If 11 IOYA BIGTIME
beats me again this time, at lease he'll do so in the first leg
rather than the last. That being said, clearly favored 7 JAKKALBERRY
kept some excellent company lately in Italy, Saudi Arabia, Hong Kong,
and the UK. He ran respectably in the Sheema Classic and has faced Sea
Moon, Dunaden, and others. Jakkalberry has traveled the world to face
Group 1 company and is the clear favorite in this 400K ungraded stakes.
10 ZUIDER ZEE
comes out if the 2 11/16 mile Queen Alexandra, won by
Simenon, who also took the Ascot Stakes earlier in the Royal Ascot meet.
This is his first race outside of Europe for trainer John Gosden, who
will have him ready to go. He is my primary backup to Jakkalberry, who I
will single on some tickets.
The US threat appears to be 6 SUNTRACER
. He has been good at
Arlington since rejoining Chris Block's barn this year. Clearly, though,
he is a cut below the aforementioned European horses, although he is
very usable underneath the exotic wagers. I may key Jakkalberry over
Zuider Zee and Suntracer in exactas depending on how the payouts look.
Otherwise, I will box the two Euros.
I love 8 SILVER MAX
and have bet him since the Transylvania. With no
complaints thus far, I will not stop now. He handled ten furlongs last
out over the yielding Colonial turf and is, once again, a deserving 9-5
favorite and single in a small pick five. I will be spreading in the
Hatoof so I will have to take some early stands. Unfortunately, the
favorites look to be aptly chosen in these first two legs.
I would go three-deep if I was richer, adding 7 BAYRIR
and 2 SUMMER FRONT
. Bayrir is three-for-four in France including a Group 2 victory.
His figures have increased in every career start and he is a clear
threat to Silver Max. If he fires, he could get closer to Max than any
other has recently. As for Summer Front, I have heard enough people who I
respect that like this horse that I have to consider him here. He may
not have beaten much, but he is five-for-five on the turf. We will see
what the War Front colt is made of today.
I do not have a good handle on this race. As such, I will use six
horses here. 8 FREEDOM REIGNS has won her last three and looks the one
to beat. 4 TOXIS may also be dangerous if she likes the turf. 2 LEADING
ASTRAY, 6 LADY MICAELA, 7 SILVER HUSTLER, and 10 SOONERETTE all could
win. This is a race I would consider buying.
The Beverly D is an intriguing race. 2 I'M A DREAMER
has run in
three Group 1's and nearly win the G1 E. P. Taylor at Woodbine last
year. Now she ships to Arlington having kept some very good company as
5 MYSTICAL STAR
took the lead last out and did not relinquish it to Aruna at ten furlongs. The lightly-raced Ghostzapper filly has run very well this year and may be ready to take a Grade 1. It will be interested to see if she goes for the lead again, contends with Romacaca, gets a clear front-running position, or sits off the pace. As long as she doesn't start like she did in the Sheepshead Bay, she should be heard from.
8 MARKETING MIX
is three-for-four in Grade 2's and took second in her only Grade 1 attempt. With the exception of the Distaff Turf mile, she has not run a bad race in her career. She represents value if her odds remain at the 3-1 morning line and I would leave her off multi-race tickets at your own peril.
I will also go three-deep in the Million. As for the domestics, 2 BOISTEROUS
looks to be the best of them. Much like Marketing Mix in the last, Boisterous is a very consistent runner. He has faced some tough company and nearly won the Arlington Handicap after a very wide trip. The classy five-year-old has posted some good works leading up to this.
gets some reprieve after facing So You Think and Carlton House in the Prince of Wales last out. His last three races have been at nine furlongs and he beat Twice Over at the distance three back. I trust John Gosden and will not discount Colombian today.
9 CRACKERJACK KING
is the buzz horse here. Seven-for-nine lifetime, he won a Group 1 in Italy and then ran up the track against Nathaniel and the aforementioned Twice Over in England. This horse could be a freak, as Carlo Vaccarezza
says, but he still may not turn in his best performance.
I like 4 LITTLE MIKE
very much, but I don't think he can wire this field going ten furlongs, but stranger things have happened, and the front-running gelding is very dangerous when he can relax up there.
I also leave 8 WIGMORE HALL
out with trepidation. His two US starts were very good, but he has not had much success lately in Europe and Asia. Perhaps he will enjoy his return to the states?