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HRN Original Blog:
Head Heart & Hooves

Previewing the Breeders' Cup Race-By-Race

    BC Juvenile


    The two favorites, 9 POWER BROKER and 4 SHANGHAI BOBBY, look strong but offer no value.  1 TITLE CONTENDER is a pricey colt, but he had his own way on the front last out, as did 2 SPEAK LOGISTICS.  Of the favorites, I am givng Power Broker a slight edge, but I won't be trying to beat them.

 

    BC Turf

 

    1 POINT OF ENTRY is already the dominant American 12f turf horse, if not the best turf horse in the country.  I have been more impressed with the Dynaformer colt every time I have watched him and could see the streak continuing here.  12 TRAILBLAZER is a very classy horse who has already gotten his feet wet in the U.S.   8 KINDERGARDEN KID is a horse I have followed throughout his career who could be usable underneath at a nice price.

 

    BC Sprint

 

    I don't have a great handle on this race, but I'll be trying to beat 11 AMAZOMBIE.  8 CAPITAL ACCOUNT looks very dangerous and I will use him on top.  7 THE LUMBER GUY popped in the Vosburgh, but I am going against him here.  12 HAMAZING DESTINY is a horse I have always avoided, but he often factors and must be used underneath.

 

    BC Mile

 

    2 WISE DAN is my favorite horse in training - and arguably the best with Frankel's retirement.  6 EXCELEBRATION is clearly deadly if he handles the travel.  9 MOONLIGHT CLOUD also looks very dangerous at a slightly better price.

 

    BC Classic

 

    11 MUCHO MACHO MAN is the pick here.  4 FORT LARNED is a solid horse who I will play confidently in multis and exotics.  Toss the Foster and he is right there today.  12 TO HONOR AND SERVE has always been a go-against for me, but he was very solid in the Woodward and has been pointed at this one two years in a row.  10 RON THE GREEK seems safe to use underneath also. 

 

     Cheap Late Pick-4

     1, 8, 12 \ 8, 11, 12 \ 2 \ 4, 11, 12

 

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Older Comments about Previewing the Breeders' Cup Race-By-Race...

Alex, nice job 'capping last year! Saw Litfin using your *The Dude abides* and wondered if you think GOD will Saturday >> Good Luck
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Meet Alex Fawell 

Unlike many, I did not grow up with horseracing. My first time at the races was the 2008 Kentucky Derby. I bet on Colonel John. That fall, I had the good fortune to go to England, where I visited Ascot and Kempton. When I returned to the U.S., I was hooked. I started reading handicapping books, studying historic sire lines, watching races and going to Portland Meadows regularly. While the purses there were small, I was able to be close to the action and see firsthand the day-to-day operations of an average American racetrack.

 

Last year I moved home to Chicago. I went to Arlington for the first time this year. In the interim, I have devoted my time to understanding all aspects of horseracing  I hope to provide unique isights on handicapping perspectives and multifaceted analyses on the state of horseracing today. I will strive to write with an open mind and a willingness to learn through the writing process. I will not claim to be an expert, but I will read thoroughly, write carefully, and be honest.

 

To me, the all-time greats are Kelso, John Henry, Round Table and Yeats. Horses I like because they have won me money include Raven's Pass, Alternation, and I'll Have Another. The greatest horse I have even seen live is Zenyatta. I also enjoy the Bears, the Bulls, the White Sox, the Blackhawks, Mexican food, good Bourbon, and old-time music - specifically that played on the 5-string banjo. Thanks for reading!