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HRN Original Blog:
55,000 Furlongs to the Finish

Good Things Ahead for the 2012 Preakness Winner

Is the Preakness becoming the new Kentucky Derby?  As blasphemous and confusing as that question may sound, recent years have proven that second jewel is becoming the source of the generations’ best horses.  Now, some could argue this could be because it’s the shortest of the triple crown races, and given that most horses today are bred for speed and not stamina, the race just better personifies the style of horses that run in it.  Another argument is that some horses are not directly pointed at this race for their entire lives, and therefore only run if it fits the year long plan set out by their connections, allowing for a better performance in May and still keeping some gas in the tank for the summer and fall.

 

If we look back at the past couple of years, I notice a very interesting trend.  In 2005 I saw one of the gutsiest performances by one of my favorite horses, Afleet Alex, recovering from a near disastrous spill to take off down the stretch for the win.  In 2006, Bernardini took down the second jewel in a race that will forever be remembered by the injury of ill-fated Barbaro.  Bernardini went on to win other G1 races that year and win champion 3 year old honors and is now the hottest sire in town.

 

2007 saw another champion come out of the Preakness, with Curlin’s immortal stretch battle resulting in a tie of the fastest 9.5f in the races history.  2008, yet again another Preakness win for a 3 year old champion with Big Brown.  In 2009 we saw perhaps the greatest 3 year old filly campaign ever, with Rachel Alexandra wiring the boys at Pimlico.  2010, was Lookin At Lucky.  And in 2011, we watched a gritty Shackleford run his heart out to hold on against the yet-to-be-crowned 3 year old champion, Animal Kingdom. Although Animal Kingdom won the Eclipse Award, to date, some could say Shackleford has had the more admirable career.

 

In fact, aside from the afore mentioned Shackleford, you have to go back to the 2000 Preakness to find a winner (Red Bullet) that did not go on to become 3 year old champion.

 

Maybe there was some method to the madness of Sam Riddle, who as we all know, held Man ‘O War out of the Kentucky Derby.  He thought 10 furlongs was too long of a race that early in a 3 year old horses life.  It will be forever speculated that the great chestnut would have won the triple crown had Riddle let him run the Derby, but you can’t knock an innovator, especially when his strategy worked.

 

As we approach this weekend’s race, we are seeing 6 (maybe 7) horses come back on 2 weeks rest from the grueling test in Louisville, with 6 fresh horses ready to seek their starting point to a championship.  It may not have the glory of the Kentucky Derby, or the stigma of the “test of a champion” at Belmont, but the marquee event at “Old Hilltop” has a track record for success, and I’m excited to see who comes out of this one on top.  I have a feeling that who ever wears the blanket of Black-eyed Susans on Saturday has only started to make their statement on the still young 2012 season.

 

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Older Comments about Good Things Ahead for the 2012 Preakness Winner...

oh Mr. TerryDickens, why do you say bode has a bruised foot?
baffert would have had a press release if bode was injured
?, and?
bodemeister has a bruised foot
I think the most interesting thing about the success of the Preakness winners is that, except for Bernardini, every Preakness winner since 2000 raced in the Derby or Oaks two weeks before their win in Baltimore. Top horses running only 4, 5, or 6 times a year is reallly hurting racing as a sport, this seems to suggest horses can run well and win big races without 6-8 weeks between races.
Great read and on point!
Very insightful comment. It's indisputable that the Preakness winners have, for the most part, been proven to be better horses than the Derby winners of the same year. I suggest that it's because of the field sizes: 20 in the KD and much fewer in the Preakness, sometimes less than 10. Luck, rather than ability plays a much bigger part in the KD. In the Preakness, the best horse usually wins except when tragedies like Barbaro happen.
Interesting premise!

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Meet Matt Scott 

My horseracing journey began when I was 16 years old and my mom took me to Hollywood Park. Although I did not fully appreciate it at the time, the experience stuck with me forever. 10 years later, during one of my many international business trips to Hong Kong, I visited Sha Tin racetrack to watch the races. This is where my true passion began. 

 

Holding a masters degree in mechanical engineering, the puzzle of handicapping intrigued me. I have made a career of making decisions based on trends, patterns, and formulas, which is why I think I was initially drawn to the sport. However, I have truly learned to appreciate the horses and how magnificent they are as athletes. 

 

I currently live in San Jose, CA, and when not following racing, I like to spend time with my wife, mountain bike, and design high-speed bicycles that I build and race For reference, 55,000 furlongs is the distance from Hong Kong to my home in San Jose. Also, I have 1-year-old dachshund (aka wiener dog) that I am training to race in the annual Wiener Nationals held at Golden Gate Fields.   

 

The purpose of this blog is to help give people the viewpoint of a fan that is newer to the sport and eager to learn. I like to respectfully speak my mind, and often the ideas come out of left field, which could give a fresh perspective on a sport rich with tradition and history. hope to represent the many future fans that I wish to follow my footsteps into the Sport of Kings.