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Breeders' Cup Buzz Horse: #4 Declaration of War

Declaration Of War York 615 X 400
Photo: Yuji Noda
From now until the Breeders’ Cup, we’ll be counting down the Top 10 Breeders’ Cup Buzz Horses – horses we’re excited to watch run at Santa Anita this November 1-2. 

Breeders’ Cup Buzz Horse #4 - Declaration of War
Breeders' Cup Division: Classic


DECLARATION OF WAR
Breeding: War Front - Tempo West (Rahy)
Four-year-old Colt
Trainer: Aidan O'Brien
Owner: Joseph Allen, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith
Breeder: Joseph Allen
 
TimeformUS PPs for Declaration of War
 
 
TimeformUS Breeders' Cup PPs

*Timeform Master Rating: 127c
Most Impressive Prep Race: Grade 1 Juddmonte International Stakes, York, Aug. 21, 2013
**TimeformUS Speed Figure earned: 130
 
 
Analysis: Declaration of War is one of those horses who probably hasn’t received the credit he deserves, but there’s no knocking him for how tough and consistent he’s been while keeping top company, and this year he’s made a successful step up to racing’s top table, winning the Queen Anne at Royal Ascot in June and the Juddmonte International at York in August. Whilst it’s fair to say the top horses in both races underperformed (Animal Kingdom ran flat at Ascot and Al Kazeem had an off day at York), Declaration of War could do more than beat what was in front of him and it’s worth noting that he’s posted Timeform master ratings in the mid-120s on each of his last five outings, further underlining his durability. Although he has had a long season, Declaration of War has not been seen on a racetrack since August, with soft ground ensuring he swerved the traditional end of term pots at Longchamp and Ascot, and given he has a US dirt pedigree, the Breeders’ Cup Classic looks a realistic assignment. 
- Analysis by Timeform Handicapping Team
 

Buzz Horse Countdown:

#8 Havana 
#7 Verrazano
 
For Breeders’ Cup Past Performances – complete with best-in-class foreign running lines and European and North American speed figures on the same scale – get TimeformUS Breeders’ Cup PPs
 

*Timeform Master Ratings are adjusted for age, so that equal ratings mean horses of equal merit. Another way of looking at it is to see the universal rating handicap as four handicaps side by side: one for two-year-olds, one for three-year -olds, one for four-year-olds and one for older horses.
**In TimeformUS past performances, neither the Timeform Performance Ratings nor the TimeformUS Speed Figures are adjusted for age.        

 

What the Nation is saying about Breeders' Cup Buzz Horse: #4 Declaration of War...

@Buckpasser, Agreed. I really like DOW a whole lot because he's about as honest a horse as you'll find. You may be right, he may not be quite good enough to beat top American dirt horses like Game On Dude or Mucho Macho Man, but I sure wouldn't be surprised if he ends up getting a piece of the Classic provided he's ridden the way he needs to be by young Joseph O'Brien.
I really like this guy. I'm not sure he will win, but I think he will give a good account of himself and may surprise a lot of people.
Not a doubt in my mind that Declaration of War has the class to win the Breeders Cup Classic. The distance won't be an issue, as he's won over the extended 10f multiple times in Europe, and breaking from PP#5 there shouldn't be any excuses there. The question Declaration of War has to answer is how he handles the switch from turf to dirt? He's won on all-weather & fibresand in France, and he won the G3 Diamond Stakes over 10-1/2f on Dundalk's synthetic suface in Ireland, which I've been told is the closest to conventional dirt of any synthetic track in Europe. The Diamond Stakes is the same race Mastercraftsman used to prep for the 2009 BC Dirt Mile, although Santa Anita was still using pro-ride then. My gut feeling is being by War Front that Declaration of War will handle the switch to dirt okay. Then it simply becomes about whether he's good enough to beat horses like Game On Dude, Mucho Macho Man, Fort Larned, etc....JMO.
Doug,just for my understanding of your product (Timeform).The final speed figure assigned to each horse. Is it just that,or does it include the trip (regrding ground loss) or the weight the horse carried during the race. If the answer is yes to all or any of the above questions.Regarding the weight,what is the so called scale starting weight,where the figure is adjusted up or down.
Amino thanks for the free plug on Recepta. That is a good question regarding the comparative Speed figure.I assume you should find out within the next 2 days.If G.O.D is not the #1 Buzz horse,something is wrong.Then your next move ,will be to download the product.This horse has to be given respect,just based on his connections. One will not find out if this guy can handle the dirt or not by looking at his PPs' or breeding.To come up with that answer,we must handicap the connections of the horse.Start with trainer Aidan O'brien,arguably one of the top 5 conditioners in the World. Then we move on to the owners, The Coolmore bunch. These are the sharpest tools in the shed.No matter who you stack them up against. Does anyone really think that this dynamic duo would travel 8,000 or so miles,to answer a question that they already do not know the answer to.
Doubt J.P. will like being pelted with sand any more than DecoWar and expecting a Recepta trip. How does his 130 TimeFormUS Speed Figure compare with Game on Dude’s?

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