Breeders' Cup 2014

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HRN Original Blog:
Pedigree Power

2013 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf: Reviewing the Europeans

George Vancouver BC 615 X 400
Photo: Eclipse Sportswire
 
Eighteen two year old colts were pre-entered in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf. Three of them, Dance With Fate, Diamond Bachelor and Smarty's Echo having first preference for the Juvenile. The race has been contested only six times, yet foreign colts have a strong 19-4-2-1 record. Aidan O'Brien and the Coolmore gang have taken home the trophy the last two years running and once again hold a strong hand. Five colts are scheduled to ship in from overseas, two of whom are conditioned by the Irish superstar trainer.

Let's take a closer look at the European contenders. We'll review the entire race, including selections, next week.

ARPINATI (GB) (Lucky Story - Lola Sapola (IRE), by Benny the Dip)
Owner: Triple B Farms
Trainer: Adam Kitchingman
Race record: 4-3-0-1 ($107,707)

Triple B Farms purchased Arpinati from Dioscuri Srl after the colt finished third in the Italian Gran Criterium (Gr.1). He previously won the Primo Primi Passi (Gr. 3). Adam Kitchingman has taken over the training. Mr. Kitchingman trained Dixie High to a sixth place finish in the 2003 Juvenile Fillies. Arpinati is by Lucky Story, a son of Kris S., who in turn, is a son of Roberto. Arpinati's damsire Benny the Dip was Champion Three Year Old in England and is also a grandson of Roberto. Arpinati's distaff line is sprinkled with European stakes winners but none in the first three generations are particularly notable. There are no recorded works for Arpinati in the US.


GIOVANNI BOLDINI (War Front - Dancing Trieste, by Old Trieste)
Owner: Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith
Trainer: Aidan P. O'Brien
Race record: 3-2-0-1 ($79,318)
The folks who brought us the last two Juvenile Colts Turf heroes, Wrote and George Vancouver, are at it again. They have a strong chance of taking home another Breeders' Cup Trophy. Giovanni Boldinifinished third in the Vincent O'Brien National Stakes (Ire-Gr.1), then came back to win a listed stakes over the Polytrack. The Europeans have won half of the six Juvenile turf races since the races inception in 2007. Giovanni Boldini is by the sizzling sire War Front, as are other Juvie Turf hopefuls Bashart and Diamond Bachelor. It's entirely possible that we could see a War Front trifecta in the Juvie Turf. Stranger things have happened.


OUTSTRIP (GB) (Exceed And Excel (AUS) - Asi Siempre, by El Prado (IRE))
Owner: Godolphin
Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Race record: 4-2-1-1 ($181,034)
Outstrip was handed over to Charlie Appleby in July by Godolphin's main guy Saeed bin Suroor. The pretty gray colt has a win-lose cycle going and finished third against Group 1 runners in the Dewhurst Stakes, beaten only 2 ¾ lengths. Outstrip is one of the best-bred colts in the Juvie Turf. By a Champion Australia Turf Sprinter, he is the first foal born from the multiple Graded Stakes turf mare Asi Siempre (Spinster, Valley View, Doubledogdare Stakes, etc.). Outstrip will be Mr. Appleby's first runner in the Breeders' Cup.


SHAMSHON(Invincible Spirit (IRE) - Greenisland (IRE), by Fasliyev)
Owner: Sheikh Joaan bin Hamad Al Thani
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Race record: 3-2-0-0 ($45,197)
Shamshon has run over three different courses in as many starts. After capturing his debut, he was victorious in the Prix de la Vallee d'Auge, a French listed race. Shamshon suffered his first defeat in the Mill Reef Stakes (Eng. Gr.-2), finishing fifth, but was beaten only 1 ¾ lengths. By a multiple group stakes turf sprinter, Shamshon is the first foal out of his stakes placed dam. This immediate distaff line is modest, although there's some notable runners in the third and fourth generations. Mr. Hannon has sent seven prospects to the Breeders' Cup. Paco Boy's fourth place finish in the 2010 Marathon was his best placing.


WILSHIRE BOULEVARD (IRE) (Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) - Tyranny (GB), by Machiavellian)
Owner: Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith
Trainer: Aidan O'Brien
Race record: 7-2-2-0 ($166,500)
The stablemate of Giovanni Boldini has been around the country a few times. He's raced at six different tracks and made three starts in June, one on just four days of rest. He won the Group 3 Anglesey Stakes and was second in the Gimcrack Stakes (Gr. 2) before finishing 21/4 lengths behind the winner of the French Group 1 Qatar Px Jl Lagardere. Who knows just how good Wilshire Boulevard's sire Holy Roman Emperorcould have been. He was a two and three year old Champ, but Coolmore suddenly retired him in March of his four year old season to replace George Washington, who's fertility declined. Wilshire Boulevard is a half brother to the multiple Group Stakes sprinter Zoffany (by Dansili). The colt carries inbreeding to the great blue hen Natalma through her son Norther Dancer and his half sisters Spring Adiu (by Buckpasser) and Raise the Standard (Hoist The Flag), who is also a blue hen.


Out of the five possible starters from foreign soil, Giovanni Boldini and Outstrip appear to have the strongest chance to visit the winners' circle. Which European colt do you think could win the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf?


 

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Older Comments about 2013 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf: Reviewing the Europeans...

too, not to. English........
I do to at the moment, EP Taylor. But Giovanni is very progressive. The only issue might be that Aiden's horses get bet so the odds might be lower than you would like.
I really like Outstrip.
Davidm: are you talking about Giovanni? He's not coming from Italy, though. He's a U.S.-bred coming over from Ireland.
At this point with only initial handicapping started I lean Gioavanni then Outstrip. I usually don't give a ton of love or money to horses coming from Italy in the BC.
Aidan O'Brien never sends his top juveniles over for the Breeders Cup, and that trend will continue this year too with Australia & War Command both finished for the season. That being said, O'Brien's second tear horses have proven good enough to get the job done in the BC Juvenile Turf over the past renewals and I wouldn't rule out it happening for a third straight time with Giovanni Boldini. A rapidly improving son of War Front who finished 3rd in the G1 National Stakes behind the highly touted Toormore and Sudirman, and he bolted up last time out at Dundalk on the all-weather to win the listed Star Appeal Stakes by an impressive 4-3/4 lengths. Giovanni Boldini is definitely a threat to give Coolmore their 3rd straight BC Juvenile Turf win, IMO.
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Meet Laurie Ross
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I've been around horses for most of my life, working in racing stables as a hot walker and exercise rider in my teenage years, and later as a volunteer with rescued and retired racehorses. I became interested in pedigree when the sons and daughters of my favorite horses started their racing careers.   

 

For more than a decade, I've passionately studied pedigree, how it applies to handicapping and breeding theories. In 2010, I joined Horse Racing Nation as their Pedigree Analyst, focusing on juvenile stakes winners, Triple Crown contenders and first crop sires from a handicapping perspective.   

 

In 2011, I accepted the role of South Florida Coordinator and Advisory Board Member for the national non-profit Thoroughbred Racing Fan Association (ThoroFan). Working closely with Gulfstream Park management and other race fans, we created a ThoroFan Chapter at Gulfstream Race Track. Our main project is assisting Thoroughbred rescue and re-training groups.

 

I continue to maintain my website Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds and blog of the same name. As a pedigree consultant, I specialize in assisting small to mid-size breeding/training operations with broodmare breeding reports, sales catalog analysis and recommendations on claims and private sales. 10 - 20% of all proceeds are donated to Thoroughbred rescue and retraining groups.
 
I welcome your questions regarding pedigree, handicapping and breeding. If you would like me to cover a specific topic please contact me at lross@horseracingnation.com.