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HRN Original Blog:
Pedigree Power

Kentucky Derby 2014 - Shared Belief Pedigree Profile

 
The best two year old in the land stayed home on Breeders’ Cup day. Instead, he made  the last graded stakes race at Hollywood Park a memorable one with a dazzling show of brilliance in the CashCall Futurity (G-1). Shared Belief has run away from his competition by over 20 lengths in three starts. He’s thoroughly professional. In ever start he’s sat  behind the pace in the early race stages then blasts away through the stretch. The dark bay’s final quarters have been quicker than the previous ones – something we rarely see and the mark of a very good racehorse.  Shared Belief’s final time in the 1 1/16 mile CashCall was 1:42.16, the fastest time since 2008. His time is comparable to that of Belmont Stakes winners Point Given and A.P. Indy, and Kentucky Derby runner-up Lion Heart.
 
Shared Belief was bred by Pam and Martin Wygod and made his first start for them under trainer Jedd Josephson. He was then sold privately to a partnership that included trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, Jungle Racing, Alex Solis II, Jason Litt, and KMN Racing.  The two year old has a 3-3-0-0- ($451,200) record and has the Hollywood Prevue (G-3) and CashCall Futurity (G-1) on his resume.
 
Sire:
SHARED BELIEF (Candy Ride (ARG) - Common Hope, by Storm Cat) is by the unbeaten Candy Ride. The stallion was brought to the US by veteran trainer Ron McAnally after eye-catching performances in a pair of Group 1 races in Argentina. Candy Ride raced only three times in the US, but had racegoers buzzing with excitement. After defeating allowance company going 1 1/16 miles on dirt, A month later Candy Ride switched to turf and captured the 1 1/8 mile American Handicap (G-2). He faced a small but tough field in the Pacific Classic and proved up to the task, beating Medaglia D’Oro by 3 ¾ lengths and setting a new track record for 1 ¼ miles in 1:59.11. McAnally wanted a fresh horse for the following year, and kept Candy Ride out of the Breeders’ Cup Classic.  While in training the following year, the stalllion was injured and retired.
 
At stud, Candy Ride is siring offspring as versatile as their sire. They’re hardy runners, sticking around until they’re five or six.  Dirt, turf, synthetics, Candy Rides babies run over everything and their distance range is sprints to middle distances.  Although he won at 1 ¼ miles and set a track record, Candy Ride’s stakes progeny are distance challenged past 1 1/8 miles. To date, he has six crops on the track and only one, Misremembered, has won at 1 ¼ miles, although four other stakes horses have placed at the distance. Besides Shared Belief, Candy Ride’s most accomplished runners include the stakes veterans Kettlecorn, Clubhouse Ride, Evita Argintina, Sidney’s Candy, Twirling Candy and Capt Candyman Can. Incedently, Candy Ride is also the sire of Candy Boy, the second place finisher in the CashCall Futurity.
 
CANDY RIDE ( Ride the Rails - Candy Girl (ARG), by Candy Stripes)
Shared Belief Sire Candy RideRace record: 6-6-0-0 ($749,149)
1st – Pacific Classic (G-1) 1 ¼ miles
1st – American Handicap (G-2) 1 1/8 miles (T)
1st - Joaquin S. de Anchorena (Gr. 1)  1 mile
1st - San Isidro (Gr. 1) 1 mile
 
 
Female Family:
Shared Belief’s dam Common Hope won once in five starts, a nose decision over maidens traveling 6 ½ furlongs on the Del Mar Polytrack. She placed in an optional claimer at the same distance on Santa Anita’s dirt. Besides Shared Belief, Common Hope bore seven other foals. All raced, six are winners.  Her daughter Little Miss Holly (by Maria’s Mon) won the Iowa Oaks (G-3) and son Double Major (by Bertrando) is stakes placed.  Common Hope’s offspring are multi-talented over dirt, mud, turf and synthetics. 
 
The second dam Sown, won both starts before being injured and retired. Her most accomplished foal on the track was Santa Monica Stakes (G-1) winner Key Phrase (by Flying Paster). That one bore the stakes winner and sire Yankee Gentleman (by Storm Cat) and stakes placed Key Deputy (by Deputy Commander).  Key Phrase is also the grand-dam of the multiple graded stakes winning sprinter and sire Half Ours (by Unbridled’s Song) and Grade 3 winner Khancord Kid (by Lemon Drop Kid). Sown's son Tribal Rule never won a stakes, but he's a top California sire. By Storm Cat, Trible Rule is a full brother to Shared Belief's dam Common Hope. Tribal Rule is noted for getting win-early, distance challenged types. He's represented by two stakes winners at 1 1/8 miles and none past that distance.  
 
Shared Belief, Common Hope and the second dam Sown, are all Wygod homebreds.  Shared Belief’s third dam Bad Seed was a minor stakes winner and his fourth dam Rich and Rare was Champion Two Year Old Filly in England. Shared Belief is a member of the Lowes Female Family 19. There are no blue hens in this particular branch. Shared Belief may carry the large heart gene or “X-Factor” gene from his damsire.
 
Shared Belief pedigree chart
 
 
Damsire:
Shared Belief damsireThe international sire Storm Cat is Shared Belief’s broodmare sire. Storm Cat is a chameleon of sorts. Bred to  mares with stamina oriented pedigrees, he would get two turn runners, and those mares who were sprint oriented would produce sprinter/miler types. This was the key to his remarkable success in the breeding shed.
 
 
 
Storm Cat is excelling as a broodmare sire as well. He’s been the leading broodmare sire for two years running and has been among the top ten leading broodmare sires since 2005.  Among the 101 stakes winning offspring produced by his daughters are Classic placed Bodemeister, Florida Derby winner Dialed In, and  this year’s Remsen winner Honor Code.
 
Shared Belief has similar breeding to Santa Anita Derby winner Sidney’s Candy. Both are by Candy Ride out of daughters of Storm Cat.  Sidney’s Candy won only once at 1 1/8 miles. He finished 17th in the 2010 Kentucky Derby, but continued on to become a multiple stakes winner.  The stallion won over dirt, turf and Cushion Track.
 
Outlook:
Shared Belief Triple Crown TrailShared Belief favors his damsire Storm Cat in the looks department.  He has an amazingly devastating and noticable burst of speed with a beautiful extension and stride. The only drawback is that he paddles slightly with his left foreleg. Shared Belief’s pedigree indicates that he’s very borderline for 1 1/14 miles, but his natural talent could overcome that in the right circumstances. 
 
 
Oh, did I mention that Shared Belief is a gelding? They don’t fare too well in the Kentucky Derby, only nine have won since the Classic race’s inception.  There’s still hope though, since two of those nine winners wore the roses in 2003 (Funny Cide) and 2009 (Mine That Bird). 
 
So what can we expect from Shared Belief on the Triple Crown trail? Currently, he’s mane and tail above anything California has to offer and his performances have made the East Coast horses look boring.  There are always those looking for chinks in the racing tack though, so I suppose Shared Belief could fall into the “Who did he beat” category. Lets see…Bond Holder, winner of the G-1 Frontrunner Stakes and fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, Tamarando, winner of the Del Mar Futurity (G-1) and Real Quiet Stakes, and Kobe’s Back, winner of the Willard L. Proctor Memorial.  Not too shabby. This extraodinary gelding will have many racing fans believing in him before the first Saturday in May.

 

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Older Comments about Kentucky Derby 2014 - Shared Belief Pedigree Profile...

Hope he stays healthy and trains well enough to come back in the affirmed June 7, good luck
I love it! The fact that you mentioned he could have the X-Factor gene! Anyone who loves this sport will be cheering for the horse because he is a superstar! No one finished races like he did last year, I know that he could be an excellent sprinter, but he proved alot going the distance he did in the Cashcall. He had plenty left in the tank and I honestly think he will be just fine on dirt.
I have never been super impressed with him. I am doubting his ability to run on dirt. And the 2 horses I had my money on in the CashCall had rough trips (Kobes back and Tap it Rich). He most likely will not last going a mile and a quarter. My choice for next years derby is Strong Mandate and Kobes back
Signs a two year old will not keep it up: they do not travel, they show an inability to stretch out, they experience pace collapse at the end of their races, their parents were the same way, there are a good amount of horses who are not winning but are running well (2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, maybe even 6th). Using these tips, how does Shared Belief match up? I think he passes into becoming a nice 3yo but other horses might develop just a little bit better
When talking about whether a 2yo old transition to 3yo will be successful, so far as I know no one has a formula for that. Whether they can run on dirt or turf is another question mark until they do it, just as it is with distance. As for my saying he's powerful let's take that in the context it was said. "powerful indicator of ability to move forward"
Who ever questioned his talent. He has ability,big deal.So do many other horses. If this guy flops as a dirt horse,he has another surface to fall back on. The issue with this topic is not his talents or abilities. It is ,will they transfer to the dirt for him to be competetive in the Triple Crown Chase. I am not as positive as others. You say he is powerful.He is not as good as Sidneys Candy yet. Sid won the Santa Anita Derby as a 3yo. All this guy did was win a Stakes race where a 25-1 horse who just broke his maiden ,ran a comfortable 2nd. I could care less if this guy goes to the Bluegrass and runs on the Poly. But let him win a race like that,before you even compare him to Sid. Let alone make him great at the age of 2. All i am saying is give him a chance. Like i said in a previous post on another thread. His previous trainer Johnson wins at a 20% clip. When he broke his maiden he ran very big. If you owned this horse and you were so sure he would handle the dirt,as well as you are telling me. Where would you rather break his maiden,at GG or at Santa Anita. Like saying you have a NY Statebred, you think he has a ton of abiliy,yet you run him ata theFinger Lakes instead of Saratoga. Believe me ,yhey knew their horse from the time they were gearing him up.If they were sure on the dirt.He would of been at the Santa Anita meet.
What's the difference to people who are professionals and profit is the bottom line. If he can't run on dirt he will run on turf I would think, that is if were taking pedigree into account, and we most certainly are up to this point in this discussion. You must have watched him. No matter who he was against he exploded that last Furlong in 11:76 in a move an experienced handicapper like yourself knows is a powerful indicator of ability to move forward. As for BHP being a turf like substance and faster than dirt, I wold dispute that as the track record for 10f on that particular surface is 2:OO.3/5
I guess your right icy,hard to dismiss a son of this guy on the dirt. After all,he has been at it since 2006 and still no luck. I am sure that were many who made the same comments for the past 7 years. Hard to dismiss a son of this guy on the dirt. For the "X" amount of times. Nobody is dismissing this guy,he may be the exception to the ruke. I am willing to give him the benefit of the doubt. It is the people on the other side of the debate that take offense ,and are so positive that there is no way this guy will not handle the dirt. But i guess they have that long list of succesful sons to go by.i
Sidney's Candy was excellent on the dirt. I once watched him run at Santa Anita on the turf, leaving dust clouds in his wake. Candy Ride the sire of Shared Belief and Sidney's Candy won the Pacific Classic Stakes in a track record time for 1¼ miles on dirt of 1:59:11 before the switch to synthetic happened. Hard to tout Dosage and then dismiss the son of an undeafeated horse on any surface, including dirt:-)
Rosemarie,you were not wrong. Candy Ride became a very good Sire. Just not on the Dirt. There is nothing wrong with that.When he was right and at his peak Sidneys Candy was a bear on turf and pole.Twirling Candy was a rocket ship at various distances.
I loved Candy Ride and was very disappointed when he was retired. I told anyone who would listen that he would be a fine stud. As far as Shared Belief is concerned, I have him in my future bets and if he does get into the starting gate on the first Saturday in May, well, lets just say I think I have very very good chance of cashing in that bet. I'm just hoping he stays healthy.
I wouldn't quite call SB the best two year old in the land. Until he faces and beats colts like Honor Code, Havana, or New Years Day. I also wouldn't call him head and tails above everyone else. New Year's Day had a very impressive grade one win along with Honor codes impressive two turn win and fighti for first place. Also SB's distance ability is questionable (along with Havanas) so I would put HC and NYC as my top two prospects for next year
I know exactly what you meant,but the way you startd out your post .You made it seem that he did every other 2yo a favor by not running. This horse could turn out to be a Superstar or a bust on the dirt. To me it is this overhype that is on overload. He beat a nice field,the horse that ran 2nd just broke his maiden. That is not a true fact that if you run well at Hollywood ,you will handle the dirt. It is up to the individual horse. You are corect,Indy and Point Givens times were not fast. So why bring them up. It was a strategic point on your part and i commend you.Same with the opening staement.You have to catch the attention of the reader immediately. Great job on that,you caught my attention.As far as his handling the dirt.None of us know for sure,even if he worked on the dirt,a race is so much different. But my contention is that J Johnson,his previous trainer. He wins at almost a 20% clip,that tells me he is more than competent. Shared Belief ran an excellent race 1rst out At GOLDEN GATE. If this guy really thoughth he could handle the dirt just as good or better. Don't you think he would of run him at the more prestigious SANTA ANITA meet. When i bet or rate horse,i look at the intent of the connections.These guys main goal was to sell the horse.They knew exactly what he was capable of on the carpet. They were probably not as sure on the dirt. Thus the graet race and the sale. Like i mentioned earlier.S.B cannot run again and it was a great purchase.Just let him do something before we put him at the top of themountain. In my eyes there are 5 to 7 of them that are vying for the crown.
Thanks for the comment. The begining of my article was basically, in hindsight and a current view of the 2YO picture. Cushion Track plays like a dirt surface. The majority of horses that run over dirt will take to Cushion and there's not much difference in final race times. Polytrack is a whole 'nother animal and I wouldn't compare a race on poly to turf to one on cushion or dirt. The Cushion Track final times of the CashCall are comparable to the final times of the race when it was held over dirt. The final times of AP Indy and Point Given's CC Futurity final times were nothing special; they didn't set records. I simply used their final times as a comparison. Stormello recorded a 1:42.19, and won by a neck, his time was also faster than both Belmont winners. Afternoon Deelights holds the record at 1:40.74 (1994 over dirt). In comparison, Into Mischief ran a 1:40.82 in 2007 over cushion. A horse’s form as a 3YO can drastically change from his 2YO form. Currently, I think Shared Belief is at the top of the heap in terms of talent. By March it could be Shared who?
Laurie , in the manner in which you begin your article. i quote" The best 2yo in the land stayed home on Breeders Cup Day". Did you really feel that way on Nov. 2nd 2013. After he ran in a MSW race at GG ,just 2 weeks prior. If you would of made that stement the Morning of the Jeuvenile race. I think the overwhelming response would of been Honor Code. I have no problem in your thinking he is the leader of the 2yos' in the clubhouse at this stage. Just sounds as though many knew that to be a fact. The following statement is correct and i agree. On that day he was Dazzling and Brilliant. Then we disagree again. You compare his time for the race to all time greats Point Given and A.P. Indy. I believe they ran their races on the dirt,the same surface that all 3 Triple Crown races are run at. Does this mean that if a 2yo somehow breaks that record in a turf race, he or she will now be compared to the All Time greats. My point,it is a different surface,sort of like comparing Apples to Oranges.

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Meet Laurie Ross
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I've been around horses for most of my life, working in racing stables as a hot walker and exercise rider in my teenage years, and later as a volunteer with rescued and retired racehorses. I became interested in pedigree when the sons and daughters of my favorite horses started their racing careers.   

 

For more than a decade, I've passionately studied pedigree, how it applies to handicapping and breeding theories. In 2010, I joined Horse Racing Nation as their Pedigree Analyst, focusing on juvenile stakes winners, Triple Crown contenders and first crop sires from a handicapping perspective.   

 

In 2011, I accepted the role of South Florida Coordinator and Advisory Board Member for the national non-profit Thoroughbred Racing Fan Association (ThoroFan). Working closely with Gulfstream Park management and other race fans, we created a ThoroFan Chapter at Gulfstream Race Track. Our main project is assisting Thoroughbred rescue and re-training groups.

 

I continue to maintain my website Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds and blog of the same name. As a pedigree consultant, I specialize in assisting small to mid-size breeding/training operations with broodmare breeding reports, sales catalog analysis and recommendations on claims and private sales. 10 - 20% of all proceeds are donated to Thoroughbred rescue and retraining groups.
 
I welcome your questions regarding pedigree, handicapping and breeding. If you would like me to cover a specific topic please contact me at lross@horseracingnation.com.