Ticker
  • Nyquist will get in his final Kentucky Derby workout Friday afternoon at Keeneland.Posted 3 days ago
  • Time and Motion wins the Memories of Silver for Jimmy Toner.Posted 4 days ago
  • Finest City sets new track record in Great Lady M.Posted 5 days ago
  • Stanford finds his way back to the winner's circle in the Charles Town Classic.Posted 5 days ago
  • Rose Brier sets new course record in the Henry S. Clark.Posted 5 days ago
  • Da Big Hoss lives up to his name with the Dixiana Elkhorn win.Posted 5 days ago
  • Raging Smoke leads all the way in the Sugar Maple.Posted 5 days ago
  • Highland Sky flies home to Woodhaven victory.Posted 5 days ago
  • Brooklynsway upsets I'm A Chatterbox in the Doubledogdare at 25-1.Posted 6 days ago
  • Cupid has been removed from consideration from the Kentucky Derby; Mo Tom is now in.Posted 10 days ago
HRN Original Blog:
TimeformUS's Blog

TimeformUS Pace Projector forecasts meltdown at Sunland on Friday

pace-meltdown Sunland

Posted by the TimeformUS Handicapping Team:

In our Pace Meltdown feature, we scan the Friday races across the country with the aim of finding a prospective pace that is so hot HOT HOT that you’ll break out in a drenching sweat just looking at the Pace Projector! 


TimeformUS PPs

This Friday, our pressure gauge calculator directs us to Sunland Park, where the Pace Projector for the 7th race looks like this.



Tanabata (#1, 5-1), Embossing (#2, 8-1) and Duality (#5, 12-1) are projected to vie for the lead in this 5 ½ furlong affair. Taking a look at Tanabata, this five-year old New Mexico-bred has had some recent success, going wire-to-wire two and three races back. In both those cases, racing against weaker (this race has a TimeformUS race rating of 63),  she was able to establish an open lead in races with moderate early pace numbers. 
 
 

However, note how she faded badly in her last when pressed to go faster early. And, with the presence of the other two, that is a more likely scenario here, as we can see from their recent tries.
 
 
 
 
Better yet, morning line favorite Out Last (#6, 3-1), is also designated as a 'Speed' horse, yet is projected to not even make it to the front.

The three horses that appear in the back of the pack in Pace Projector are labeled as 'Closer' or 'Plodder,' and this seems like the kind of scenario each would need to be competitive. This is an excellent race to put our late pace ratings to work. To purchase past performances for the Sunland card or, better yet, for all tracks for the next three days for just $2.99, click here

 

comments powered by Disqus

Related Pages

Bio

The TimeformUS Blog is written by several TimeformUS Analysts from around the country.
 
TimeformUS.com is a new horse racing website designed to make playing the races faster, easier, and more fun. 

Top Stories