• Stormy Regatta a game winner of the Riskaverse.Posted 2 hours ago
  • Da Big Hoss roles down the lane to score in the John's Call.Posted 1 day ago
  • Catch My Drift romps home a big winner in the Summer Colony.Posted 3 days ago
  • Jess's Dream, first foal and second runner of Rachel Alexandra, wins his career debut.Posted 3 days ago
  • Gary Stevens completes a big weekend with a Del Mar Mile win aboard Avanzare.Posted 4 days ago
  • Stallwalkin' Dude wins a three-horse photo thriller in the Tale of the Cat.Posted 4 days ago
  • Reporting Star gets to the wire first in Woodbine's Play the King.Posted 4 days ago
  • Beholder blitzes the boys in sensational style in the TVG Pacific Classic!Posted 4 days ago
  • Big John B powers home in the turfy Del Mar Handicap.Posted 5 days ago
  • Appealing Tale would not be denied in the Pat O'Brien.Posted 5 days ago

HRN Original Blog:
A New York State of Racing


Older Comments...

Amino did you see the Entries for Saturdays Race.At least we drew the Garden Spot. Although on paper Shared Belief is head and shoulders the best in here, this will not be as easy as some expected. To begin with, he is flying into Newark Airport(appx 6 hr. flight) . Then when he gets off the plane, he jumps in a van for a 6 hr. drive. For a horse that has never shipped before, this isn't exactly your First Class accomodations. Then he drew a dead mans post, he has post 4 with Moreno and Waroftheroses drawing outside of him. We at least drew good in this one. With a clean break, we are on the rail and tracking while saving ground for the "3 TURN TREK' . Thanks to my new hero ....Damon Dilodovico, a clean break by him will ensure that Moreno will not be walking the dog on the front end. Back to Marys favorite Monkey. What does Mikey now do,he must use the horse at the start so that he does not get shut off. If he takes back, he gets caught wide on the 3 turns. If you ask me,Smitty will have no other choice but to be aggressive and send. More than likely he is better than this group and can still win. But at least it will not be as easy a trip as i thought prior to all the entries. Hopefully Charles Town LEADING JOCKEY........JOSE MONTANO, who is the leading jockey in the funkiest race track in America, can secure a great trip. Thats' all we can ask for going into the race. If many think that the right Jock in these bull rings does not make a difference. Just ask Martin Pedroza and how he likes Fairplex.
  • Show All 4 Comments
  • Mary Z. · correction--Pletcher's A-Rod third and Dilger's Steet Babe for fourth. Thanks, tmallios :) · 133 days ago
  • amino998 · Everyone here should have read this great book and taken note at the under title..The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable :) · 26 minutes ago
Come on big boy! I know you can do it!
Everyone here should read this great book and take note at the under title..The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable:
When one understands the practical application of the numbers from certainty (1) to impossible (0), it is inherent to understand that these extremes are only terminal boundaries, NOT practical points of the probability spectrum.....No horse in any race EVER had zero chance to do anything.
American Pharoah – this horse looks unbeatable, watch out for the graveyard of champions, the knocks are that he’s never raced here, and Baffert has bad luck at Saratoga. Frosted – always seems to come up second, maybe can turn it around in this race, working out well, hot jockey / trainer combo, might be the best bet to beat Pharoah. Texas Red – winner of the Jim Dandy, hasn’t gone this distance, we will see what Desormeaux can do against Pharoah. Just Missed – Keen Ice, second in Haskell; Tale of Verve, Gary Stevens can find a way.
Tepin – lost by a nose in the Diana, winner of 3 of her last 4, fast speed, Leparoux knows the turf, I don’t think post 1 is a bad spot to be ion the turf. My Miss Sophia – hoping to rebound from 4th in the Diana, may like shorter distance, less pressure Kitten’s Queen – like the cat horses, knows the track, knows the distance, two 3rds preceded by 2 wins, hope Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz can get up to first. Just Missed – Coffee Clique.
La Verdad – fast, sports a lifetime 14-2-0 in 20 starts including winning her last 4, has gone the distance twice, and raced Saratoga 3 times, with one win. I like the trainer, Linda Rice, and she is working good. Wouldn’t be surprised if she is the morning line favorite. Merry Meadow – also fast, gone the distance 5 times, and hit the board in all three Saratoga starts (1 win). Winner of 4 of her last 5, hoping she is well rested for this one. Dame Dorothy – Pletcher loves Saratoga, and knows how to get his horses ready, Castellano is dangerous at the Spa as well. sports a 7-1-1 lifetime record in 9 starts, 4 wins in 4 starts at the distance! Hasn’t raced in 2 months and never at Saratoga are your negatives. Just Missed – Unbridled Forever
Grand Bili – Javier Castellano, running fast, 1-2-0 in 3 starts at this distance, working well, hope he can put up another 108. Holy Boss – Winner of the Amsterdam and his last 4 starts. Competitive Edge – that hot Pletcher / Johnny Velazquez combination, 2 wins in 3 starts at this distance, 2 wins at Saratoga, rattled off 4 wins before coming up short his last 2, one of which was the Haskell against Pharoah. Hoping they have him keyed in for this one. Just Missed – Mr. Z, this is a derby championship series runner, who went up against the likes of American Pharoah, Hoping that D Wayune Lucas has him back on track, he has the talent to win this, working well, hope he likes the shorter distance; Watershed, just because he’s a maiden winner, doesn’t mean he can’t compete.
Imagining -working well, hot jockey / trainer combo, gone the distance, knows the track, lots to like here. Twilight Eclipse -fast horse, gone the distance 9 times, graded stakes experience, hope Rosario gets it done. Red Rifle – the horses have all raced each other before, winner of his last 2, last win at Saratoga, Pletcher trained Just Missed – Flintshire watch out for those imports.
The Big Beast – I love this horse, and he loves Saratoga, just a nose short in the Vanderbilt, fast, lifetime 8 4-2-1, Won 2 and a second at Saratoga, 1 win in 2 starts at distance. I think he get’s revenge today. Private Zone – working bullets, has the speed, tons of graded stakes experience, seems to win every other race, a lot to like here. Race Day – again liking the Pletcher / Castellano connection, racing well until bumped in last start, hope he likes the shorter distance, winner of 5 of his last 6 before poor finish last time out. Just Missed – Wildcat Red, Salutos Amigos, Falling Sky – seems to like the 7 furlong distance
$20 Superfecta... AP on top..then Keen Ice, Frosted, Texas Red in that order. Frosted almost caught TR in the Jim Dandy.... Frosted catches TR @ 1 1/4 Ticket will pay $600
I think that American Pharaoh should target penn derby after he might win the travers stakes
The only way Flintshire loses the Sword Dancer Invitational is if rain were to hit Saratoga just prior to the race and puts a bunch of cut in the ground. But if the track stays fast/firm ground, which is the type of ground Flintshire is at his best over, he'll win this race by daylight with Twilight Eclipse as his closest competitor, IMO.
nah its a cake walk they have zero chance to beat this guy! he looks better then ever and his last work sealed the deal.
Stellar Wind is entered in the 3rd race on the 30th at Del Mar. GoooooCurlin.
Hmmm. Anything can happen to a good horse. I play to win big so putting Tr, KI and Frosted on top in my SF with AP 2nd then fill in the blanks after that. Any horse but AP wins the SF will pay big.9
  • cugel the clever · I don't think the SF will pay big for any combination of those four horses because so many people will be boxing those four. · 3 hours ago
I won betting AP, Upstart & Keen Ice in the Haskell. Does anyone know if Upstart is going to scratch? Why does everyone think that Smart Transition is gong to do so well against the Travers field? I rewatched the Curlin & he really looked green running down the stretch, drifting in & out..............just saying...........
  • Show All 3 Comments
  • Christopher Browne via Disqus · Upstart probably will scratch . I think you're right about Smart Transition , he doesn't have the experience or pedigree to compete with American Pharoah , Frosted , and Keen Ice . Stay tuned for my full race preview on Friday evening at about 4 P. M. Pacific Time after I'm finished watching Round 2 of the Barclays PGA Tour. This is going to be a great weekend . · 23 hours ago
  • cugel the clever · Smart Transition is green but he is rapidly learning and improving. I also like the jockey switch from J.Alvarado to J.Valazquez..... that may help with his green running style. After getting past AP, Frosted, TR, and Keen Ice; the rest of the field is weak (and I purposely include Upstart in that assessment). I don't think ST is a threat to the top three, but I do think there's a chance that he could beat out the plodder Keen Ice for 4th place. · 3 hours ago
OK, let me come out for Tale of Verve to squeeeeeze in past TR and ruin everybody's Super... e.g. my SF (boxed and bowed), is Frosted, AP, KI, Tale of Verve!
🏇Frosted🏇, 😂Mid Ocean😂, 🚨Texas Red🚨
Had my first taste of steeplechase racing this year in person as my home track Monmouth Park carded 3 races one day. It seems to me like playing Russian roulette with these horses well being as falling appeared to me to be the norm not the exception. I was left impressed by the beauty and athleticism of these equine athletes as they jumped the fences but with some trepidation and anxious moments. I made a post similar to this one that I left that experience with a bad taste in my mouth and a story like this just confirms my opinion of steeplechase races. As a fan and one who wagers, other than my voice, my refusal to bet on these races is my best tool to exhibit my opposition to these races. R.I.P Divine Fortune.

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 Meet Matt Shifman 

Matt Shifman has been on the Horse Racing Nation staff since 2011 and currently serves as Assistant Editor. Matt covers Aqueduct, Belmont Park, Monmouth Park, and Saratoga in his two HRN blogs Racing at the Jersey Shore and New York State of Racing.


Matt’s articles and tweets frequently appear in the America’s Best Racing weekly Notebook. In 2012 he became a voter in the NTRA weekly polls for the Top Thoroughbred and Top Three-Year-Old.


The best way to get to know Matt is to check out some of his favorite articles from the past couple years.


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