Ticker
  • Party Boat (7-2) takes the Memories of Silver on the Aqueduct turf.Posted 3 days ago
  • Dolphus (6-5), Rachel Alexandra's half-brother, wins AQU allowance; Shagaf lastPosted 3 days ago
  • Multiplier (4-1) kicks it in late to get past Hedge Fund in the Illinois Derby.Posted 4 days ago
  • Collected (3-5) rolls home much the best in the Californian.Posted 4 days ago
  • Imperative (5-1) surges past Matt King Coal for his second win in the Charles Town Classic.Posted 4 days ago
  • Itsinthepost (5-2) proves best in Keeneland's Elkhorn.Posted 4 days ago
  • Inordinate (5-2) surges to victory in the San Juan Capistrano.Posted 4 days ago
  • Twisted Tom (5-1) is a game winner of a sloppy Federico Tesio Stakes.Posted 4 days ago
  • Classic Rock (6-5) rolls in the Roar, the Preakness could be next.Posted 5 days ago
  • Unbridled Mo (2-5) holds on to win the Doubledogdare at Keeneland.Posted 5 days ago
Breeders Cup 2015
Kentucky Derby 2017

HRN Original Blog:
A New York State of Racing

 

Older Comments...

Hard to tell obviously at this age, but he looks like he could be something good. I await for his training/works to begin.
Someone knows something about her foals? I know that she is foal to Dansili, but what about earlier?
  • SSilence86 via Disqus · She had a colt by Oasis Dream on 3/13/16. The Dansili filly foaled on 320/17 is her 2nd. · 36 minutes ago
Not fast enough early and not fast enough late.Too much of a rush on this horse.Like Royal MO needs time to mature .Quality at the Belmont right kind of one paced style.Rosario doesn't jump off of Derby winners.Love the Curlins but this is an obvious Derby rush.Steady runner look for Belmont.
  • Mark Cone via Disqus · Ok, I'll take the bait. It's pretty easy to come on a message board and say that one horse out of 20 won't win. As classy as Motion is, JR could have been kicked off IWC and we wouldn't have known. He obviously made the wrong choice w/ Practical Joke who can't even get a 1 1/4. Not fast enough late? Join the other amateurs who look at the Wood's inflated time and say it was slow. The Wood, according to a few speed metrics, was one of the fastest preps. So genius, instead of telling us who won't win-give us your winner. · 1 hour ago
"ARROGATE STEALS THE SHOW", he's the best Baffert has ever trained............. American WHO?
How come she not going to the oaks?
So the latest 'posted' word from Camp Arrogate is nothing we don't already know. This statement from Grimthorpe appeared on UAE's The National Sport today - "The initial thing is to probably give him a break, then think about something like the Pacific Classic at Del Mar as that is where the Breeders’ Cup is this year, and take it from there," Lord Grimthorpe, UK racing manager for owners Juddmonte, said. "That’s in August and whether we go before it is hard to tell at this stage. He won’t work for at least a month. The horse will tell Bob when he is ready. The main aim is the Breeders’ Cup Classic again." To me it seems a little difficult to tell when this was actually said because it definitely has the same familiar ring to it. But at least from it we know that Arrogate has now had his month off.
  • Ferrisjso26 · Just 2 more races for a 4 start season, which would make it a 6 stakes start career? If that schedule holds Arrogate will only have the chance to break one more record(10 at Del Mar) and will then call it a career. He will also only have 1 stakes start at a distance other than 10(I know the DWC isn't technically 10, you know what I mean). We can complain all we want about how short campaigns are but even by today's standards he's being coddled. · 5 hours ago
Finishing 3rd in your final prep race doesn't bode well for horses in the KD. In the last 10 years, 26 horses have ran in the KD who came off of a 3rd place finish and only Commanding Curve and Mucho Macho Man finished in the top 3. This list of 26 included some good horses like Union Rags and Lookin at Lucky. I think he finishes anywhere from 4th to 8th.
Some here are expecting Always Dreaming to bounce and some are thinking the Florida Derby performance was good enough to win the 2017 Kentucky Derby. I think AD's FD performance was a normal progression for him when comparing to his previous race (and in the FD, AD only beat the stamina challenged Three Rules by 7 lengths). To win the Kentucky Derby, AD will have to improve from his FD performance by at least 5 lengths to be on par with the average KD winning performances over the past 5 years.
  • Chicken Dinner via Disqus · 5 lengths?! So he should have won the FlaDerby in 146.47? Cmon Bob...I'll give you a chance to take it back and we'll pretend it didn't happen ;) · 8 hours ago
I've been doing a lot of data research on the derby this year in comparison to the last 10 derbys and Always Dreaming is definitely a standout. By winning his final prep race by 5 lengths, he joins an elite class of derby runners including Bodemeister, American Pharoah, California Chrome, Exaggerator, Firing Line, Big Brown, and Curlin. The only other horse to be in this group was Friesan Fire who appears to be an outlier. Couple this information with the facts that he beat tough derby contenders and earned one of the highest speed figures of the bunch, I think he's a must bet for any trifecta. Something else worth noting, since 2010, there have been 33 horses who ran in the derby who also lost their final prep race by 6 lengths or more. Out of those 33, ONLY ONE has hit the board (Denis of Cork 2008). For this reason, I'm willing to bet against Gunnevera.
  • Ferrisjso26 · Thank you this was very helpful and if I was betting I wouldn't bet on Gunnevera because of this. The fact Denis of Cork was in a god awful crop means you have identified an almost absolute trend here, good work. · 8 hours ago
  • Classic · Don't forget Indian Charlie fast track specialist.Derby fav......? I COULD BE WRONG Correct me if I am on the fast track specialist. · 8 hours ago
No bottom. SORRY.
Sorry this horse who was not special in circumstances that were not comfortable must find a way .Sir 5 furlongs is nothing.Win a Grade 1 Race.This Is not Tampa Bay OR Tap writ although I did cash on his Win.This Is the Kentucky Derby.The seasons have changed .Qualify run your race, but is it good enough.
Add this ho
5 furlongs in 1:00 3/5s at Churchill his home track which he loves... Do not doubt this horse. http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/221159/mccraken-finishes-strong-in-five-furlong-move There is a reason he is my number one. I think he can be beat. But it will take special performance from Classic Empire or Irish War Cry.
  • RealDynastyPicks · The home track advantage with McCraken seems to be legit. I know his workmate this morning was only a maiden, but he seems to just glide over the track at Churchill. Going to be scary on Derby Day for sure. · 2 days ago
  • Classic · Will take special effort for non grade 1 horse too run past multiple Grade 1 horse.Recommend old handicapping book.Class handicapping.Probably out of print.Sorry forgot author's name.It has stuck with me for years now.He passed a little wisdom.Over the Course of a season of Handicapping.You can't go wrong with it. GRADE 1 HORSES WIN GRADE 1 RACES.Kentucky Derby Grade 1 Race.I am looking for Grade 1 Winners. · 9 hours ago
Javier looking for a fair track.I don't blame him still has a lot too do too get over multiple GD1 winner.A lot too do!!!!!!!!!.
13 races off the board 2 times 4 Grade 1's against the toughest horses. 1 grade 1 every yr she's raced. An eclipse award and multi millionaire and two grade one wins over Beholder. Stellar wind will be a hall of Famer
Had a Dansili filly on 3/20
War Admiral struck his right forefoot at the start of the Belmont, injuring it so badly that he bled the entire mile and a half around the big oval. All the little Admiral did was clock a time of 2:28 3/5 for a new stakes, track and equalling of the American record. The previous track record had been set 17 years earlier in the 1920 Jockey Club Gold Cup by sire Man o' War at 2:28 4/5. Seventeen year old future equine artist Richard Stone Reeves was impressed by the diminutive thoroughbred showing his literal “red badge of courage” to win the Triple Crown. His thoughts - “A little brown colt raced through the stretch at Belmont Park one June afternoon more than a half-century ago... From a personal point of view, he was racing solidly into my life as well, and the image he left with me that afternoon has never waned.” Three legs and a heart - http://horsenetwork.com/2016/06/three-legs-heart/
Move along folks. Nothing to see here. I don't think this horse would beat a quality field in a restricted allowance race.
Is there a reason for the dramatic fall in ranking for Unique Bella? Is it really because she sustained a slight injury? I realize this is just a popularity contest, but it is still very odd to me.
His full brother... LOOK at those legs! :O https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/86cd0bf6b70080642b873d3290acbca0e6e67ebf21291620bdbad4f1df6dc785.png
  • Show All 4 Comments
  • cedar · holy..... i always think of Tapits being a bit compact or on the smaller side. Maybe this one will end up looking more like Tonalist. · 2 days ago
  • triplechrome · How old do you think he is in this photo · 13 hours ago

Connect With Matt (AndyScoggin)
Find 

Me On Facebook
Follow Me On Twitter
 Meet Matt Shifman 
 
 

Matt Shifman has been on the Horse Racing Nation staff since 2011 and currently serves as Assistant Editor. Matt covers Aqueduct, Belmont Park, Monmouth Park, and Saratoga in his two HRN blogs Racing at the Jersey Shore and New York State of Racing.

 

Matt’s articles and tweets frequently appear in the America’s Best Racing weekly Notebook. In 2012 he became a voter in the NTRA weekly polls for the Top Thoroughbred and Top Three-Year-Old.

 

The best way to get to know Matt is to check out some of his favorite articles from the past couple years.


• Preakness Interview with Trainer Todd Pletcher


• Kentucky Derby 2016 Handicapping Tips from A to Z

   

• Edison: the Travels of a Million Dollar Colt 


• A Kentucky Derby Field with Just 14 Horses


• What is the Best Kentucky Derby Running Style?

 

 

Best of the Blogs

Top Stories