Ticker
  • 201 Pre-entered for the Breeders' Cup, including 15 in the Classic. Posted 1 day ago
  • Just The Judge edges Odeliz in the E.P. Taylor! Posted 4 days ago
  • Beholder is out of the Breeders' Cup after spiking a fever. Posted 4 days ago
  • Hillstar rolls to victory in the Canadian International!Posted 4 days ago
  • Taris smokes the Grade 2 Raven Run field! Posted 5 days ago
  • Discreet Marq much the best in the Ticonderoga! Posted 5 days ago
  • Effinex gets up over So Lonesome to win the Empire Classic! Posted 5 days ago
  • Noble Mission wins a thriller over Al Kazeem in the Champion Stakes! Posted 5 days ago
  • Charm Spirit defeats an unlucky Night of Thunder in the QE II! Posted 5 days ago
  • Madame Chiang pulls the upset in the British Champions Fillies and Mares!Posted 5 days ago
HRN Original Blog:
TimeformUS's Blog

TimeformUS Pace Projector forecasts meltdown at Tampa Bay Friday

pace meltdown 2-13-14

[Posted by the TimeformUS Handicapping Team]

These days, we’d like to find some hot weather in addition to a hot pace!  So let’s go down to Tampa Bay Downs for our Pace Meltdown race this week.


The 4th race is a 5 1/2 furlong sprint for 5K claimers who have never won two races; and the TimeformUS Pace Projector shows a front-end that looks as jammed as the Brooklyn-Queens Expressway with 6-8 inches of snow.  Except that these horses figure to be actually moving.  And fast, too!
 
TimeformUS Pace Projector
 


TimeformUS PPs

 

Now, while we are pleased that the traffic up front includes the morning line favorite Big Reward (#5, 3-1), we should also point out that this horse has shown the ability in the past to sit off hot paces such as this.  Note in particular his effort at Hawthorne on October 19.

TimeformUS PPs

 

So, we wouldn’t necessarily recommend that he be left off of tickets entirely.  However, he will be facing speed from inside and outside, and will have plenty of company in a second tier of trackers should he be ridden in that fashion.  So, we are still enthusiastic about the chances of the ones who will be lagging early.

One such horse is the projected early trailer, Jango (#6, 8-1), who has the second best late pace figure (46) in the field.  This honest five-year old is in sharp form these days, especially if you draw a line through his two-back effort at seven furlongs, a distance which seems beyond his best capabilities.  Jango is also a versatile type who can adapt to differing pace scenarios; here, we are looking for an effort such as the two highlighted below, in which the pace was lively.

TimeformUS PPs

 

TimeformUS Trainer RatingsHere, Jango cuts back to 5 1/2  furlongs, a distance at which he has enough tactical speed to stay within touch, and has a fine record of 9-2-3-1.  Also note that his trainer, Miguel Feliciano, is hot overall, and in combo with the jockey.
 
To see the other contenders, you can purchase past performances for the Tampa Bay card or, better yet, for all tracks for the next three days for just $2.99, click here 

 

comments powered by Disqus

Categories

Bio

The TimeformUS Blog is written by several TimeformUS Analysts from around the country.
 
TimeformUS.com is a new horse racing website designed to make playing the races faster, easier, and more fun.