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  • Thunder Snow nips Epicharis in a UAE Derby thriller.Posted 56 minutes ago
  • Second Summer rolls late to upset the Godolphin Mile.Posted 2 hours ago
  • Arrogate draws post position #9 for Saturday's Dubai World Cup.Posted 3 days ago
  • Vale Dori (6-5) wins a virtual match race over Finest City in the G1 Santa Margarita.Posted 6 days ago
  • Malagacy (3-1) remains unbeaten with an impressive Rebel win.Posted 6 days ago
  • Enola Gray (2-5) much the best down the hill in the Irish O'Brien.Posted 6 days ago
  • Jenda's Agenda (2-5) stays unbeaten with a facile win in the Caeser's Wish.Posted 6 days ago
  • Mor Spirit (1-2) too good in the Essex at Oaklawn Park.Posted 6 days ago
  • Distinta (11-1) gets up on the shadow of the wire in the Inside Information.Posted 6 days ago
  • Twisted Tom (4-1) gets up in the final jump to win the Private Terms.Posted 6 days ago
Breeders Cup 2015
Dubai World Cup 2017


HRN Original Blog:
Exchange Wagering

Dubai World Cup: Getting the Best Odds


Every race on the Dubai World Cup card will be offered on the Betfair NJX.  While Dubai racing isn’t usually available for exchange bettors in the U.S., each race on the DWC card will be made available about an hour before post time.  This is a great opportunity to get better odds than you’d otherwise be able to get on Arrogate or one of his opponents.  


Here’s a chart showing the exchange odds (which were only available overseas in past years) and standard ADW odds for the winners of the past nine Dubai World Cups…




You can make a direct odds comparison by comparing the “ADW (Odds to 1)” column with the “NJX (Odds to 1)” column.  While it’s always good to “shop around” by betting on whichever platform offers the most generous odds on the horse you’re interested in, the exchange has generally provided better odds for any well regarded American horse.  It appears that this effect may be getting stronger, as the last two winners to fit that category (Animal Kingdom and California Chrome) paid almost twice as much on the NJX as they did on other platforms!


Because the races (including the World Cup) won’t be available for betting until an hour before post time, I’d recommend registering for an NJX account ahead of time.  That way, you won’t have to scramble to get everything done in time for the race.  That’s going to be especially important if you plan to bet on any of the earlier races, which are going to require an early wake up time!  That could be enough of a difference to make a bet on Arrogate worthwhile, even if he goes off at very short odds.  


To help plan your exchange wagering day, here are the races on the card and the expected post time for each…




If you don’t already have an exchange wagering account with Betfair, you can help Horse Racing Nation out by signing up through one of the links in this article.


 

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Meet Alex Zelvin


Alex is a lifelong horse racing fan and statistics nerd.  He’s also fascinated by markets and games and views each new one as a puzzle to be solved.

 

In addition to writing about Exchange Wagering, Alex is the author of HRN’s Thoroughmetrics blog, where he discusses statistical analysis of thoroughbred pedigrees.

 

He can be reached at zelvin30@hotmail if you’re interested in discussing exchange wagering or any other aspect of horse racing.

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