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  • Texas Chrome (2-1) bravely squeezed through on the rail for an Oklahoma Derby win.Posted 1 day ago
  • Unbridled Mo (4-1) rides the rail to victory in the Remington Park Oaks.Posted 1 day ago
  • Accelerate (1-1) rallies to win the Los Alamitos Derby (G2).Posted 2 days ago
  • Connect (10-1) upsets the Pennsylvania Derby.Posted 2 days ago
  • Songbird (1-5) gets win number 11 in the Cotillion (G1) at Parx Racing.Posted 2 days ago
  • Noholdingback Bear (3-1) wins the Gallant Bob (G3) at Parx Racing.Posted 2 days ago
  • 2015 Turf Champion Big Blue Kitten has been retired from racing, via the Chad Brown barn.Posted 6 days ago
  • No catching Sarah Sis (10-1) in the Presque Isle Downs Masters.Posted 7 days ago
  • Victory to Victory  7-1) pulls clear in the Grade 1 Natalma Stakes.Posted 8 days ago
  • Good Samaritan (3-1) rolls to a Breeders' Cup birth with a Summer Stakes win.Posted 8 days ago

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A New York State of Racing

 

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Kentucky Derby Field - Where Are They Now? Arrogate has become the buzz horse in the division with his record setting performance in the Travers. He has one start left this year and should he win the Classic over California Chrome would that be enough for him to win the Eclipse? In comparison to Tiznow, he does not have a long enough resume. History seems to point to the notion that this year’s Three-year-old Male Champion is likely to come from a horse that has competed in the Derby.
OK - so we probably have 5 in the race then...well that is better than 2.
He's looking better than ever, with horses who were 15+ lengths behind him finishing 1-2 at Parx
  • Ruffianlover · It does flatter him but do you give a horse an eclipse Award based on one race? That's absurd · 2 days ago
  • Pebbles via Disqus · BTN...slipping again...Arrogate bested Connect by 13.5 lengths, and Gun Runner by another 1/2 length. :-) · 30 minutes ago
Kentucky Derby 2016 - Where Are They Now? "At this point, it is a distinct possibility that Nyquist will join Orb, Super Saver, Mine That Bird, Barbaro, and Monarchos as a Kentucky Derby winner since the year 2000 that never won another race. Nyquist appears to be on his way to stud duty at the end of the year. As a historic note, none of the aforementioned horses ended up receiving the Eclipse Award as top Three-year-old Male."
Ugh, saying this horse is inconsistent would be putting it mildly. 14 starts - 6 wins - 3 places - 1 show - 4 off the board. Seriously, he was 11th in the Travers? Wasn't it a 13 horse field? The Belmont, 11th in an 11 horse field, in other words, dead last. I don't know. The only time he won consecutively, was as a 2 year old after breaking maiden and then won the G2 Saratoga Special. Since he won the Haskell, he'll be in the Classic, but it's obvious that he'll be seriously outclassed. California Chrome will probably be the winner, but Arrogate may or may not have some surprises in store, but we'll have to wait and see. But now, once again, who the top three year old colt is this year is up in the air. Mohaymen hasn't won since the Florida Derby, I don't think. Nyquist's last two races, Preakness and Haskell, were pretty poor performances. Exaggerator, he's too inconsistant and those two 11th places are not attractive. Arrogate set a new Travers track record, but he's only won a single stakes race, that doesn't say much. I don't know who the best three year old colt is. The fillies this year have been amazing. Songbird naturally, but Carina Mia is no slouch, and neither is Cathryn Sophia. With champion older horse, no contest, it's California Chrome. For champion older mare, I would have said Beholder without a second thought, but after her two straight losses, to Stellar Wind in the Clement L Hirsch, and to California Chrome in the Pacific Classic, so, I can't say for certain if she's still champion older mare. Most likely she is, but her past two races make me wonder. So, it's Exaggerator, Nyquist, and Gun Runner in the Pennsylvania Derby? Oh boy. I'm not sure how Nyquist will do. I hope nothing bad happens.
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  • KatieK101 · I wish Arrogate was running tomorrow - he needs another stakes race before the Classic, IMO. But in terms of the best three year old colt, I'd say that title still belongs to Nyquist. People seem to be brushing him aside because he hasn't won his past two starts, but until the Preakness he was undefeated, and he won the Kentucky Derby. Two "poor" performances doesn't suddenly make all that disappear. · 3 days ago
  • Pebbles via Disqus · Close. 16 starts, 14 times on the board. "The board" is the tote board and it includes 4th place. He was 4th in the BC Juvenile despite a miserable trip. How can you call a horse that finishes off the board in 3 out of 14 starts? How would you define a consistent horse? Mohaymen has not won since the Fountain of Youth Stakes. You give Beholder no credit for stepping up in class against males and finishing a decent 2nd ahead of Dortmund, Hard Aces, and Hoppertunity? I count her performance as a G1 performance against fillies and mares. I do not penalize horses who step up in class for running a good race, but losing. Right now Beholder is ahead of Stellar Wind in my book. · 1 hour ago
I think the JCGC will be more exciting than the AA
Rest this horse and bring him back for a 2017 campaign.
  • Pebbles via Disqus · Winstar may want to get him to the breeding shed sooner. · 1 hour ago
Now is not the time to forfeit and dishonor the horse's chances as long is he healthy and injury free. If he is mathematically alive for 3 year old colt, and Breeders Cup Day is what carries the major determination, then he needs to follow through with that. I don't necessarily think he is the best horse or even in the top 5, but I'm not sure I would be either on an over raced schedule - 15 races in a year and 3 months is nearly one race per month and very unchararistic of what is recommended for major horses running major races nowadays. The Desormoux brothers have exercised very poor judgment in not sitting him out of some races, and it's amazing how none of us have put that together until after this last race. They can undo some of that problem by the fact that they have 6 and not 4 weeks. Rest him the max amount of time and train him the minimum. He's already gained about all the fitness he can gain for the year. And who knows? He may just hit Santa Anita on a rainy day; although if he faces CalChrome, that will probably be when the wet surface magic runs out. I would only enter him into the dirt mile if a majority of the other colts who are in contention enter, and even then, you are giving Arrogate a wide open shot at convincing voters of being the three year old colt instead of contesting him.
  • Pebbles via Disqus · I really do not know about this. Why not point him to the Hollywood Derby and allow him to regroup and try something new. If he were to win it, ala California Chrome that would be 4 G1 races he won this year and likely make him a shoe in for the award unless Nyquist or Arrogate win something big. He did have 2 months off between the Belmont Stakes and the Haskell. · 1 hour ago
A good list when compared to some past fields of Awesome Again. Dortmund and Win The Space are good enough horses and Hard Aces is not below the G2 status, but this will be a display of pure dominion. Win The Space picks off of the hot pace and finishes 11 back in 2nd.
How A Modest Race Became One Of America's Marquee Events https://www.thoroughbredracing.com/articles/how-modest-race-sneered-racetrack-became-one-americas-marquee-events/
Baffert will enter both Dortmund and Hoppertunity in the Awesome Again tomorrow, but it is not definite that both will actually start. (Per DRF Privman)
Back on the work tab today. 48 1/5 with a "breezing" designation, not usually given in Cali. I've been very pleased with his works post Travers. That 4f drill last week was a thing of beauty
Could he be running in the Awesome Again this weekend? He is on the nominations and im mainly curious because he didn't work this past weekend.
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  • By The Numbers via Disqus · I was a little curious myself on what Baffert's plan is. Watching Arrogate work and gallop, he by all appearances is a loaded horse. He dragged his exercise rider through that 1/2 in :46 3/5. To me, it seems like Baffert will have a hard time keeping him on the ground for 5 more weeks. Maybe he'll change his mind and put Arrogate in the AA · 1 day ago
  • Goblin · As you may know, he worked this A.M. at SA; went 4f. in 48.20, 3/13. Video is on xbtv; I'll try to link it; additional info concerning he and other Baffert horses can be found at Privman's twitter site. http://www.xbtv.com/video/recent/arrogate-works-4-furlongs-in-48-20-at-santa-anita-park-on-september-27th-2016/ · 1 hour ago
This is my opinion, and feel free to disagree. I don't think that either Nyquist or Exaggerator belong in the BCC, at least not this year. They seem to be tired horses, and if I owned them, they would be turned out for the remainder of the year and start training again early next spring for a four year old campaign. And the same could be said about Gun Runner. Start over next year, after a long rest.
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  • Blueyedhusky via Disqus · Nyquist needs to run. He should be entered in the JCGC, and then the BCC,.Quite the mile workouts, five or six furlongs max. He's leaving everything on the morning exercises! And put a real jockey on top. Someone who has a sense of pace. · 4 hours ago
  • bronzeprincess33 · I definitely think Nyquist should skip the Classic. Exaggerator should probably do the same, but he has an automatic berth for the race, so he'll most likely go. · 2 hours ago
Now that the latest Longines' ratings are out, here are a few notes heading into the 2016 BCC. California Chrome (133) will keep his #1 ranking over Arrogate (129) even if he finishes second to Arrogate. If they run 1-2, Arrogate will need to beat Chrome by at least 2 lengths to take over the #1 spot.
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  • BobHayes22 · Surprised Chrome received a 133 for beating Beholder who just got beat buy Stellar Wind and Baffert's horse who i thought before the race that he would bounce. · 1 day ago
  • BobHayes22 · So Chrome gets 113 Beyer and 133 Longines rating from same race and Arrogate gets a 122 Beyer and a 129 Longines rating from the same race. Let's see who's right. i think Arrogate will stuff Chrome and i think Chrome is top notch. · 2 hours ago
Sylvain Vidal, racing manager for part owner Gerard Augustin-Normand, said Almanzor is still unlikely to run in the Arc, but is being left in as a precaution. He also said Almanzor will remain in training next year: http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/article/465/10595261/almanzor-among-arc-nineteen
This could be a short field when all the dust is settled from the preps. I see 7 or 8 with Shaman Ghost not listed on here. Maybe Comfort joins the fray, that could make 9? I could see Gun Runner & Connect running. Exaggerator has a free ride so maybe they keep plugging away?LOL Destin- no works since Travers Creator- announced he was done for year. Firing Line- Heard they were targeting Dirt Mile if they make it at all. Nyquist could be retired Beholder seems likely for the Distaff, contingent on this weeks race. Dortmund- Will Bob really run him against Arrogate or Chrome a 4th time?
I think Nyquist took a bit of a confidence knock. You see it happen in show jumping all the time. Distance isn't the problem, he won the Florida Derby at 9f and the Kentucky Derby in excellent time, and the undefeated Nyquist would not allow a horse to go past him in the stretch, but in Penn Derby it looks like he stopped trying. I think the Preakness and Haskell took more out of him than anyone realized.
If Stellar Wind shows up in the Zenyatta like she did in the Clement Hirsch, she will win again!
It's going to be an upset with Talismanic!!! 2nd- Found 3rd- Highland Reel 4th- Order Of St. George 5th- New Bay

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 Meet Matt Shifman 
 
 

Matt Shifman has been on the Horse Racing Nation staff since 2011 and currently serves as Assistant Editor. Matt covers Aqueduct, Belmont Park, Monmouth Park, and Saratoga in his two HRN blogs Racing at the Jersey Shore and New York State of Racing.

 

Matt’s articles and tweets frequently appear in the America’s Best Racing weekly Notebook. In 2012 he became a voter in the NTRA weekly polls for the Top Thoroughbred and Top Three-Year-Old.

 

The best way to get to know Matt is to check out some of his favorite articles from the past couple years.


• Preakness Interview with Trainer Todd Pletcher


• Kentucky Derby 2016 Handicapping Tips from A to Z

   

• Edison: the Travels of a Million Dollar Colt 


• A Kentucky Derby Field with Just 14 Horses


• What is the Best Kentucky Derby Running Style?

 

 

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