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  • Quiet Business (16-1) powers home to win the Bewitch at Keeneland.Posted 10 hours ago
  • Celtic Chaos (7-1) gets up on the wire to win the Affirmed Success.Posted 10 hours ago
  • Girvin, the Kentucky Derby points leader, has a quarter crack, via Byron King.Posted 1 day ago
  • Party Boat (7-2) takes the Memories of Silver on the Aqueduct turf.Posted 5 days ago
  • Dolphus (6-5), Rachel Alexandra's half-brother, wins AQU allowance; Shagaf lastPosted 5 days ago
  • Multiplier (4-1) kicks it in late to get past Hedge Fund in the Illinois Derby.Posted 6 days ago
  • Collected (3-5) rolls home much the best in the Californian.Posted 6 days ago
  • Imperative (5-1) surges past Matt King Coal for his second win in the Charles Town Classic.Posted 6 days ago
  • Itsinthepost (5-2) proves best in Keeneland's Elkhorn.Posted 6 days ago
  • Inordinate (5-2) surges to victory in the San Juan Capistrano.Posted 6 days ago
Breeders Cup 2015
Kentucky Derby 2017

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Older Comments...

This SHOULD be your Kentucky Derby favorite. He's 3 for 3 at Churchill, and ran evenly in the Blue Grass a race he didn't need. Girvin is a strong contender here and number one in total points, but Brian Hernandez HIS regular pilot chose to ride McCraken. Everything seems right here, and is a must for the exotics. Should be in the money at the very least, and is your most likely winner.
Boy his dame side is nothing but sprinter's hope he proves me wrong.
Love Tapit, but I think Tapwrit is a cut below the top runners here. He will be longer than 15-1, and any horse can get a piece, but in my mind this one here is unlikely to get his picture taken.
A few days ago we had a discussion on here about which tracks are faster than others. Seeing as I get critiqued for guesswork alot, I decided to make a formal ranking of what tracks were fastest(weather notwithstanding) by using the distances of 8, 8.5, 9 and 10, minus outliers which I've cited below. Pimlico gets 9.5 counted instead of 10 because it's the major distance there. Every track on here had 3 or 4 records used to make it's average. Belmont 38.508375 Santa Anita 38.39755 Del Mar 38.216075 Aqueduct 38.1877333(8.5 not counted) Gulfstream 38.1499333(10 not counted) Oaklawn 38.1006(10 not counted) Churchill 37.97455 Monmouth 37.962475 Saratoga 37.8953667(8.5 not counted) Pimlico 37.8233(8,10 not counted, 9.5 counted) Keeneland 37.6299. Seeing as Tampa, Fair Grounds and it's peers don't have a G1 and don't have enough competitive distances to make this comparison worthwhile they weren't included. All 11 of these tracks have at least 1 G1 race and are competitive in at least 3 distances. If track records were way off that's an outlier and several records weren't included because of that, same with the 73 Belmont. Was honestly surprised by how well Aqueduct does in this comparison.
  • Show All 7 Comments
  • kstott524 · The average distance of the 4 that you are taking into account is 8.875 furlongs or 1.109375 miles. Divide the avg. mph for the races over each track (which you already figured out) into 60, then multiply by 60 to get your average mile time that would be run at each speed. Finally multiply that number by 1.109375 or whatever the average distance you are accounting for. Belmont average time over the 8.875 furlongs is 143.71, Keeneland (the slowest) is 146.132. Quite a difference but not a fair comparison. · 23 hours ago
  • BeastBob via Disqus · 8-9f at Belmont park has an advantage over other dirt tracks (because 8-9f at Belmont is 1 turn). · 7 hours ago
Half brother to Uncle Mo debuts Saturday at Gulfstream.
I kind of question the time on the Florida derby...I noticed they didn't have it showing on the screen as the race was run but they came back with Always Dreaming running so fast....I timed the Florida derby using my trusted stop watch and it was run closer to 1:50....I used my stop watch on the Wood and Santa Anita derby's and both those races were right on the mark...It's almost like the times for Florida Derby are being intentionally put out wrong!
Is there any particular reason that Z Appeal has been entered for a race after 3 years away from the track? This seems nonsensical. Fairmount Park CLAIMING $3,200 Purse $5,000. For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Not Won A Race In 2016 - 2017 Or Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 116 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Claiming Price $3,200. Five And One Half Furlongs. 1 1 Beefy (KY) 6/G L $3,200 B Stillion 1177 K Rosendohl, Jr. 15/1 2 2 Billie R (KY) 5/G L $3,200 A Velazquez 124 J C Wainwright 6/1 3 3 Z Appeal (KY) 9/H L $3,200 J F Molina, Jr. 124 G W Butler 8/1 4 4 Johar Irish (KY) 8/G L $3,200 U A Lopez 124 B J McEwen 12/1 5 5 Hintofperfection (LA) 8/G L $3,200 A De Leon 124 M Durham 9/2 6 6 Codechief (IN) 6/G $3,200 J A Bielby 124 G L Buckman 20/1 7 7 Shestoyoungforubro (CA) 8/H L $3,200 S Sanjur 124 R Martinez 6/5 8 8 Hotpepper Please (IL) 7/G L $3,200 M C James 124 C C Walker, Jr. 5/1 9 9 Slick Mick (IL) 9/G L $3,200 V J Bailon 124 D Wells 20/1
I wish people would stop labeling this horse as a miler. He's only had 4 races. Let's wait and see. Unless he draws a monstrous post he will give a good account of himself in the derby. Any trip handicapper will draw a line through that last race.
  • OklaHandicapper via Disqus · I have a habit of watching after the race finishes and looking at the winner as he makes his way back to the winner's circle. Malagacy looked pretty tired to me after the Rebel and completely wore out after the Arkansas Derby. Based on those observations, I would say he's a miler. · 7 hours ago
A wow work!! American Freedom worked 7f, April 28th, in 1:24.20 (h) finishing 1/3. This colt is ready to fire!
Downthestretches.com has posted the Brisnet past performances for the Derby. Not in post position order and without a morning line but otherwise complete.
150.91 for the Wood. Sixth or worse at 1 1/4 on May 6. Dream and Classic will beat him by 10 or more lengths. For as long as there has been racing, the fastest horse wins. The Wood...he had it all his own way. In The Derby, he will be challenged, and challenged again. The Derby is set up for the closer's to get all the top spots, imho.
If I can see Songbird, Stellar Wind and Unique Bella race at some point later this year I will be a happy man. Stellar Wind looked great in her last race and I have been very impressed with Unique Bella prior to the injury. Songbird...who knows?
Sorry to hear he's out, but "Girvin" would have only finished in the ballpark range of 8th to 15th in the Kentucky Derby. The Louisiana Derby form is normally very weak, and rarely a horse that wins that race makes any sort of impact in the Kentucky Derby. In recent years, the only horses who did well were "Gun Runner" and "Revolutionary" who both finished 3rd.
Just 8 more days before he unleashes a run for roses....to remember. He will get in, and will be storming at the end. Easy call.
Any word on Thunder Snow Racing in the Derby or in The 2000 guineas?
I realize all horse racing fans have a favorite or two and like to debate who is the best all-time. I love watching people debate this as much as the next person. I was wondering if anyone else thinks ranking Alysheba in the #234 position is ridiculous. He clearly was not a top 10 or 20 horse (all-time), but all the way to #234 seems like a slap in the face to a horse who won 2/3 of the triple crown in 1987 and had an even better year as a four-year-old. Is this just a popularity contest or are people on here serious? My favorite is Alysheba, but I don't claim he was the best. I can be honest and say Secretariat, Man O War, Bid, Citation, Native Dancer, Kelso, etc. were all better, but I don't understand how someone can claim Effinex is better than Alysheba, Gallant Fox, Omaha, and Easy Goer. It makes no sense to me. I love horse racing and have for quite some time. People need to be honest with themselves and do a little research before voting. I don't think this is too much to ask. Is anyone else feeling the same way?
You heard it here first...Battle of Midway will be in the trifecta with odds over 20-1.
  • Chicken Dinner via Disqus · Chicken Dinner P.O. Box 12345 Houston, TX You can send your money there, I'll take all your action :) · 3 days ago
  • Deano · Not if they're going to change his tactics as they just stated. Just let him go and he could set a medium pace and stick around for the exotics. The three price horses for me are: Battle of Midway, Hence, and Thunder Snow. Everyone is stabbing in this Derby. · 10 hours ago
Is in foal with a Frankel colt!
To those that are willing to over ride common sense and logic, and give Espi the Eclipse Award for top Jockey. Then you should also be leading the Parade, to elect Bob Baffert as the Eclipse Award Trainer. As impressive it is for a horse to win the Triple Crown. The Trainers achievement,far exceeds that of the Jockey.
  • Show All 3 Comments
  • Ross via Disqus · Trainer work totally makes more wonders to the horse. · 475 days ago
  • Paula Haasl via Disqus · I AGREE! Bob Baffert should be the Eclipse Award Trainer! BOB BAFFERT IS THE BEST TRAINER IN THE WEST! THE BEST TRAINER IN THE U.S. & THE BEST IN THE WORLD!!! BAFFERT'S THE GREATEST!!! Baffert sure can pick the horses that WIN! WIN! WIN! · 13 hours ago
Victor Espinosa is my favorite jockey! He rides his heart out. I always get a ride for my money! GO! VICTOR! GO!!!

Meet Andrew Champagne

 

A native of upstate New York and a graduate of Ithaca College, Andrew Champagne fell in love with horse racing at a very early age on summer trips to Saratoga. His turf writing credits include time spent as a sportswriter, weekly columnist, and handicapper at The Saratogian, a summer working for The Saratoga Special, and "field research" at OTB facilities in Saratoga Springs and his hometown of Kingston. He also spent two years in the athletic communications office at Siena College, and interned with NBC Olympics at the 2010 Winter Games in Vancouver.


Andrew moved to Pasadena, Calif., in October of 2013, and now serves as an Associate Producer in HRTV's Digital Media department and Horse Racing Nation's Southern California writer. Follow him on Twitter at @AndrewChampagne, and email him at andrewdchampagne@gmail.com.

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