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HRN Original Blog:
A New York State of Racing

New York’s 2014 Kentucky Derby Contenders IV

 
The Gotham Stakes (G3) renewed the rivalry of the New York-breds Samraat and Uncle Sigh, but they allowed In Trouble to join in the fun. The three of them battled down the home stretch ending literally in a neck and neck finish. Those three ended up with a neck margin between the top two and then another neck to third place.
 
 
With his victory in the Gotham, Samraat earned 50 points and now sits on top of the Road to the Kentucky Derby standings with 60. Uncle Sigh upped his total to 24 points, which puts him in 5th place. In Trouble earned his first 10 points and that translates to the 18th spot.
 
Now that there is only two months until the 2014 Kentucky Derby it is time to trim the New York Contenders list. This will mark the first time that I rank my list based on their chance to actually win the Derby. I will also continue to show all of the contenders’ information based on the number of Road to the Kentucky Derby points earned.
 
My first New York Top 10 Contenders list takes into serious consideration that the best running style in the Kentucky Derby is that of the closers and deep closers. I’ve included the chart from my series of articles about running style from last year’s Triple Crown campaign.
 
 
New York’s Top 10 Kentucky Derby Contenders
 
1) Cairo Prince
2) Strong Mandate
3) Intense Holiday
4) Top Billing
5) Honor Code
6) Samraat
7) Constitution
8) In Trouble
9) Havana
10) Tonalist
 
The list of New York contenders below is in order based on the number of Road to the Kentucky Derby points that have been earned by each horse. Here you'll find among other things: career records, Beyer Speed Figures, and Kentucky Derby Future Pool odds.
 
Samraat (Noble Causeway)
5: 5-0-0 $583,200
Owner: My Meadowview Farm
Trainer: Rick Violette
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
1st Gotham (G3) – BSF 96
1st Withers (G2) – BSF 94
1st  Damon Runyan – BSF 95
60 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 30-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: 30-1
 
Intense Holiday (Harlan’s Holiday)
7: 2-0-1 $351,900
Owner: Starlight Racing
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Mike Smith
1st Risen Star (G2) – BSF 97
3rd Holy Bull Stakes (G2) – BSF 84
4th Remsen Stakes (G2) – BSF 84
4th Nashua Stakes (G2) – BSF 81
53 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 69-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: 22-1
 
Uncle Sigh (Indian Charlie)
4: 1-3-0 $201,000
Owner: Wounded Warrior
Trainer: Gary Contessa
Jockey: Pablo Morales
2nd Gotham (G3) – BSF 96
2nd Withers (G3) – BSF 92
1st MSW (NY-breds) Aqueduct – BSF 93
2rd MSW Aqueduct – BSF 95
24 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 73-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: 42-1
 
Cairo Prince (Pioneerof the Nile)
4: 3-1-0 $472,000
Owner: Braverman, Namcook Stables, Clark
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
Jockey: Luis Saez
1st Holy Bull Stakes (G2) – BSF 95
2nd Remsen Stakes (G2) – BSF 88
1st Nashua Stakes (G2) – BSF 90
14 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 26-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 13-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: 9-1
 
Havana (Dunkirk)
3: 2-1-0 $708,000
Owner: Tabor, Magnier, Smith
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Gary Stevens
2nd Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 86
1st Champagne Stakes (G1) – BSF 93
14 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 26-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 28-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: Mutuel Field 3-1
 
Honor Code (A.P. Indy)
3: 2-1-0 $388,000
Owner: Lane’s End and Dell Ridge
Trainer: Shug McGaughey
Jockey: Javier Castellano
1st Remsen Stakes (G2) – BSF 88
2nd Champagne Stakes (G1) – BSF 93
14 Road to Kentucky Derby points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 10-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 12-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: 11-1
 
Noble Moon (Malibu Moon)
4: 2-1-1 $233,000
Owner: Treadway Racing
Trainer: Leah Gyarmati
Jockey: Irad Ortiz
1st Jerome (G2) – BSF 85
3rd Nashua Stakes (G2) – BSF 84
10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 63-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 47-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: 46-1
 
In Trouble (Tiz Wonderful)
3: 2-0-1 $218,000
Owner: Team D
Trainer: Tony Dutrow
Jockey: Joe Rocco Jr.
3rd Gotham (G3) – BSF 95
1st Futurity (G2) Belmont – BSF 94
10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 3/2
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: Mutuel Field 3-1
 
Top Billing (Curlin)
4: 2-1-1 $96,835
Owner: Farish and Hudson
Trainer: Shug McGaughey
Jockey: Joel Rosario
3rd Fountain of Youth (G2)
1st OC75/NW1 Gulfstream Park – BSF 93
2nd OC75/NW1 Gulfstream Park – BSF 91
1st MSW Laurel – BSF 71
10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 13-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: 11-1
 
Strong Mandate (Tiznow)
6: 2-1-1 $492,900
Owner: Baker, Mack
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
Jockey: Joel Rosario
2nd Southwest Stakes (G3)
3rd Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 85
1st Hopeful Stakes (G1) – BSF 85
6 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 27-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 17-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: 18-1
 
The rest of these Contenders have yet to earn any Road to the Derby points.
 
Anchor Down (Tapit)
2: 2-0-0 $48,150
Owner: Alto Racing
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
1st OC Allowance Gulfstream
1st MSW Gulfstream – BSF 90
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 3/2
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: Mutuel Field 3-1
 
Constitution (Tapit)
2: 2-0-0 $49,350
Owner: WinStar Farm and Twin Creeks Racing
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
1st OC75/N1X Gulfstream – BSF 98
1st MSW Gulfstream – BSF 84
$400,000 Saratoga August 2012
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 3/2
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: 28-1
 
Hartford (Tapit)
1: 1-0-0 $28,200
Owner: Stonestreet Farms
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
1st MSW GulfstreamPark – BSF 79
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 3/2
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: Mutuel Field 3-1
 
Surfing U S A (Roman Ruler)
3: 1-2-0 $68,175
Owner: Stonestreet and Bolton
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
2nd OC75/NW1 Gulfstream Park
1st MSW Aqueduct – BSF 83
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 3/2
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: Mutuel Field 3-1
 
Tonalist (Tapit)
3: 1-1-0 $37,000
Owner: Robert Evans
Trainer: Christophe Clement
Jockey: Joe Bravo
2nd OC75/N1X Gulfstream
1st MSW GulfstreamPark – BSF 90
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 48-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: Mutuel Field 3-1
 
Unknown Road (Bernardini)
3: 1-1-0 $40,460
Owner: JMJ Racing Stable
Trainer: Hushion/Stall
Jockey: Shaun Bridgmohan
4th OC50/NW1 Fair Grounds
1st MSW Fair Grounds – BSF 98
2rd MSW Aqueduct – BSF 83 – behind Coup de Grace
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 4/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 3/2
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3: Mutuel Field 3-1 

 

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Older Comments about New York’s 2014 Kentucky Derby Contenders IV...

pletcher favorito. "favoritos los yankees".morderá el polvo y la hierba en belmont, manhatan handicap G-1. "HIERBA". "block arias". toni arias von hohenzollern."handicap y hierba".interesantes apuestas. lei scomesse. nyra. trainer young antonio arias von hohenzollern."german son".
SIMPLE. All winners of the Derby are sustained/pressers...winners not placer colts which often are pressers only.
I like reading this but you show the style of running and talk about it but you do not explain the running style of the contenders, this would be most helpful. otherwise this is a read I always look forward to
im a top billing fan all the way
I love Uncle Sigh, but I think he should shoot for the Preakness or Belmont where you need to be closer to the pace or on the lead.
He didn't make the NY Top 10.
Why do you say poor Uncle Sigh
Poor Uncle Sigh.

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Matt Shifman has been on the Horse Racing Nation staff since 2011. Matt covers Aqueduct, Belmont Park, Monmouth Park, and Saratoga in his two HRN blogs Racing at the Jersey Shore and New York State of Racing.

 

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