• Quidura (7-2) scores another graded stakes win at Keeneland for Graham Motion.Posted 8 hours ago
  • Frosted is pointing to the Breeders' Cup Classic, per his connections.Posted 2 days ago
  • Erupt (IRE) at 12-1 closes to win the $1,000,000 Pattison Canadian International (G1)Posted 5 days ago
  • Al's Gal (6-1) wins the head bob and the E. P. Taylor (G1) at WoodbinePosted 5 days ago
  • Blanket finish in the Nearctic (G2) at Woodbine goes to Calgary Cat (15-1)Posted 5 days ago
  • Arella Rockstar (12-1) upsets the Matron (G3) at Belmont Park.Posted 5 days ago
  • Time and Motion (3-1) wins a three-filly photo in the QE II Challenge Cup.Posted 6 days ago
  • Undefeated Theory (3-10) kicks away to a Futurity scorePosted 6 days ago
  • Almanzor turns away Found in the Group 1 British Champions Stakes.Posted 6 days ago
  • Minding better than the boys in the Queen Elizabeth II at Ascot.Posted 6 days ago
Breeders Cup 2015

HRN Original Blog:


Older Comments...

Id usually take this as as an opportunity to smash on people who disrespect a great horse for no good reason. But think of it like this. Its not the exactly the same as military service members for those who do put their bodies and well being on the line to protect our country, but it is in similar context to be classy and dignified in ones attitude to respect the participants of any thing that people love and participate in. It is so easy from an armchair perspective to issue arrogant, blind, and myopic criticisms, or even to take statistical angles to decipher what horse "Has no chance" versus a horse that is "Dominant". As a fan, or a bettor, or both, it is the parity of differences of horse that make equine competition such a neat thing to love or participate in. Anything can happen in horse racing. Tepin getting beat. Laoban breaking Maiden at graded stakes. Arrogate not being mentioned by ANYONE besides those who follow SoCal Racing, and destroying the Travers. The Breeders Cup races have always been known for things happening that people don't see that goes against what they know of assessing a race. Funny seeing so many who doubted the CALBRED in his three year old campaign swinging on his un-gelded future babies at this moment. Hey, Im happy that the respect finally came after calling him a wash-up after DWC of two years ago. When you have a Championship series of races, you respect ALL participants. And if someone wants to support a horse, it is no ones right to tarnish a horse or a fan, it is an honor that these horses give us such a fun and amazing sport to witness. Whether it is a horse that never wins a Maiden 20, or a horse that has a up and down record at graded stakes, or whether it is the most Dominant of Equine athletes, show respect. When you have the Pinnacle Event where the best of the best are assembled for OUR participation in you respect every and all of these Noble Participants. Because in the end, these Horses don't need us or our opinions. We are lucky to see them in such a way. We are lucky to see these horses, whether YOU think a horse deserves to race in the company of others or not. Thank God this industry is not run by peoples opinions. And thank goodness that despite what people think we get to see such races with such intrigue of talent and dedication. I love Frosted. But in the end. I am happy that ALL of these athletes will be there and only hope to see great races and a safe trip back to their feed buckets after entertaining us. We are getting to see a AWESOME time in thoroughbred racing. Appreciate all of the horses that bless us.
OMG OMG OMG Winx just turned in the performance of a lifetime, running away from horses as classy as Hartnell, Yankee Rose and Vadamos by 5 lengths and more. It's 7am on a Saturday morning here in the UK and I was trying not to shout too loud and wake up my neighbours, LOL.
Like I said before Arrogate looks like a nice horse but he's not California Chrome. Here are the splits in each of their last races. CC's splits in the Awesome Again: (1/4) 22.76 (1/2) 46.08 (3/4) 1:09.48 (Mile) 1:34.45 Arrogate's splits in the Travers: (1/4) 23.23 (1/2) 46.84 (3/4) 1:10.85 (Mile) 1:35.52 California chrome has much faster splits and even after Victor Espinosa began holding him back after 6 furlongs California Chrome still ran a mile split one full second faster than Arrogates's mile split. Bob Baffert knows arrogate can't run with the best horse in the world.
Is Jess's Dream going to train up to the BC classic...if not this year, maybe next year. HA! That would be a classic for the ages.
BRAZIL CUP(OP,D2100m,Tokyo,11R,10/23/2016) MIX SD, Handicap, 3-Year-Olds & Up, Open Class, Value of race: 42,290,000 Yen CARD http://japanracing.jp/en/racing/result/
BCC results: 1st Chrome 2nd Melatonin 3rd Effinex 4th Arrogate 5th Nyquist 6th Frosted 7th Hoppertunity
  • Stay Thirsty via Disqus · 1st Frosted 2nd Chrome 3rd Effinex 4th Nyquist 5th Arrogate 6th Win The Space 7th Hoppertunity · 5 hours ago
  • jrem1 · That would win a tri for me....as I'm thinking of playing one with CC on top of selected horses for fun. · 3 hours ago
Pretty excited to see this gal run tomorrow, her debut was very impressive and she wanted more distance. New York bred filly by Curlin could be a good one.
Maybe Royal Passage to make up the Superfecta
American Pharoah was good very good, but he was no Fager, Buckpasser, Tom Fool, Kelso or Forego
  • jason.luttgens · very true, I'd also include Cigar and Skip Away · 2 days ago
  • elhubbo · iPhones are good but they are no rotary wall phone with a twenty foot cord. · 6 hours ago
After watching the races at Parx this past weekend, I wonder what kind of freak Bayern was winning the 2014 Penn Derby like that.
  • MaryZinke via Disqus · idk, according to you, they must have placed potted palms around the Parx track, and rolled the surface to a crackly crunch. · 6 hours ago
California speedways is known for making 9f horses look good at 10f. Bayern ran 10f at Saratoga in 2:06 1/5 seconds. He completed 10f at Santa Anita in 1:59 4/5 seconds.
  • MaryZinke via Disqus · After conjugating: Bayern's 10f at SA was the equivalent of using a tank as a landscaping tool. Hey, it works. As far as Bayern's Travers went, he wasn't really running at the end. · 6 hours ago
When are the fields usually set for all of the Breeders cup races?
Interesting. Must be training lights out. Splits in his last race were faster than his usual plodding...
  • BeastBob via Disqus · I like the 23 3/5, 23 3/5 third and 4th splits, and then the gallop out. That probably surprised Todd Pletcher too. · 7 hours ago
Happy well-deserved retirement to the great sprinter, Buffering. 56 starts for 20 wins and 17 placings & over $7.4M in earnings. Last link to Black Caviar, having chased her many times.
I hope his future races are posted on this site so we can continue to follow his career
https://www.thoroughbredracing.com/articles/life-american-pharoah-joy-pride-how-victor-espinoza-came-close-losing-ride/ Interesting article on the drama of AP's 3yo campaign. Kind of shows how subjective some opinions are
  • Show All 8 Comments
  • amino998 · My ALWAYS subjective opinion is the boat was missed when/if Victor failed to proffer a share of "One Lucky Mexican"'s breeding rights to Ms Karina Smirnoff :) · 7 days ago
  • elhubbo · Wow how did I miss out on this discussion. I may be the rare opinion that actually like Zayat, Baffert and Espinoza. I think Victor got carried away in the hype, and his people made it worse. I think Zayat was mostly concerned with getting Pharoah to the finish line a superstar as he was assured to make piles of cash regardless. For Bob this was affirmation of his life's work and it's his job to keep his riders on task. The thing I didn't like is VE coming out and saying Chromes the best he's ridden, it seemed very self serving and classless. When it comes right down to it Victor was the least responsible for American Pharoahs success, any of a dozen or so would've had the same result. Most importantly they are all just people, mistakes will be made. · 8 hours ago
I wish owners would think with their brains instead of their egos or what's between their legs...most of the Frosted fans are seriously doubting their horse can win had he been entered in the BCDM to the likes of Dortmund and Runhappy. I don't get it. Either you have confidence or you don't in the horse covering what he is good at, which I think he is good at one mile. Frosted is severely insufficient at 10f distances. His record speaks for itself...and please spare me the distance he covered at belmont...that was ages ago and one race only. An aberration. You can't expect Usain Bolt to run in the 800 meters when that's not his specialty. He dominates at 100 and 200 meters. Same principle has to apply to Frosted or you get a disaster plain and simple.
  • Show All 7 Comments
  • Mark Kennedy via Disqus · You may want to take the time to learn the facts. They all agree frosted is more suited at a 1 TURN MILE. The BC mile is two turns with a mad dash at the start because the first turn comes quickly . With so many horses scrambling for position if you draw outside and don't have blazing speed ( frosted doesn't have early blazing speed ). Your screwed If Frosted hits the board his payday is huge and it will expand his stud potential for both classic and mile distances · 11 hours ago
  • triplechrome · What races are you running your horses in and what are their names? · 8 hours ago
I've already got 2 headlines written up for Frosted's performance in the BC Classic. Which one do you thinks best folks, give me your thoughts: "Frosted gets Smoked in the Classic" OR "Frosted gets iced in the Classic". :-)
  • Mr. Sandman via Disqus · lol...how about 'Frosted melts under the pressure of Chrome's Classic run' · 9 hours ago
  • saratogaken · How About - Cool Performance By Frosted Leaves Breeders Cup Classic Field In The Cold. · 8 hours ago
It doesn't matter what PP Chrome is going in...he will gun to the lead or stalk in the catbird seat just waiting for VE to give him the signal to bring on home with that flawless lead change. I'm thinking sub 2:00.
  • sczen50 · Agreed~ This time w/ that pace,he may just show us what he's got. :) · 1 day ago
  • Ruffianlover · I'm thinking maybe we see sub 1.59. Chrome will be unleashed like we've never seen before · 8 hours ago
I get a kick out of Frosted being picked as the major threat to California Chrome in the 2016 BCC. Not that I don’t like Frosted. He was my favorite 3-year-old of 2015 after Texas Red and Dortmund were injured. But, while Six of the 10 probable starters of the 2016 BCC have won at least one 1¼ mile stakes race, none of them is named Frosted. Frosted has finished 4th, 3rd, 7th (of 8 in the 2015 BCC) and 5th (2016 Dubai World Cup) and just doesn’t seem suited for the classic distance. The six who have won at 1 ¼ miles include all 4 of the 3-year-olds: California Chrome (4 wins), Melatonin (2), Effinex (2), and Hoppertunity (1), and 2 of the 3-year-olds Nyquist and Arrogate (1 each). None of the 4-year-olds in the BCC has ever won at a mile and a quarter. As far as I have been able to find, only 3 dirt horses from the 2015 crop of 3-year-olds have been won at the classic distance of 1 ¼ miles:AP (twice), Force the Pass, and Keen Ice all won at 1 ¼ miles in 2015. As far as I know, no other horse from that crop has won at the 1 ¼ mile distance. The class of 2016 also has 3 dirt horses that have won at 1 1/4 miles, Nyquist, Deauville, and Arrogate. As for the class of 2014, 6 horses won at 1 ¼ miles as 3-year-olds, Bayern, CC, Shared Belief, Effinex, Mr Speaker, Tonalist, and VE Day. Effinex won the Suburban in both 2015 and 2016, and Melatonin and Hoppertunity, won at the distance in 2016 as 5-year-olds. Through their 4-year-old season the class of 2015 won a total of 10 mile and a quarter races and added 6 more this year for a three year total of 16 wins so far at the Classic distance. Four horses from the class of 2014 ran 1 ¼ miles in under 2 minutes: Bayern, CC, and Toast of New York (who never actually won at the distance) as 3-year-olds all in the 2014 BCC and Melatonin in the 2016 Gold Cup at Santa Anita. Arrogate, of course was the fourth of the 10 in his sizzling Travers Performance. No horse from the 2015 class has run 1¼ miles in under 2 minutes. In the 2014 BCC, in a full field of 14 entries, 7 were 3-year-olds. The top 6 finishers were all 3-year-olds. In the 2015 BCC, the 3-year-olds finished 1st, 4th, 7th, and 8th while the 3 entries from the class of 2014 finished 2nd, 3rd, and 5th. Tonalist was the only horse to compete in both races and finished 5th in both races. Of course, horses don’t usually read statistics and we only have to remember how Onion and Matterhorn caused the defeat of heavily favored horses. Then again, neither is running in this year’s BCC. Probably Moanin will ship from Japan at the last minute and upset all the Americans :). Nevertheless, I'm thinking Chrome in sub 1:59.
  • Mr. Sandman via Disqus · I feel like I'm in class again. Great research ChromeSecretariat. I am with you thinking Chrome comes in under 2 minutes in first place in the BCC. · 8 hours ago
  • Ruffianlover · Agree with everything here · 8 hours ago

About Me

Mike has been a passionate horseracing fan for over 30 years. He received his “handicapping education” through countless hours of deciphering the mystery that is embedded in every race. It was the tough beats at the window, however, that propelled him to never make the same mistake twice (well, maybe three times).

As Managing Partner of Horse Racing Nation, Mike serves as investor, business advisor, staff handicapper and developer of handicapping content.

Handicapping the Derby has always been one of Mike's favorite endeavors.  He spends weeks compiling notes, speed figures and analysis in preparation for the big race.  In 2010, his HRN pals pushed him into packaging his time-tested methods into what became the 2010 Kentucky Derby Super Screener, an e-book that became extremely popular with HRN readers and was downloaded over 3,000 times.   

In preparation for the 2011 Derby, Mike will be "Rating the Preps" each weekend on the Derby trail.  The goal will be to build a good picture for which prep races are most likely to produce the 2011 Kentucky Derby winner.   

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