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  • Olorda takes them all the way in the Bewitch Stakes on closing day at Keeneland.Posted 16 hours ago
  • Nyquist will get in his final Kentucky Derby workout Friday afternoon at Keeneland.Posted 3 days ago
  • Time and Motion wins the Memories of Silver for Jimmy Toner.Posted 5 days ago
  • Finest City sets new track record in Great Lady M.Posted 6 days ago
  • Stanford finds his way back to the winner's circle in the Charles Town Classic.Posted 6 days ago
  • Rose Brier sets new course record in the Henry S. Clark.Posted 6 days ago
  • Da Big Hoss lives up to his name with the Dixiana Elkhorn win.Posted 6 days ago
  • Raging Smoke leads all the way in the Sugar Maple.Posted 6 days ago
  • Highland Sky flies home to Woodhaven victory.Posted 6 days ago
  • Brooklynsway upsets I'm A Chatterbox in the Doubledogdare at 25-1.Posted 7 days ago


HRN Original Blog:
KentuckyDerbySuperScreener

 

Older Comments...

Charismatic did not show much until the 8.5f Lexington (which is missing from the HRN background on him)...lack luster 4th in the SA Derby..........LEXINGTON effort put him over the top, not a 9 panel affair.
  • Pebbles via Disqus · And Charismatic did not finish too far back despite the 4 th place finish. At least not the 8 1/4 lengths Mohaymen finished in the Florida Derby. But I am very glad to be wrong on this. I believe Charismatic did finish 8 3/4 lengths back. But it was his 2nd to last Derby prep. So Mohaymen does have a bit of a struggle. · 33 minutes ago
True. But Charismatic did have at least 2 routes. After all, didn't a lot of Derby winners of the past win the Derby trial before the Derby, but most that I know of had multiple routes beforehand.
What do you think I'll get on this guy when he wins in May? 30-1?
  • Show All 8 Comments
  • Pebbles via Disqus · How do you feel about the 8 week layoff? · 18 days ago
  • Pebbles via Disqus · Maybe at the Preakness. Not the Derby. :-) · 58 minutes ago
Best of luck to Buratino in the Guineas! If I were actually betting, I might've bet on this one to win or place. He's such a tempting price.
Love how it's sponsored by Dunaden @Overbury Stud this year. Just a reminder that Dunaden's gonna have some foals running around soon! I hope he gets some very good mares~
I'm feeling lucky today punks!!! I'm on a lucky streak, My last 6 sporting bets have all won, and I ran the London Marathon last week in under 4 hours (and on the way around, I found a £20 note on the street, nice bonus or wot) and I'm ready to make a nice amount of money today on the 2000 Guineas. Have a good day each and every 1 of you. :-D
Gonna watch for Massaat, Marcel, Buratino and Herald The Dawn here. Also curious of Zonderland (I wish there were more Dutch Arts running around). As usual, I really could care less about Air Force Blue.
Some food for thought, from 2006 through 2015, the ground for every renewal of the English 2000 Guineas has been rated either good or good to firm save 2012 when Camelot won the race on ground rated good to soft. So based on past renewals I think there's a pretty decent chance that Air Force Blue is likely to get the kind of ground he'll be at his best over.
Is it just me or all the comments gone from here?
  • Ryno Lascavio via Disqus · My comment never posted. I wouldnt get too worried about this colts slow start just yet. Zenyatta hardly raced as a 3 year old. Some horses just take a little more time coming around. He might get better as a 4 year old. · 6 hours ago
Goes to show that there is a lot more to horse breeding than "wins".
Mohaymen is the 3rd best grey in the Kentucky Derby, Creator and Destin will finish ahead of him, just saying! :-)
Nyquist has a DI 7 and CD 1.0. Both well above average for endurance and speed. If he gets his trip and runs his race it's his to lose. But if he doesn't win then who? I see it wide open. Save your money on the pick six and bet pick 4. Hit ALL in the Derby leg. It is a 20 horse stampede of freshmen. Note to that Outwork has a higher DI and CD than Nyquist.
1) Sunny Ridge 2) Nyquist 3) Hint of Roses 4) Whitmore
Horse racing fans of America and around the World. THIS is "Air Force Blue". He's already a superstar, and will be making his 2016 debut on Saturday by winning the G1 2000 Guineas. You will see and hear a lot more about this horse this year, I'm sure he will go unbeaten all year, and knowing Aiden 'O' Brien, he will aim him at one of the races at the Breeders Cup. Probably the Breeders Cup Mile, BUT it's not totally out of the question that he could go for the BC Classic. Depending on how impressive he wins his races this year, the BC Classic is a definite possibility, he could turn out to be an unstoppable force this year. :-)
  • ILuvTurfRacing · Don't think you'll ever see this horse come stateside to race on conventional dirt or on turf, and I'll be surprised if he ever races beyond a mile on turf in Europe. Aidan O'Brien has already likened him to Excelebration, saying he thinks Air Force Blue has the potential to become that level of turf miler. I think he'll roll through the usual list of top European mile and/or 7f races, I.E., English 2000 Guineas, Irish 2000 Guineas, & St James's Palace Stakes to begin. Then provided he comes out of those 3 races in good order possibly on to the Sussex Stakes or Prix Jacques le Marois, followed by an October run in either the Prix de la Foret over 7f or more likely in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, hopefully by then in a showdown against Solow. But this is just my personal opinion. · 13 hours ago
Air Force Blue takes the best 2YO form for many years into the English 2000 Guineas on Saturday. The stable have a great record in the race, plus he's a May foal so he should be even better as a 3YO. He has arguably one of the very best turf jockeys in the world riding him (Ryan Moore), and the ground will be soft enough to beat him. Add to that, none of his rivals have exhibited anything close to the kind of star quality he has so far in their careers. If Air Force Blue doesn't win the G1 English 2000 Guineas by 4 or 5 lengths on the bridal tomorrow..... that's racing!
For all Nyquist believers, all you have to do is go back and look at the replay of the 1998 Ky Derby to see what happens when you are not bred to handle the 1 1/4 distance. His grand sire Indian Charlie was 4 for 4, won SA Derby in a very fast time, was favorite for the derby and trained by Bob Baffert but hit that imaginary brick wall half way down stretch and was all out to hang on to third and was retired after the derby. Is it deja vu all over again????? Just a thought to ponder!!!
Feeling sad today- 13 years ago the brilliant and beautiful Barbaro was foaled. On Kentucky Derby day May 7 it will be ten years since his 2006 KD win, one of the best and my favorite Kentucky Derby editions due to his sheer dominance, his humble trainer, and the fact that he came and left undefeated. May you forever rest in peace Barbaro, and when it is my turn to be called home- I'll be looking for you in heaven. https://www.facebook.com/KentuckyDerby/videos/10154189721522472/ http://youtu.be/ienAR6vgVLo
I do like Nyquist, I really do, I think he's a really good horse, BUT I know he's getting beat in the Kentucky Derby, his "0" is gonna "GO", I can 100% promise you that. Enjoy your unbeaten reign while it lasts Nyquist, because after the race on May 7th, you will be unbeaten no more!!! and that my friends, is the truth. :-)
This is Nyquist this morning walking around Barn 24 before going to work out
A client tried to talk to me about horse racing today. She said 'I think I'm going to go with that good horse NyQuil' My face............. -_-
 
 
 

About Me

Mike has been a passionate horseracing fan for over 30 years. He received his “handicapping education” through countless hours of deciphering the mystery that is embedded in every race. It was the tough beats at the window, however, that propelled him to never make the same mistake twice (well, maybe three times).

As Managing Partner of Horse Racing Nation, Mike serves as investor, business advisor, staff handicapper and developer of handicapping content.

Handicapping the Derby has always been one of Mike's favorite endeavors.  He spends weeks compiling notes, speed figures and analysis in preparation for the big race.  In 2010, his HRN pals pushed him into packaging his time-tested methods into what became the 2010 Kentucky Derby Super Screener, an e-book that became extremely popular with HRN readers and was downloaded over 3,000 times.   

In preparation for the 2011 Derby, Mike will be "Rating the Preps" each weekend on the Derby trail.  The goal will be to build a good picture for which prep races are most likely to produce the 2011 Kentucky Derby winner.   


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