Ticker
  • Partisan Politics breaks her maiden in style in the P.G. Johnson! Posted 1 day ago
  • Free as a Bird finds room and gets there in the Smart and Fancy! Posted 3 days ago
  • Goldencents runs them off their feet with a track record  in the Pat O' Brien!Posted 4 days ago
  • Tom's Tribute mows them down in the Del Mar Mile! Posted 4 days ago
  • V.E. Day nips his barn mate Wicked Strong on the Travers wire! Posted 5 days ago
  • Artemis Agrotera romps in the Ballerina! Posted 5 days ago
  • Abaco gets up in the Ballston Spa!Posted 5 days ago
  • Saturday, August 23 Del Mar Pick 6 Carryover - $106,668Posted 6 days ago
  • Close Hatches runs away with the Personal Ensign! Posted 6 days ago
  • Bern Identity takes them all the way in the Tale of the Cat! Posted 6 days ago
HRN Original Blog:
Drive On

Mohawk Raceway full-card analysis and "Drive On Bets"

Blur Action

 

If you followed the Drive On blog’s selections last Saturday, you may have done as well as we did at the windows. We finally broke the Pick 4 ice in the “Drive On Bets” section with a monster $1902 payout. Hopefully we can turn in a repeat performance with this full-card analysis of tonight’s Mohawk card.


Race 1:

Trot, purse $20,000 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 (FM 5) RACES OR $70,000 LT

Sure to be favored in the opening dash is #5, Our Mojo, who comes in off a solid 2nd vs. similar. Our issue with him is his 0-14 win ecord this year. We are going to try to beat him out of the exacta totally and start the night off with a bang. #6 Adreamcomestrue AS comes into this race for a trainer whose horses hit the exacta 40% of the time. Also boasts the fastest last ¼ and will benefit from the switch to Mohawk. Plenty to like. #7 Strategy showed some late interest last Saturday and has several final 1/4s that would put him close. I look for Jackie Mo to move this one earlier than in previous races. #2 On the Podium makes his first start back in the dangerous Montini barn and did show some life in the 3rd ¼ of his qualifier. The board may provide some clues with this one.

Race 2:

Pace, purse $16,000 NW $8,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $20,000 LAST 10 STARTS.

#9 Mach of Ballykeel is a Mohawk-lover that comes into this race in good enough form for us to take a stab at a juicy price. #6 Mystician quite often looks much the best on paper - like he did last week - and fails to get there. Worth taking a stab against at low odds again. #3 My Man Charley got seriously stung by another front-ender last Saturday and figures to get a much better trip. Could go a long way on the chooch.

Race 3: Pace, purse $75,000 SOMEBEACHSOMEWHERE - 3 YEAR OLDS.

In this final prep prior to the North America Cup eliminations next week, locally-owned #2 Vegas Vacation looks best coming in off an impressive first-over win in which he took a new life’s mark of 149.3. Expect a low price and a fairly easy win. #5 Captive Audience has been raced conservatively so far this season and could provide a late challenge to VV. #4 Evenin of Pleasure has looked the part of a very good one right from his debut race and comes into this in sharp form for leading trainer Moreau.

Race 4: Pace, purse $20,000 (EX, P3, TR, Y4) 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 RACES OR $95,000 LT

We really liked the way #2 Astor raced last week first time over The ‘Hawk. He was aggressively handled and ended up in a prolonged duel with Mach It Big, who came back and won easily last night in London. Tonight he gets the trainer’s main pilot McNair who will most likely work out a better trip. Maybe my biggest wager of the night if he goes close to the m/l of 5/1. #5 D Terminata has seen better days, but comes into this off a decent showing vs. top 3YO colt Vegas Vacation. Dangerous. #9 Smokin Bear went much farther on the engine than I thought he might last week. Worth a look. The #8 Warawee Nonsuch is also worth pick 4 inclusion, but, he will be a short price and shows many 2-week gaps on his card - not a good sign to me.

Race 5: Trot, purse $20,000 NW $13,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $31,000 LAST 10 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $45,000

There are several in here with two-week or more gaps between races which makes us think that #4 Midfield Magic, who sharpened up on Monday night vs. much better in the Preferred class, is a solid play in here. A Pick 4 single on some of our tickets. #3 To Catch A Dream, with a mark of 154.1 at Mohawk last year, showed good late interest in his most recent at Woodbine and figures close here. #5 Slip Into Glide comes in off a dominant win vs. lesser in 153.0 but that was TWENTY EIGHT days ago which raises major red flags for me. Most don’t keep hot horses eating in the barn for 4 weeks.

Race 6: Pace, purse $12,500 NW $5,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $10,000 LAST 10 STARTS

#2 Cams Tux comes into this with a race from the 10-hole at Woodbine that, if duplicated, beats these. Expect Dominator Doug McNair to put him into the race much earlier with the post switch. We’re not crazy about the 10-hole for #10 Kindly Poet, but also expect a more aggressive drive with the drop in class. #1 Blackbird Singing is a capable sort that has been doomed by several outer posts recently at Woodbine, Could spice up the exotics pays and is even worth inclusion on wider-spread pick 4 tickets.

Race 7: Pace, purse $20,000 NW $14,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $28,000 LAST 10 STARTS

#1 Major Hottie took a season’s mark of 149.0 last summer at Mohawk and comes into this off a sharp qualifier in rein to Filion in what is for him a fairly weak field to beat. Top billing. #6 Drain Daddy raced very well last week considering he was trapped in behind two fading duelers in early stretch. He is in top form now and is on our pick 4 tickets, #9 Wild Dragon just can’t seem to get off the schneid this year, but keeps knocking hard and is a great exotics horse.

Race 8: Trot, purse $16,000 (EX, P3, SU, TR, Z4) NW $8,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $20,000 LAST 10 STARTS

This is an extremely tough dash to figure that will likely go to a winner that is the beneficiary of a perfect trip. That being said, there appears to be an abundance of front-end speed which may set it up for #9 Bullet who figures to be the deepest and quickest closer. #6 Julians Caesar held on reasonably well in EW Fisher’s 152.2 season’s best mile. Trip will improve. #4 Vacation Day showed a much-improved effort last time and should be on your pick 4 tickets.

Race 9: Pace, purse $75,000 SOMEBEACHSOMEWHERE - 3 YEAR OLDS

All eyes will be on #2 Odds On Equuleus, widely considered the 2nd-best 2YO pacer last season who makes his 2013 debut. We are looking for a minor upset, however, as #1 Fool Me Once couldn’t be sharper or more confident at the moment. #6 Sunshine Beach sizzled off a 150.2 3YO debut mile and merits inclusion on pick 4 tickets. He could be a totally different and improved racehorse now.

Race 10: Pace, purse $34,000 PREFERRED

#6 OK Commander comes off an impressive win vs. subsequent Molson Pace winner State Treasurer. Looks like a solid single in this late pick 4 with 3 sub 1:50 miles in a row on his card. If anyone is going to topple him it will likely be the classy veteran #7 Bigtime Ball making his 9YO debut. He loves Mohawk. #8 Classic Rock ‘N Roll has faced better down south but comes into this off a 3-week break. Tough call.

Race 11: Pace, purse $12,500 (EX, LD, SU, TR) NW $5,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $10,000 LAST 10 STARTS

#6 AS Duharas was parked the mile last time and still paced in 152.0. With any kind of a reasonable trip, he dusts these. HUGE value in the pick 4 at 8/1 in the morning line. #3 Putnams Attack raced OK last week stuck behind some dead cover - also offers good value returning in 7 days. #2 Dal Reo Seelster steps into the lowest condition ranks after a strong showing in a $10K claimer last Saturday night. The class difference may not be that great in this case.

Race 12: Pace, purse $16,000 (EX, SU, TR) NW $8,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $20,000 LAST 10 STARTS

This race is a bit of a head scratcher, but, we liked the #2 Uncle Goodfellow at a big price last week and had he shook loose earlier, he’d have won. He steps up again but is razor-sharp. #9 Scottiestrikesfame is more than capable vs. this type and we expect to see a wakeup in his third 2013 start and the drop in class. #10 Reibercrombie can be erratic, but also has more than enough ability to topple these when right. Will be a good price from out there.

DRIVE ON BETS:

The “Drive On Bets” section had a HUGE night at Mohawk last Saturday night, showing almost $1,800 in profits, cashing a $1,902 pick 4 ticket.

Starting Balance: $2,000

Current Balance: $3,595

Here are tonight’s wagers:

Race 1: $5 exacta box 267; $10 DD 267/9 = $60

Race 2: $20 exacta box 6-9 = $40

Race 3: $40 tri 2/5/34 = $80

Race 4: $1 Pick 4: 25/4/12810/1569; $1 Pick 4: 25/1345810/2/1569 = $80 $50 Win #2, $10 exacta box 2-5 = total race 4 $150

Race 6: $5 exacta 2/1810, 1810/2; $2 tri box 12810 = $78

Race 8: $1 Pick 4: 4689/126/6/236/23569=$60

Race 12: $1 Tri/Super boxes 26910 = $48

Total wagered: $516

Starting balance: $2,000

Current Balance: $3,079

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!

 

comments powered by Disqus

Older Comments about Mohawk Raceway full-card analysis and "Drive On Bets"...

Way to go, Garnet!
Results: Race 4: $50 win #2 returns $227.50 Race 6: $5 exacta 8-2 returns $438, $2 Tri 8-2-10 returns $552.20 Total cashed = $1217.70 = $701.70 profit. Starting Balance: $2,000 Current Balance=$4296.70 + $2296.70
Not as handsomely as this blog. Look at the payoffs in race 6. Also, one of my Facebook friends used all the horses that were on the two early pick 4 tickets and cashed $2400 on a TWENTY CENT ticket!
I never understood why people did not just follow the program evaluations, they paid often and handsomly.
Late Pick 4 is 4689/126/6/123569 there was a misprint

Categories

Tags

This news has not been tagged.

Meet Garnet Barnsdale

 

I am an Honours Graduate from Humber College School of Journalism and a lifelong race fan and handicapper who has been watching and wagering on harness racing for more than 30 years. I was a staff writer for The Standardbred magazine in the late '80s. I will attempt to provide both beginners and veterans with valuable information and handicapping tips and advice on the top events from all major harness circuits.