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HRN Original Blog:
Dead Heat Debates

2014 Belmont Stakes: No Excuses

A friend of mine told me that the Derby is won by the luckiest horse, the Preakness by the best horse, and the Belmont Stakes by the horse with the most stamina. For the most part, I believe those are wise words and above all, true words. However, there are always caveats.
The Derby is indeed won by the luckiest horse, in most circumstances, but then every once in a blue moon, there comes a horse who can make their own luck. A horse like that, who is fast enough to keep out of trouble, but kind enough to listen and respond to his rider’s cues the instant they are made, is a horse that can dominate the Derby.
The Preakness is the race won by the best. If the Derby was won by luck and not talent, you can believe that if the talent comes back two weeks later that it will prevail. However, if the luckiest horse was also the best in Kentucky, you can often times bet your house, that the Derby winner will finish the best.
The Belmont is won by the horse with the most stamina almost every single year. It is won by a horse who can stay close and just keep on running and running. It often times does not go to the swiftest or the most talented, or the best, which is why it can be such a daunting task. Of the jewels that make up the Triple Crown, it is the one that hurts the most, for many a horse have captured the first two only to come up short at history’s door.
Why is this? How can a horse survive the 20 horse rodeo of the Kentucky Derby, turn back the talent and the speed in the Preakness, but not win the Belmont. Simple, human error.
Tell me Smarty Jones did not lose his bid due to several rider errors? Getting caught in a speed duel, while trekking 12 furlongs, before his jockey moved him much too soon. By the time Birdstone came to his flanks, Smarty Jones had used all his reserves in the last 11 furlongs, and had no answer. Spectacular Bid….safety pins just don’t come undone, and if that wasn’t enough, was ridden into a blistering speed duel that left him empty in the stretch. Big Brown, over confidence, not enough foundation put into his training, a jockey who acted like an apprentice during the opening stages of the race. These three horses were mortal locks to win the Triple Crown, but every time human error reared its ugly head and these horses fell victim.
After running two grueling races in the last five weeks, and about to complete a third, mistakes like the ones aboard those three, cannot be made. The Belmont is won by stamina, but stamina does not just come from breeding. It comes from foundation and a steady ride. If the foundation is lacking the horse will not be able to withstand the 12 furlong trip. If rash decisions are made by the rider they will leave their horse with nothing left to give in the final furlong.
In 2014, California Chrome’s connections have been outstanding. Chrome has an excellent two year old foundation under him, along with a well thought out and planned three year old campaign. Three races before the Derby likely extended the foundation he built as a juvenile, allowing him to have the fortitude to bounce back so well after both the Derby and Preakness.
Most would criticize trainer Art Sherman’s training methods, from the Derby till now….I do not. Yes, Chrome has only worked once, since the Derby, but just look at his gallops. He 9 times out of 10 his gallops are at least two miles long, when normally trainers gallop about 1 ½-1 3/8th  miles. His lone work, Sherman did not just work him an easy half, he worked him 47 and change, out past the wire in 59 and change, 1.12 and change, 1.26 for seven furlongs, pulling up a mile in 1.40. Make no mistake, Art Sherman has this horse fit and ready to roll.
Chrome’s jockey, Victor Espinoza, has also been near perfection. He’s ridden his colt flawlessly in both the Derby and Preakness, getting him out of the gate well, allowing him to secure good position before simply letting the horse do the rest. On a horse as good as California Chrome, that is all you have to do. In preparation for the Belmont, Espinoza has come to Belmont early, to get a feel for the track, an excellent move. Jockeys who are ill prepared for the track often move their mounts too soon, and in turn end up costing them the race. It seems that Victor Espinoza is trying to head that problem off by reacquainting himself with the track.
Up to this point California Chrome has answered all the questions. He has the foundation, he has the ability, and he has the talent. He has every reason to become thoroughbred racing’s 12th Triple Crown winner. His connections have done their part, now it is time to see if California Chrome is really that good. Tomorrow, we will see if he can master the Test of the Champions and enter the elite echelon of Thoroughbred greats that contains the likes of Sir Barton, Gallant Fox, Omaha, War Admiral, Whirlaway, Count Fleet, Assault, Citation, Secretariat, Seattle Slew, and Affirmed.


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Older Comments about 2014 Belmont Stakes: No Excuses...

Although CC is just about everyone's pick to revive interest in the sport of kings we mustn't take anything for granted ahead of any big race, be hopeful but never confident, as there are 100 ways for your horse to lose and only one way to win , its called racing luck !
Stellar observations. Thanks.
Well written... California Chrome is my homeboy.
Go CHROME!! All the WAY!!

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Meet Laura Pugh


For as long as i can remember I have always loved horses and writing. The first race I ever watched was War Emblem's Preakness Stakes, but I didn't really start to get into racing until the next year where watched and cheered Empire Maker through the Derby, and yes, the Belmont.

I didn't begin writing until a few years later, when I created my own blog Horsin' Around. It didn't take long for me to realize that my niche was stirring the pot and creating heated debates, especially during the time of Big Brown vs Curlin and Rachel Alexandra vs Zenyatta. I was a Curlin and Rachel fan.

Now I am here under the name of Dead Heat Debates, and hoping to live up to that name. Have fun and let the opinions fly! 

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