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Breeders Cup 2015

horse's Blog

HRN Original Blog:
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Older Comments...

I'm going to go ahead and add my thoughts. I'm excited to see Arrogate run. I'm not jumping onto any kind of bandwagon, and I'm not saying he's going to win, but his maiden and two allowance wins were run in fairly consistent times, and are either within the times or even better than other three year olds like Nyquist, Gun Runner, and American Freedom. They could even be comparable to California Chrome, but I haven't seen replays so I don't know how much Arrogate was pushed in his maiden and allowance races. Of course, this is only over the 1 1/16 mile distance, and he hasn't faced crazy good competition other than the Travers, but I don't think that should count against him as much as it does. As I said before, his past times are within the other three year olds, and possibly some of the older horses. I do think that with as strong as Arrogate's been working he stands a good chance of placing high in the Classic, especially if he turns in a performance even close to what he did in the Travers. However, I will not go as far as to say he the best in the field. I would still expect Chrome to beat him. I do understand Arrogate is unproven, but I'm not ready to not give him a chance to prove he can be great.
Letssss gooo Frosted馃挋
I remember when in the 2013 Kentucky derby Rev was coming up the rail with Calvin aboard I thought he would have won his 4th derby in 6 years
Had it not been Hot that 2012 Kentucky derby he would have fared better
everyone please keep Street Cry in your thoughts. its been discovered that he has some type of neurological issue, which is causing him to not be able to stand for long periods of one time, also causing him to be lame in one leg. he has not been covering his full book of mares over in Australia. hopefully he can be saved, hes an awesome stallion.
  • travel_vicwhy is virtually EVERYTHING from soup to nuts an ISSUE? SA medical condition, disease, deficit, problem or malady would express that much more succinctly and accurately 路 781 days ago
  • sczen50Very sad! R.I.P. Little guy. 路 4 hours ago
Arrogate has looked great in his workouts! He just floats through the air..... I can only imagine how much more impressive he must look watching him work in person! He has an incredible reach and just wants to keep going and going...... He looks like the real deal!
I've already got 2 headlines written up for Frosted's performance in the BC Classic. Which one do you thinks best folks, give me your thoughts: "Frosted gets Smoked in the Classic" OR "Frosted gets iced in the Classic". :-)
  • Show All 5 Comments
  • elhubboI like Nyquists Revenge is a dish best served cold. 路 1 day ago
  • timber28Cold front moves into California causing Chrome to become brittle and crack.......Unlikely but global warming has caused weird events! lol 路 4 hours ago
From the JustHorseracing.com.au web-site: Godolphin's Scottish, 2nd in the G1 Caufield Cup on his first career start in down under, will bypass running in the G1 Melbourne Cup and instead run in the G1 Emirates Stakes.
Arrogate is very much not a pretender; he is the real deal. As a three year old, he will certain to be up in the firing line when the gates open in the 'Classic'. This horse is even better than American Pharaoh although Baffert would not admit it at this point of Arrogate's career. That's because Bob would want owners to send their mares to the 'Pharaoh', and not wait for Arrogate, should he retire late in his 4 y.o campaign. Good business sense by Baffert. Arrogate will win the classic by 4 lengths.
Don't sleep on Shaman Ghost or Keen Ice. These two could do some damage if Probable becomes Entered.
What happened to her?
  • PaladinShe just started working again at Palm Beach Downs in Florida. Not sure why she was off all that time. 路 5 hours ago
I'll Have Another was a great horse, and I'm sure he would have won the Belmont and become the 1st Triple Crown winner for 34 years in 2012. So gutted that injury stopped it from happening! Also, that 2012 Preakness is one of the greatest races ever surely, and that commentary is 'THE BOMB'.
  • sczen50I was going to ask you that .. really! And others recently thought of asking I still will..If you thought he would've...Yeah I was very let down,too because of the injury. very much so. So goes with those of Bold Venture & a couple of others that happened to. A few handicappers felt he would've too. I always wondered. But no arguing that he showed them alot! & Yes Great races!!~ 路 6 hours ago
I don't think it's a given that Arrogate will be on the lead as many are concluding, although it's certainly possible. In his race prior to the Travers he stalked from 3rd in a 3-horse field through fractions of 24-48-112; a similar reflection of his last work. If he does run back even close to his Travers and Chrome was to press him on the lead, I don't see Chrome being in front at the wire. I know many assume that a wrapped up horse could run faster 'if he wanted to'. But a lot will depend on how the race unfolds. Consider this. Chrome's average speed in the PC was 37.2 mph with a final 1/4 in 24.44 secs. Most would agree that he ran well within himself for most if not all of the race. In the 2014 BCC however, his average speed was 38.2 mph and he ran an all out final 1/4 in 25.36 secs. Bayern won with a final time of 1:59.88. Chrome ran 41 ft or 4 3/4 lengths more than Bayern did. So theoretically, with a rail trip and generously giving him a 5 length/1 sec consideration, he finishes with about a 1:58.88 final time in the 2014 BCC. Interestingly enough, his 113 Beyer/112 Brisnet PC speed figure equaled what he received in the '14 Classic. His lifetime best. So are those saying that he is better now and can run faster than his theoretical fastest saying that he can break the 1:58 mark? I'd have to see that to believe it. Based on his previous figures it would take a freak performance above Arrogate's Travers to accomplish this as he would have to run fast throughout the entire race. If Arrogate does go early and Chrome tries to stay with him I believe he gets outrun in the last quarter. Arrogate has proven he can run fast, and then faster. For now I'll see the glass as half full and his Travers 'anomaly' more of a possibility than a probability. Again, a lot will depend on how the Classic unfolds.
  • Show All 5 Comments
  • Kimberly Beth via Disqusperfect! 路 1 day ago
  • Pebbles via DisqusHis career best performance was on the lead. He is mature beyond his years and very professional, but why would you take him out of the position which yielded him his career best performance and despite what you have indicated, that performance was light years ahead of his past performances? I think one would be foolish to do so. He was working in company I believe just in case he gets an outside post or breaks poorly. Arrogate is bouncing next out. I doubt he is there at the end which is a shame because with a prep like Monarchos hot after his monster move in the Florida Derby he was primed to win. Each race is different. Each track is different. I think that Arrogate goes to the lead and tires from the pressure. It is one thing to have the Travers set up that Arrogate had with American Freedom and another to be on your own in the race. How much faster can Chrome run? We shall see. I think he can run as fast as he needs to run. Will I be surprised if Arrogate wins by open lengths. No. He could be the superstar his fans are heralding. But with my 25 years of experience it tells me that it is highly unlikely. But then again, I doubted Nyquist in the Derby and thought Beholder would win the Lady Secret and that Arrogate had no chance in the Travers. Would you have said that Frosted could run a 123 BSF in the Met Mile? I would not have. What indicators were there that Frosted could do this? To me the notion that because a horse has not run a faster number he is limited is pretty silly at this point. Look at American Pharoah. He had been running around 105 BSFs and delivered a 120 BSF for the BC Classic. For me if Arrogate had run as a 2 year old, or had a couple more stakes races in him I would have no problem picking him to win. But it is the lack of experience that really make me doubt him. And the likelihood of a bounce next out. 路 6 hours ago
Perhaps his best work yet in company again with Mor Spirirt, 6f in 1:10 4/5 and galloped out a mile in 1:37. He is ready
Looks good, but it will come down to the post position. If he draws on the far outside they should scratch him and run him in the Clark.
Rest in peace. A tragic death.
Look forward to seeing her babies hit the track in a few years.
BREAKING NEWS: 2001 Kentucky Derby winner Monarchos passed away the morning of Oct. 22, after displaying signs of internal discomfort Oct. 21 and undergoing emergency surgery to repair a ruptured intestine. He was 18 years old. Monarchos is best known for running the 2nd fastest Kentucky Derby in history only behind Secretariat.
  • elhubboRemember the race like yesterday seeing the time flash up on the board. Although Churchill was playing incredibly fast that year it was still a wow moment. 路 3 days ago
  • bronzeprincess33I'm sorry to hear it. 路 8 hours ago
There is a rain forecast this weekend. If it continues throughout next week, softening up the clay dirt track, Found will be a serious threat to pull off an upset in the BCC.
There is a rain forecast this coming weekend. If the rain does continue through next week (but stop on BC day), we may have a semi off track like what we saw earlier this year at the Santa Anita Handicap.

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