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HRN Original Blog:
Pedigree Power

Predicting Hansen's Sire Potential

The three year old colt division was dealt a blow with the sudden retirement of last year's Two Year Old Champion Hansen. The gallant light gray colt suffered a tendon injury in September and was subsequently retired.

Hansen received national attention when he demolished a group of juvenile colts in the Kentucky Cup Juvenile Stakes. Just two weeks earlier, the Michael Maker trainee dispatched maidens in similar fashion over the Turfway Park Polytrack, winning his racing debut by 12 ¼ lengths, getting 5 ½ furlongs in 1:05.12.

The free-running Hansen was sent off the third choice in the 2011 Breeders' Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs. Racing over dirt for the first time in his career, the son of Tapit carved out legitimate fractions on the front end. Meanwhile, the race favorite Union Rags raced wide the whole way and came up a short head behind Hansen. 
 

 
This year, Hansen recorded a win in the Gotham Stakes as the favorite and second place finishes in the Holy Bull and Toyota Blue Grass Stakes. In the Kentucky Derby, Hansen pressed the pace from third place, then tired in the stretch to finish ninth, in the first off of the board placing in his career. Bypassing the Preakness and Belmont Stakes, the plucky colt destroyed four rivals in the Iowa Derby (G-3).

In what was supposed to be a prep race for the Travers Stakes, Hansen took his customary spot leading the field in the West Virginia Derby (G-2). He dueled the whole way with Hero of Order. The two fought though quick early fractions and the duel took it's toll in the stretch. Hanson tired to finish fourth, only 2 ¼ lengths behind the winner. Undeterred, his owner Dr. Kendall Hansen pointed Hansen to the Travers Stakes.

Unfortunately, days before the Mid-summer Derby, Hanson suffered a tear in his left front tendon. News of his retirement came a month later.

Race Record: 9-5-2-0 ($1,810,805)

Career Highlights:
1st – Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G-1)
1st – Gotham Stakes (G-3)
1st – Iowa Derby (G-3)
1st – Kentucky Club Juvenile (listed)
2nd – Toyota Blue Grass (G-1)
2nd – Holy Bull Stakes (G-3)

Although negations with breeding farms are ongoing, Dr. Hansen stated that he would like to see his stallion offered at a competitive price popular with breeders. Dr. Hansen also commented that he'll be active at the Keeneland mixed sales to find good matches to support his horse at stud.  Dr. Hansen remarked, "What's different in this situation from other owners is that when you name a horse (after yourself), you don't think about a situation like this. Obviously, I'd like to see the family name at the top of the Freshmen Sire Lists rather than at the bottom."


Sire:
Hansen's sire Tapit is a son of sire of sires, Pulpit (by A.P. Indy). Besides Tapit, Pulpit's top sons at stud include Sky Mesa, Corinthian, Stroll, and Parading. Pulpit is represented by over 30 sons standing at stud world wide.

Tapit is descended from a strong, classy distaff line. His dam is a daughter of Kentucky Derby winner Unbridled. Tapit's second, third and fourth dam's are blue hens. Offspring in the line include the durable sire Relaunch, Grade 1 winning sire Rubiano, top California sire Golden Act, and multiple Grade 1 heroine Life At Ten.
 
The gray stallion was off to a tremendous start at stud when he sired two champions right off the bat. Stardom Bound, a daughter from Tapit's first crop, earned Juvenile Filly Championship honors after reeling off five consecutive Grade 1 wins, including the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies.  Tapit's son As De Trebol earned honors as Spain's Champion Juvenile in the same year. Tapit's babies hit the track running and are known for their precocity. He gets an above average 17% two year old winners.
 
Tapit is a young stallion with four sons standing at stud. His sons Concord Point ($7,500) and Trappe Shot ($10,000) stand in Kentucky. Two minor sons, Make Reservations and Tippty Tap stand for private fees in New York. None are represented by offspring on the track.



Damsire:
Hansen's damsire Sir Cat is a lesser son of the prolific stallion Storm Cat. Sir Cat stood at stud in the U.S. for seven years before transferring to Chile. As a broodmare sire, Sir Cat is represented by Santa Anita Oaks (G-1) heroine Crisp and four listed stakes winners. Tapit's second damsire Highland Park and third damsire Champion Three Year Old Temperence Hill were average at stud and produced few stakes caliber runners.

Hanson's distaff line is modest, filled with claiming class runners. Hanson is the first blacktype winner in his female family in five generations and there are only 9% stakes winners in his first seven generations.

Breeding Recommendations:
Hanson carries the bloodlines of the top three stallions in the US, Bold Ruler through A.P. Indy and Secretariat (5S x 5D), Raise A Native (5S x 4D) through his sons Mr. Prospector and Highland Park, and Northern Dancer (4S x 5S) through his sons Nijinsky and Storm Cat. Hansen's linebreeding is four or more generations back, so mating him to mares descended from the main sire lines should prove successful.
 
 

Other sire lines that would work are those of Roberto, Halo, Stop The Music, Tiznow Wild Again, Turn To (Hail To Reason, Cyane, First Landing, Graustark) and Holy Bull.

Breeding back to notable blue hens is a common breeding theory. Tapit's distaff line is that of Lowe's Family 3-o. The descendants of the blue hen Foggy Note (Tapit's fourth dam) include Relaunch, Glitterman (by Dewan) and Chimes Band (by Dixieland Band). Breeding mares by these stallions to Hansen could result in Rasmussen Factor inbreeding (inbred to a superior mare within five generations) to Foggy Note or her blue hen daughters Moon Glitter or Bell O' Reason. This type of breeding to foggy note has resulted in ten stakes winners, including the multiple Graded Stakes mare Concorde Point (Tapit – Harve De Grace, by Capote).

Hansen has a proven likeness for synthetic tracks. If he is bred to mares with proven family form over synthetic surfaces, he could prove to be a valuable niche stallion.

Outlook:
Obviously, we won't know what class of offspring Hanson will produce at this point. However, his progeny should be precocious and best up to 1 1/6 miles. They should handle all surfaces, but be especially adept over synthetic surfaces and dirt. If his babies receive Hansen's temperament and determination to win, they should be successful at all levels.

 


 

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Older Comments about Predicting Hansen's Sire Potential...

that was GUBBMENT of course!
Edward Plunkett Taylor did a bit of the same thing until Northern Dancer's fee became worth so much. Which we could re-incarnate the guy today....ANY interested should sign this petition to let the gibbment know that fans love Woodbine. http://www.racingfuture.com/save-canadian-racing
Top breeders like Bradley, Phipps, Calumet, etc. bred their own mares to their homebred stallion. It was rare for say ER Bradley to have outsiders breed to Black Toney. Rosa Hoots was an exception when her mare Useeit was bred to Black Toney and foaled Black Gold. What Dr. Hansen is doing is what was done in the past. I wish him the best of luck.
Fred W. Hooper only followed Fred W. Hooper in his breeding chioces and it never hurt him or his runners.
Hope Dr.H can pick a wonderful mare for himself and my favorite, Hansen. Also that he gets to raise it and own the baby himself.
I agree and appreciate that Dr. Hansen is putting thought into breeding matches for his horse. He subscribed Hansen to Truenicks months ago, and apparently plans to stay involved in his stud career.
Dr. Hansen graciously spent time answering my questions about Hansen and he has some unique ideas about the types of mares he'd like to breed to Hansen. Refreshing to speak to someone with an "out of the box" approach.
NO ONE KNOWS: look at Citation, Palace Music, Cigar and manu many others. Bid..the list is long whereas who would have PREDICTED that Northern Dancer, Mr. Prospector or Storm Cat would be the sires they become.
It's just not possible to know how good a sire he will be, but the mare, Lady Primrose, that Dr. Hansen purchased is theoretically a great match.
Dr. Hansen is already purchasing mares to breed to Hansen...I think he knows what he is doing, so I think there is great potential there
Great question -- Will Hansen be an impact sire? Should be good with the 2YOs.

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Meet Laurie Ross
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I've been around horses for most of my life, working in racing stables as a hot walker and exercise rider in my teenage years, and later as a volunteer with rescued and retired racehorses. I became interested in pedigree when the sons and daughters of my favorite horses started their racing careers.   

 

For more than a decade, I've passionately studied pedigree, how it applies to handicapping and breeding theories. In 2010, I joined Horse Racing Nation as their Pedigree Analyst, focusing on juvenile stakes winners, Triple Crown contenders and first crop sires from a handicapping perspective.   

 

In 2011, I accepted the role of South Florida Coordinator and Advisory Board Member for the national non-profit Thoroughbred Racing Fan Association (ThoroFan). Working closely with Gulfstream Park management and other race fans, we created a ThoroFan Chapter at Gulfstream Race Track. Our main project is assisting Thoroughbred rescue and re-training groups.

 

I continue to maintain my website Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds and blog of the same name. As a pedigree consultant, I specialize in assisting small to mid-size breeding/training operations with broodmare breeding reports, sales catalog analysis and recommendations on claims and private sales. 10 - 20% of all proceeds are donated to Thoroughbred rescue and retraining groups.
 
I welcome your questions regarding pedigree, handicapping and breeding. If you would like me to cover a specific topic please contact me at lross@horseracingnation.com.