The Talent is There

5/22/2011 7:35 PM
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Well it all unfolded exactly like I had envisioned the 136th running of the Preakness Stakes would play out….right up until Shackleford slowed the pace down in the second half mile of the race. After a blistering opening half mile in 46.87 seconds, Shackleford was able to slow the pace down to get the second half mile in 50.35 seconds. That move is what likely enabled Shackleford to just hold off the late rush of Kentucky Derby champion, Animal Kingdom.

My initial thoughts after the Preakness were that this group of three year olds is better than anyone has given them credit for. After the loss of some of the more brilliant colts like Boys at Toscanova, Uncle Mo, Premier Pegasus, etc. it was easy to see why the nation would think that the rest of the colts in the division were weaker. The truth was, that they had yet to really break out and show us what they could really do. In the Preakness we saw just how good these horses can be.

Shackleford was a 12/1 shot by the time the gates opened, yet again being underestimated, even by myself. I felt that he would tire like the rest of the speed did that day and like most do in the Preakness. However he showed a whole different dimension. Instead of grabbing the lead immediately he was allowed to utilize his speed to sit off of the pace setter, Flashpoint, just enough to apply pressure that would eventually see that one fade to the tail of the field. Then, once he took over the lead, the son of Forestry slowed what looked to be a torrid pace in the beginning, and made it manageable. His adjustability allowed his jockey the opportunity to slow him down, giving him what he would soon need to fight down the lane.

For a horse so unseasoned, it is rare that he is able to relax to the extent that he did. Shackleford almost stole the Kentucky Derby when he got away with a leisurely pace. This time, he may have not gotten the soft early fractions, but he got his breather in the middle. This could make him very dangerous in races like the Haskell Invitational or Jim Dandy Stakes at 9f.

While Shackleford gets to bask in the winner’s limelight, a horse that should not be forgotten for the rest of the year is Animal Kingdom. He broke awkwardly and balked slightly when he felt the dirt truly hit his face for the first time, which cost him good position and possibly the race. After the awkward beginning the colt finally found his rhythm, and at the 7/16 pole began to mount an incredible rally. From that point to the finish, it took Animal Kingdom 43.37 seconds to stop the clock. His time for the final 3/16 of the race was 18.55 seconds.

Most horses have 3/8 of a mile move in them at most, while this colt sustained his bid for nearly half a mile. He proved in the Kentucky Derby that he has a devastating turn of foot when he came home his final quarter in 24 seconds flat. We know that he is also extremely versatile, having the ability not only to run on any surface but to come from anywhere in the field.  Being so versatile and being able to thrive at longer distances will make him extremely dangerous in races like the Travers Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup, and Breeders Cup Classic.

Other colts to keep a watch on later this year are Astrology and Mucho Macho Man. The latter may have run sixth, however the colt yet again threw a shoe early in the race, which would likely take away from his normal closing kick. Astrology has performed very well this year and ran very well again in the Preakness to just fall short of two exceptionally talented colts.

Overall, I believe that the Preakness Stakes again has served as the most telling jewel of the Triple Crown, showcasing just how good this group of three year olds has the potential to be.
 

 

What the Nation is saying about The Talent is There...

I think the crop will be talented later on in their careers. For some reason and in my humble opinion, they seem to be a bit slow in development. Maybe, this crop will turn out to be better as they get older, if most of them stick around long enough for us to see that potential. There is still hope.
I like Nehro, but this year does seem to lack something. I am just not as excited as I was in the past about any division. I would like to see nehro step it up for the rest of the year and come back as an amazing 4 year old next year. I think it is possible.
I don't see the talent!Out of 13 other horses running not one could keep the pressue on in either the 2nd or 3rd quarter.The time was for a muddy track.Even many of the preaknesses run in the mud went faster than that.If your looking for some kind of really good horse look in the filly division the colts have nothing.AK is a good horse THIS year but not in other years.
Blooy, good point, but it looked like Shackleford had a hard enough time staying ahead in the Preakness.
distance can be key to a powerful front runner.
Animal Kingdom was closing down on Shackleford, and I have no doubt that in the 1m 1/2 Belmont Stakes, he will want every part of that, while Shackleford probably won't be able to last that long. How sad, we may be a 1/2 length short of a Triple Crown winner this year. I have to agre with you on the talent. There now seems to be several very good 3yo's in this crop. Just the fact that it looks like we will have a rematch in the Belmont of the Derby and Preakness winners is outstanding. Throw in Nehro, a fully shoed Mucho Macho Man, Master of Hounds, Alternation, and a few others, and this should be one of the better non Triple Crown Belmont Stakes in a long time.
  • RaTalk_Girl · I think Nehro is really going to shine in the Belmont. AK is a great horse as we have all seen, but think Nehro's kick may get it done in the Belmont. I am really looking forward to the Belmont this year. I also can not wait to see how Master of Hounds does. I hope I can get him close to the odds he was in the Derby, I will definitly take that action. · 365 days ago ·
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I agree, the talent we have been waiting to see from these three year olds REALLY came out in the Preakness. It was one of the more exciting races I watched all year. I don't think the Preakness is any reason to count AK out of the rest of the races this year. I think we will see him bounce back nicely in the Belmont. On the other hand, I am a very skeptical of Shackleford in the Belmont. Great riding and the shorter distance allowed Shackleford to prevail in the Preakness. I also agree that we should keep an eye on Astrology for the rest of the year. He had a great race, maybe they should shorten him up a bit.

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Meet Laura Pugh












For ten years my passion for horses has steadily grown. I started out in the hunter/jumper industry and have been showing for nearly eight years now. However, my main focus has become Thoroughbred racing. The first race I ever watched was War Emblem’s Preakness in 2002, and from there I have soaked up any knowledge containing racing that I can find.

I created my own blog Horsin’ Around in August of 2009. As a blogger I became known for my knack of creating heated debates on several subjects and not being shy about sharing my opinion on any matter. I hope you will enjoy reading and debating with me, as much as I enjoy my job as a blogger.