• Lady Shipman breezes home much the best in Belmont's License Fee.Posted 3 days ago
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  • Minding shows her class, easily winning the 1000 Guineas.Posted 3 days ago
  • Uncle Lino digs in to win the inaugural California Chrome Stakes.Posted 4 days ago
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  • Olorda takes them all the way in the Bewitch Stakes on closing day at Keeneland.Posted 5 days ago
  • Nyquist will get in his final Kentucky Derby workout Friday afternoon at Keeneland.Posted 8 days ago
  • Time and Motion wins the Memories of Silver for Jimmy Toner.Posted 10 days ago
  • Finest City sets new track record in Great Lady M.Posted 11 days ago

HRN Original Blog:
Toasting with Andrew Champagne


Older Comments...

Heard them saying on TV a few minutes ago that jockey Ryan Moore is riding at a 33% strike rate over the past 2 weeks. He had 2 wins on yesterday's card at Chester including the Cheshire Oaks and he's already ridden winners on the 2 premier races today at Chester in the G3 Huxley Stakes & G3 Chester Vase. This guy can flat out ride. I often see comments where people say "he's always on short priced favorites." That may be, but why do you think he's one of the most sought after jockey's in the sport by these owners and trainers to put aboard their short priced favorites.
Mo Tom has a great post will get a good trip and run by them all...I HOPE,LOL I have him on pool 3 future bets and 60 win in pool3 ,I really think with a good trip he could be flying late .Anyway good luck to everyone betting ,hope this derby brings u some money..
US Army Ranger lives up to the hype, but just barely, narrowly holding off stablemate Port Douglas by a nose to win the G3 Chester Vase. My guess is that both of these colts will be headed to Epsom next month for the Derby.
My TOSSES so far for my tri and super tickets are: Trojan Nation, Shagaf, Danzing Candy, Lani, Oscar Nominated, Destin, Toms Ready, Whitmore (harder toss). Solo (key) horses on several tickets: Nyquist (reluctantly, but in a year where the favorite is going off at 4-1 I can't ignore him...style of running is perfect and is undefeated) Mo Tom (using the most-"heart" pick with bigger payout potential) Mor Spirit (medium) Outwork (small ticket) Exaggerator (medium) Mohaymen (small "save" ticket, in case Florida Derby was his clunker) Gun Runner (small) Majesto (small bomber)
Cannock Chase sprints clear of Western Hymn in 2nd and Master Carpenter in 3rd to win the G3 Huxley Stakes at Chester for jockey Ryan Moore and trainer Sir Michael Stoute. His first trip to the winners circle since he won the G1 Pattison Canadian International Stakes at Woodbine last October.
Looks like a very similar setup as Arkansas. Creator closer in with SBN next to him and speed coming from far outside. Hoping for a fast start and another strong finish by Creator.
Derby draw today folks feels great and excited were that much closer to the derby and my feeling haven't changed I do believe the pace will be honest I would love to have a chance to see back to back triple crown winners again (Seattle Slew 77" and Affirmed 78") if Nyquist gets by this race I believe he'll have a pretty good shot at history and O'neill and Gutierrez will have got what I'll Have Another probably would have given them, but I just have a feeling Mo Tom is going to nail them at the wire he is the X factor in this I believe he has yet to run basically a trouble free trip, he has not lost a race where you say can say he just got beat by a better horse he's proven a decent trip winning result. Nice trainer in amos, leading churchill downs jock in lanerie, has won at churchill downs and I believe he'll be laying midpack this time and let that potent kick go when lanerie calls on it. Good Luck Everyone!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • jd via Disqus · yup MO TOM WILL FLYING LATE Like Corey saying he s never ridin a horse this strong or good...Lots of confidence in Mo Tom · 1 hour ago
Here we go again ! Lets skip ahead to May 8th , the day after the Derby and this is what I'm hearing at the Kentucky bars. " Why didn't I bet my last $ 1000 on Nyquist ? " , " When Brody's Cause owner said he would donate the winnings to his school I should have jumped on that ", " Exaggerator was for real , no exaggerating " , " I love rum , why didn't I bet Rum Runner " ( ps : that dude had too much to drink ) " Destin was my first choice , he was destined to win ", MoTom + Mohaymen , it all makes perfect sense that they would run one two " , Cupid , with Mothers Day , Why didn't I think of that ? " , How about that Lani ? born in KY , studies in Japan, wins in Dubai , and easy winner in yesterday's Derby " , " Whitmore and Mor Spirit , Why didn't I play that ? We can do this all day to cover all 20 entries , but I'll let you guys and gals finish it for me . LOL + GOOD LUCK TO ALL !
  • Icelocks · winwinwin...Nice touch...Now I know you been in this business a long time lol Why don't you join me at the bar, the first drink is on me :) · 15 hours ago
For those who like Exaggerator, Brody’s Cause, Creator, Suddenbreakingnews, Whitmore, My Man Sam, Trojan Nation, or Mo Tom, consider this: since 1984 (as far back as my records go), (a) only one horse won the Derby after trailing the rest of the field after 1/2 mile in his final prep and (b) only one horse won the Derby after trailing by 8 lengths or more after 1/2 mile in his final prep. The former was Unbridled in 1990, and he was part of a 5-horse field and only 2 lengths back of the leader in the Blue Grass after 1/2 mile. The latter was Grindstone in 1996; he was 13 lengths behind after 1/2 mile in the Arkansas Derby. Add to this the probability of a relatively slow pace and these eight horses are at a distinct disadvantage.
  • Show All 4 Comments
  • travel_vic · First call position means ZIP. Where they are at the 6 furlong call is the key. MANY wire or close to wire jobs in this race greater than 40 of them · 18 hours ago
  • jd via Disqus · Didn t Mine that Bird also pull it off? · 1 hour ago
going backwards in the last three races
Pace wise, Nyquist is an outlier much akin to the way Barbaro was in his Derby: consistently doing JUST ENOUGH to win as his pace numbers have not matched well to the field he has beaten several times in his recently history. Cant throw him out but he looks vulnerable. Very consistent overall, but his early pace ha risen as the distances increased at the expense of his late moves.
First time through the comparative pace data and ONE thing shows through, and it is not unexpected: there is a BIG loss of stamina in this field. Usually the deceleration rates (3rd fraction velocity divided by 2nd call velocity) hover around 97% and only 2 in this field come close to that. Many regressions over their last 2 starts as well including some of the short priced colts. As far as SINGLE lines, Mohaymen has the top two but regressed significantly last out as has Exaggerator and many other shorter priced entrants. Still too early to make a top 5 prediction but it is in the works.......Some longer priced animals look good.
The WINNER of the 2016 Kentucky Derby. Remember, you heard it here first. :-D
Not too slow! He has a better than 20-1 chance of winning
  • Liz via Disqus · Which makes it all the sweeter that he's 30-1 ML :D · 6 hours ago
Highly unlikely a horse trained by Bob Baffert will win Derby in two consecutive years.
  • MaryZinke via Disqus · It doesn't do like that. He left himself with only this one. Worth another look. · 7 hours ago
Lets pull the trigger on the Preakness if she is healthy, this horse is unstoppable, forget about the restricted female races. Nobody cares about virtual walkovers at 1-9 where the race is over at the first turn.
  • Show All 3 Comments
  • Sun via Disqus · Right on. · 11 hours ago
  • MaiyaDay via Disqus · What an asinine comment. She hasn't worked in a month and just started jogging again. Get real. · 10 hours ago
Airoforce draws the rail and is current 4-1 favorite in the American Turf on Derby day. J Lep is back in the irons.
Hi BronzePrincess33 can we talk before the K.Y. derby day friend please let me know and thanks have an awesome week peace.
  • Blueyedhusky via Disqus · Leave her alone, you sicko! She's only 19! She doesn't come here to meet weirdos like you! · 3 days ago
  • Bean Racer via Disqus · You're weird · 11 hours ago
Love PP#2 for SBN...surrounded by other closers that he can get the jump on...save ground behind GunRunner and the other speed like Nyquist Outwork Danzing Candy Mohaymen etc...then swing wide turning for home...
Good luck to SBN, #2 PP should be good for him in the Derby. Should be rolling late to try to run down Destin in the stretch.

Meet Andrew Champagne


A native of upstate New York and a graduate of Ithaca College, Andrew Champagne fell in love with horse racing at a very early age on summer trips to Saratoga. His turf writing credits include time spent as a sportswriter, weekly columnist, and handicapper at The Saratogian, a summer working for The Saratoga Special, and "field research" at OTB facilities in Saratoga Springs and his hometown of Kingston. He also spent two years in the athletic communications office at Siena College, and interned with NBC Olympics at the 2010 Winter Games in Vancouver.

Andrew moved to Pasadena, Calif., in October of 2013, and now serves as an Associate Producer in HRTV's Digital Media department and Horse Racing Nation's Southern California writer. Follow him on Twitter at @AndrewChampagne, and email him at andrewdchampagne@gmail.com.

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