|Spot—(Pulpit - Quiet Summernight, by
Quiet American) makes his three year old debut in the Hutcheson Stakes. In his first race over dirt, the pretty
gray colt rewarded his connections with an 8 ½ length win. He has some speed
and prepped with two five furling works in 1:00. With Quiet American and Travers Stakes hero
General Assembly on his distaff side, Spot has a pretty good distance
pedigree. He’s breaking from the one post in the Hutchenson and may need to
use early speed to secure a position in what looks to be a race filled with
plenty of pace. Run, Spot, run!
Spot—gets a healthy dose of stamina
from both halves of his pedigree and is one that I believe could go longer
later on down the road. He showed drastic improvement in his 4th
start when switching dirt, and I am honestly surprised it took his trainer so
long to make that switch considering his pedigree. His works over the
Gulfstream track have been solid. I don’t like the post, but I think he’s in
with a chance.
Pablo Del Monte—(Giant's Causeway - One Hot Wish,
by Bring the Heat) was a ho hum fourth
in the Gulfstream Park Derby. Given his breeding, I expect that he’ll be
better over the turf. His dam was a winner on turf and Polytrack. The colt gets a rider switch to Paco Lopez,
who may hustle him out of the gate to contest the pace. Ehhhh.
|Pablo Del Monte—I didn’t see anything in the
Gulfstream Park Derby to recommend him in this spot. He gets another shot on
dirt, but based on pedigree and past performances, this one needs to be
switched back to turf or synthetics. No, thanks.
|Mighty Brown—(Big Brown - Mighty Martha, by
Chester House) followed up his maiden
win with a victory in the Pasco Stakes at Tampa. Toss out his trip over the
synthetic track at Ocala eleven days ago.
Mighty Brown may press the pace, but I don’t think he’s up to it,
class wise. Note that trainer Tim Ice is 0-17 in graded stakes. Mighty Brown is also getting another jockey
switch. He’s had six different riders in ten starts. Pass.
Mighty Brown—I adore the Brownie babies, but I
have been burned by them enough times to resemble a discarded pan of overdone
biscuits. He recently had two nice wins at Tampa Bay, but I’m not buying what
C. Zee—(Elusive Bluff - Diamondaire, by
Distorted Humor) has hit the board in all three of his starts, including a
second place finish in the Spectacular Bid. His Brisnet speed figures have
improved in every start, indicating that the colt is on the upswing. Toss in a strong four furlong breeze at
Calder and we have a logical contender. C. Zee’s dam and two of her half
siblings are stakes placed and this is the female family of two-time Champion
Sprinter Housebuster. C. Zee may sit
off a hot pace and make his move in the stretch. Contender.
|C. Zee—This is a colt that has shown a
fondness for the Gulfstream track. On the distaff side, his pedigree screams
sprinter and has a nice dose of class. He put in a strong half-mile breeze on
January 25, something you always like to see when heading into a race.
|Wildcat Red—(D’wildcat—Racene, by Miner’s
Mark) Is a narrow head away from being undefeated. After strongly battling
through the stretch of the Gulfstream Park Derby, the tenacious colt was
caught on the wrong end of a head bob. He shortens up a furlong for the Hutcheson.
The colt doesn’t need the lead to win, but his three furlong “lung opener” in
his last breeze should have him on his toes.
Wildcat Red—There is nothing here to dislike.
He put in a huge effort in the Gulfstream Park Derby to just miss in a close
decision. He shortens back up here which is a bit surprising as I thought
trainer Garoffalo might continue to stretch him out to see if he has a legit
Derby contender. Will probably go off favored over this bunch, and why not?
Gambler’s Ghost—(Ghostzapper - Beauty and Style,
by Two Punch)showed his fondness for the Gulfstream strip with a haunting
five length maiden win on New Year’s day.
The colt flashed speed in that race, hitting the five furlong marker
in :57 flat. He’s posted two nice
post-race breezes. This is a class
jump but I think he has a shot.
|Gambler’s Ghost—This is one that I think needs the
lead. He didn’t do much while sitting off the pace in his debut, but he came
right back to wire the field over this track in his second start. As an
interesting side note, he’s a half-brother to Bullybullybully who was featured on the show Jockeys. As Laurie said, this is a class jump, but I think he’s
worth a gamble.
|Long On Value—(Value Plus - Long Message, by
Orientate) flashed precocious speed last summer in a state-bred and listed
stakes. However, he got a reality check in the Hopeful and Champagne
Stakes. He’s lowered his sights a bit
here and has :21 and change speed. He’s been working steadily for his three
year old debut, but I think he’s in tough here. Long on Value will certainly
live up to his name if he wins.
Long On Value—takes a class drop into this spot
after being drummed in back-to-back Grade 1 events against the top dogs of
the division. Other than his jockey and trainer, I don’t see anything I like
here. I think I’ll pass and wait for him to prove me wrong.
Trail Blaze—(Indian Charlie—Trusty Lady, by
Deputy Minister) gets a do-over after his less than blazing performance in
the Spectacular Bid, where he was off slow and finished a zip code away from
the winner. The colt is a half to a
stakes placed sprinter and his second dam Klassy Kim was a multiple graded
stakes winning sprinter. The Pletcher trainee fired a bullet five furlongs in
his last breeze. You know he’ll be ready to run. Contender.
|Trail Blaze—You can’t ignore a Pletcher
trainee at Gulfstream…that’s been my motto for several years. He ran
unimpressively in the Spectacular Bid, but I’m willing to put a line through
that effort. Contender.
|Tashir—(Afleet Alex—Twin Induction, by
Slewacide) had a break-through performance in his first race of the season,
dominating Calder allowance runners by over nine lengths just 15 days
ago. Don’t discount him because he’s a
Calder horse, he owns the highest late-pace speed figure in the field. Tashir
is a half to a stakes placed runner and his dam is a half sister to the miler
A P Adventure, winner of the LasVirgenes
(G-1). Ok, so his trainer is only hitting with 2% winners in graded stakes,
but I think this horse has some upside. Salute!
Tashir—Won by daylight at this distance
last out at Calder. I’m on the fence about this one. He’s shown improvement
lately, but his losses at Delaware Park make me question his class. He put in
a “meh” work on Jan. 11, but trainer Dorochenko brought him back out two days
later and he drilled a bullet 5 panels. May be looking at fool’s gold here.
Vinceremos—(Pioneerof the Nile—Kettle’s
Sister, by More Than Ready) received a real schooling in his last race, after
being bumped at the start and steadied during the race. He was still up to
win the one mile maiden race by a length. The Pletcher trainee is cross-entered
in the Sam F. Davis. The far outside
post is a tough spot for a lightly raced colt, especially in a sprint. He
might be better off shipping to Tampa.
|Vinceremos—Another Pletcher trainee, another
one to consider. Both starts have come at Gulfstream, and I’m willing to bet
he learned quite a bit in his last start. He drew a better post and gets more
distance in the Sam F. Davis, but after what he showed last time, I believe
he could overcome his far outside post at Gulfstream. Considering his
insanely high Dosage Index, which incidentally matches another Pioneerof the
Nile baby in Cairo Prince, and lack of noticeable speed in both the mornings
and afternoons, I have to agree with Laurie. Ship to Tampa and forego the