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HRN Original Blog:
Handicapper's Corner

Wise Dan Crushes them in the Breeders' Cup Mile

 

In one of the most dominating performances of the Breeders’ Cup weekend, Wise Dan won the Breeders’ Cup Mile. Sent off at odds of 9-5, the 5-year-old Wiseman’s Ferry gelding sat relaxed off the rail, just off the blistering pace set by Obviously and Suggestive Boy. Turning for home Wise Dan tipped off the rail, moved into the 2-path and got by the fading Obviously to win by 1 ½ lengths in 1:31.78, a new course record.

After guiding Wise Dan to the rail, Jockey John Velasquez was confident. “I just wanted to get him in the right position. When I was able to do that, and you’ve got a horse as good as this, you can expect a result like this,” he said.


2011 Kentucky Derby winner, Animal Kingdom, under jockey Rafael Bejarano, returned from a 9-month-layoff to finish with a flourish for the place, while encounting some trouble on the final turn.


“They were going so fast early and I was stuck down inside. I had no choice. Then I had to go in and out of horses. When I finally got to ask him, he gave me a huge kick. I only wish I could have asked him earlier. The winner got the jump on me. If it is the other way around, it might have been a different finish,” he said.


Though he did not win, trainer Graham Motion could not have been happier for his Derby winner. “Seconds are very tough and I have some tough second-place beats in the Breeders’ Cup. I’m thrilled with the way he ran. If he doesn’t get steadied at the top of the stretch … I don’t know. What a great run and what a great horse. He’s a special horse,” Motion said.


The short-term plans for Animal Kingdom are undecided, but owner Team Valor International would like to participate in the Dubai World Cup next spring.


Another 1/2 length back, third-place finisher Obviously was courageous in defeat when carving out fractions of 23.34, 46.16 and 108.81. Jockey Joe Talamo said, “We figured to be on the lead and we had an easy lead. I just wish that outside horse (Suggestive Boy) hadn’t been out there. He just put pressure on us. I don’t know if that cost us the race, but we did feel it. He stayed on well.”


Though a victory by Wise Dan was no surprise, the dull efforts turned in by Europeans Excelebration and Moonlight Cloud were shocking. Excelebration had only been defeated by Frankel during his career, and was in striking position the whole way, but never responded when given his cue and wound up 4th. Moonlight Cloud was well behind throughout, but could never reel in the field despite the quick early pace.


Excelebration’s jockey, Joseph O’Brien offered a few reasons as to why his mount was lackluster today.


“It has been only 14 days since his last start and this was his first time on a left-handed course. Things were disorganized in the race and he took a bit to catch up to it. I’m not sure you saw his best race.”


No excuse could be found for Moonlight Cloud’s poor performance.


“It was a bad race. I couldn’t get around the bend,” jockey Thierry Jarnet said.


“She had a rough trip and maybe got a bit discouraged. It’s been a long season, but I’m a bit disappointed. I thought she’d run better than that," trainer Freddie Head said.


With losses by Point of Entry and Game on Dude today, Wise Dan has vaulted himself to the top of many voters’ lists for Horse of the Year.

Please be sure to follow me on Twitter-@Cappercorner and/or friend me on facebook.com to continue the horse racing conversation! 


 

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Older Comments about Wise Dan Crushes them in the Breeders' Cup Mile...

Wise dan = Unreal.. HOY for me
Just watched the race again & even though AK had some traffic at the top of the lane, Wise Dan had them in his pocket the whole way. They could've gone around again & they weren't getting him, IMO.
You have to love Wise Dan. Horse of the Year.
putting green as my description much like all the western turf courses.
Wise Dan was not ina drive.
The Turf course was killer fast. Not a fan of firm ground like that. The course needs some cut in because all of the turf races had ridiculous final times.. Hats off to Wise Dan, Excelebration, and AK for a great run.
Mike Shutty:outs were 3 out 4 ..the Wise Dan beat him..Good job Mike ....
Wise Dan IMO is an easy HOY.. But saying AK wasnt amazing as well is nuts.. Well done by both horses.. I will take AK vs any horse on the planet in 2013
These types are always closing and only getting there after the `5/16ths pole..Ho Hum dime a dozen
le. They are tiresome as they rarely ever get there but are continually praised. A horse UP on the lead, battling and then STAYS there are the wire is the champion. He took it all in and was still there.
Crushes ... realy ? He won in a great fashion but Animal Kingdom coming off 8 months rehab, no prep race, steaded and blocked then closes to within 1 1/2 lengths chasing NTR time of free running competitor and WD gets " crushes " headline - I for one think not.

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Meet Jasen Mangrum

My interest in the Sport of Kings goes back over 25 years with my father taking me with his friends to the old Ak-Sar-Ben Race Course in Omaha, NE.  From those early experiences I was able to read the Daily Racing Form before the age of 10.  Once The Woodlands opened in Kansas City in 1988, I became totally hooked on the sport studying racing charts after homework and tennis practice.  In recent years, with the explosion of handicapping tournaments, my love for handicapping the races has risen to a new level.  Primarily focused on New York, Chicago and Louisiana racing, I have now been forced to study races far and wide in attempt to find “cap horses” in the tournaments I play.  I have also dabbled in horse ownership within syndicates and on my own.

 

My fondest memories in racing include Silver Charm’s 1997 Kentucky Derby victory.  Both my father and I selected him, which made for a memorable day.  The best race I’ve seen was Tiznow’s first Breeders Cup Classic win in 2000 when he outdueled Giant’s Causeway down the length of the Churchill Downs stretch.   My biggest windfall as a gambler was a pool-scooping pick-4 win, paying over $6,600 at The Woodlands in 2005.

 

The point of this blog is to get everyone out there a few winners, but also to go in depth at how I come to the conclusions that I do.  From week to week, I’ll explain angles I think are important to locate winners.  I encourage others to post picks they like too, but please explain how you come to your conclusions.  That way everyone can learn a little more about this great game, and add another weapon to their handicapping arsenal.-Best of luck, Jasen Mangrum