distance.
 

FEMALE FAMILY:
Rolling Fog's dam Fog Dance raced just once, placing seventh in her two year old debut. Fog Dance bore seven foals. Six have raced, five are winners and she has a yearling Mineshaft foal. Rolling Fog is her first offspring to earn blacktype. Rolling Fog is descended from a quality distaff line. His dam is a half sister to the stakes winner Quiet Dance (by Quiet American). Quiet Dance bore 2005 Horse of the Year Saint Liam the graded stakes winners American Dance, Congressionalhonor, and the stakes winners Dance Quietly and Quiet Giant. Quiet Dance is also the granddam of Mother Goose (G-1) heroine Buster's Ready. Rolling Fog traces back to the Champion mare and blue hen Gallorette.
 


 
DAMSIRE:
Unbridled's Song (Unbridled - Trolley Song, by Caro (IRE)) the damsire of Rolling Fog won his debut and then the Breeders' Cup Juvenile in only his third start. As a three year old, the pretty gray colt won the Florida Derby and Wood Memorial, but was fifth in the Kentucky Derby as the favorite. Unbridled's Song offers a touch of stamina to the pedigree as his daughters' offspring win at all distances. He is represented by three winners at Classic distances (1 ¼ – 1 ½ miles).
 

HANDICAPPER'S PERSPECTIVE:
Rolling Fog has an average reach, smooth, efficient gait with no wasted motion or paddling. He appears to have the conformation of a sprinter/miler type, with a short, thick neck and strong, muscular body. Rolling Fog should be best as a sprinter/miler up to 1 1/16 miles. Rolling Fog may be pointed to the FrontRunner Stakes at Santa Anita on September 29.
 

 

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Older Comments about What do Shanghai Bobby and Rolling Fog have in common?...

Bobby is s a real nice colt, who will do well at the shorter routes.
haha!! so true seattleslewgal345!
Just as I thought. Both look like they would be better sprinters than route runners. I dunno, it seems like most of the juvies this year are turning out to be sprinters, and middle distance runners.

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Meet Laurie Ross
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I've been around horses for most of my life, working in racing stables as a hot walker and exercise rider in my teenage years, and later as a volunteer with rescued and retired racehorses. I became interested in pedigree when the sons and daughters of my favorite horses started their racing careers.   

 

For more than a decade, I've passionately studied pedigree, how it applies to handicapping and breeding theories. In 2010, I joined Horse Racing Nation as their Pedigree Analyst, focusing on juvenile stakes winners, Triple Crown contenders and first crop sires from a handicapping perspective.   

 

In 2011, I accepted the role of South Florida Coordinator and Advisory Board Member for the national non-profit Thoroughbred Racing Fan Association (ThoroFan). Working closely with Gulfstream Park management and other race fans, we created a ThoroFan Chapter at Gulfstream Race Track. Our main project is assisting Thoroughbred rescue and re-training groups.

 

I continue to maintain my website Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds and blog of the same name. As a pedigree consultant, I specialize in assisting small to mid-size breeding/training operations with broodmare breeding reports, sales catalog analysis and recommendations on claims and private sales. 10 - 20% of all proceeds are donated to Thoroughbred rescue and retraining groups.
 
I welcome your questions regarding pedigree, handicapping and breeding. If you would like me to cover a specific topic please contact me at lross@horseracingnation.com.