Ticker
  • Texas Chrome (2-1) bravely squeezed through on the rail for an Oklahoma Derby win.Posted 1 day ago
  • Unbridled Mo (4-1) rides the rail to victory in the Remington Park Oaks.Posted 1 day ago
  • Accelerate (1-1) rallies to win the Los Alamitos Derby (G2).Posted 2 days ago
  • Connect (10-1) upsets the Pennsylvania Derby.Posted 2 days ago
  • Songbird (1-5) gets win number 11 in the Cotillion (G1) at Parx Racing.Posted 2 days ago
  • Noholdingback Bear (3-1) wins the Gallant Bob (G3) at Parx Racing.Posted 2 days ago
  • 2015 Turf Champion Big Blue Kitten has been retired from racing, via the Chad Brown barn.Posted 5 days ago
  • No catching Sarah Sis (10-1) in the Presque Isle Downs Masters.Posted 7 days ago
  • Victory to Victory  7-1) pulls clear in the Grade 1 Natalma Stakes.Posted 8 days ago
  • Good Samaritan (3-1) rolls to a Breeders' Cup birth with a Summer Stakes win.Posted 8 days ago
HRN Original Blog:
Handicapper's Corner

 

Older Comments...

Is the post position draw tomorrow?
I have a general question about the Breeder's Cup; it would mostly pertain to the Classic, but in a year like this, might pertain to the Distaff as well. Did the BC kill match races? Did the DWC further kill them? Or was that already dead from the Ruffian tragedy (and from the Chris Evert rout over Miss Musket the prior year?) The obvious case of the great match race that never was would be Rachel Alexandra vs. Zenyatta. The dynamics of a match race are different, and while RA's team avoided Zenyatta in the BCC, if $3 million or $5 million had been put up in a match race, winner take all, would it have come to pass?
  • Kimberly Beth via Disqus · I would hope after Ruffian - RIP you amazing girl - they would never have another match race. There may have been one, I don't know, but I hope they never have one again. · 7 minutes ago
Why does Nyquist jockey continue to run him so far outside, even when he can move closer to the rail, he doesn't. If Nyquist wins its because the horse runs a great ( and not easy) race. I think Calvin BoRAIL should race Nyquist, he would get much better results.
I think Nyquist took a bit of a confidence knock. You see it happen in show jumping all the time. Distance isn't the problem, he won the Florida Derby at 9f and the Kentucky Derby in excellent time, and the undefeated Nyquist would not allow a horse to go past him in the stretch, but in Penn Derby it looks like he stopped trying. I think the Preakness and Haskell took more out of him than anyone realized.
1st: California Chrome 2nd: Dortmund 3rd: Hard Aces 4th: Win The Space
What horses do you think we will see in this race? The only owners who have a horse with a shot to run well in this race is runhappy, nyquist California chrome, and shaman ghost. A lot of the others don't have a horse, or they're not nearly talented enough to run in this race. Who do you think the others will sell or lease their spots to?
This could be a short field when all the dust is settled from the preps. I see 7 or 8 with Shaman Ghost not listed on here. Maybe Comfort joins the fray, that could make 9? I could see Gun Runner & Connect running. Exaggerator has a free ride so maybe they keep plugging away?LOL Destin- no works since Travers Creator- announced he was done for year. Firing Line- Heard they were targeting Dirt Mile if they make it at all. Nyquist could be retired Beholder seems likely for the Distaff, contingent on this weeks race. Dortmund- Will Bob really run him against Arrogate or Chrome a 4th time?
The love of a horse named Damascus was the lure that brought Steve Haskin from a 21 year old stockbroker to the world of thoroughbreds. Forty eight years later, he is still going strong every week on Blood-Horse and At The Races. Haskin's description of his favorite - “Not only was Damascus durable, brilliant, classy, and one of the soundest, healthiest horses ever, he possessed the most devastating turn of foot I have ever witnessed.” The author has said that he never imagined a racehorse would pave the road he would take in life. Thank you, Damascus. http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/177542/damascus-is-most-underrated-horse-of-all-time
Who is guaranteed to run? 1. Chrome 2. Dortmund 3. Hoppertunity Anyone else? win the space and hard aces? Five horse field?
  • Ferrisjso26 · So the PC at SA minus a furlong and Beholder? · 2 days ago
  • pointgiven23 via Disqus · yes looks that way.. Normal California race! · 1 hour ago
All the UK Bookmakers have drastically shortened the odds for Almanzor in the Arc, I think they must have some inside information. As soon as "La Cressionneire" was pulled out of the Arc with an injury I knew they would put Almanzor in the Arc instead of the Champion Stakes. I can almost 100% guarantee Almanzor will be running in the Arc on Sunday. :-)
They should put her in the Breeder's cup ladies classic instead of the distaff. Just my opinion.
This is a very difficult race to predict, so it might not be very accurate. If you disagree, feel free to tell me what you think. If Beholder runs: (Dry Track) 1st: California Chrome 2nd: Arrogate 3rd: Effinex 4th: Beholder (Wet Track) 1st: California Chrome 2nd: Arrogate 3rd: Beholder 4th: Exaggerator If Beholder runs in the Distaff: (Dry Track) 1st: California Chrome 2nd: Arrogate 3rd: Mubtaahij 4th: Frosted (Wet Track) 1st: Arrogate 2nd: California Chrome 3rd: Exaggerator 4th: Melatonin
If Beholder runs: 1st: Songbird 2nd: Beholder 3rd: Stellar Wind 4th: Cavorting If Beholder runs in the BCC: 1st: Songbird 2nd: Stellar Wind 3rd: Cavorting 4th: Curalina
Distaff?
Not This Time and Klimt should dominate the BC Juvenile, these 2 are far ahead of all the other 2 yr olds in terms of class and ability.
She is by far the best 3 year old filly since Rachel Alexandra
Here's the latest UK odds for the Distaff: Songbird 4/5, Beholder 9/4, Stellar Wind 5/1, Cavorting 12/1, Curalina 16/1, Carina Mia 16/1, Cathryn Sophia 20/1, Forever Unbridled 25/1, Stopchargingmaria 25/1, Land Over Sea 33/1, Sheer Drama 33/1, Go Maggie Go 40/1, Lewis Bay 66/1. She's in my Top 3 'banker bets' of the BC Meeting. :-)
I have a question:Why was Songbird's Equibase speed figure so high when she ran the Cotillion in a claiming time?
I must admit, I'm very curious about this horse, especially under Pletcher. I always thought this horse had potential, especially if they tried running him a bit closer to mid-pack. Sometimes, something as simple as a trainer change can do wonders.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Ln65GwxbFrU Anyone who refers to Nyquist as a sprinter needs to watch the Fountain of Youth Stakes. Awesome Banner (whose name was at one point right there on the HRN list next to Nyquist with Kentucky Derby contenders) defines the true meaning of a sprinter - explosive speed at the beginning like he had in his three previous 6-7 furlong races ahead of Mohaymen and Zulu and then boom! Total collapse! On the same track that Nyquist later upset Mohaymen. No criticism to Awesome Banner though. I live about 50 miles north of Gulfstream Park and this is actually my favorite personality three year that I see in person on any regular basis. Very Nyquist-like in his gentle manner with people and has a true work ethic, but just absolutely terrible with distance over 7 furlongs. Now for Nyquist, he seems to be referred to as a sprinter because he is not enduring well past one mile. But, all horses who are not at 100% are possibly underconditioned or overworked are going to have difficulties past a mile. As I recall, the Eclipse Sprinter Award is based on races under a mile. I would in no way contest that he was really geared for Belmont Stakes distance, but the problems now have less to do with the exact distance of the race and more to do with how how the whole season/year has taken a toll on him.
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Meet Jasen Mangrum

My interest in the Sport of Kings goes back over 25 years with my father taking me with his friends to the old Ak-Sar-Ben Race Course in Omaha, NE.  From those early experiences I was able to read the Daily Racing Form before the age of 10.  Once The Woodlands opened in Kansas City in 1988, I became totally hooked on the sport studying racing charts after homework and tennis practice.  In recent years, with the explosion of handicapping tournaments, my love for handicapping the races has risen to a new level.  Primarily focused on New York, Chicago and Louisiana racing, I have now been forced to study races far and wide in attempt to find “cap horses” in the tournaments I play.  I have also dabbled in horse ownership within syndicates and on my own.

 

My fondest memories in racing include Silver Charm’s 1997 Kentucky Derby victory.  Both my father and I selected him, which made for a memorable day.  The best race I’ve seen was Tiznow’s first Breeders Cup Classic win in 2000 when he outdueled Giant’s Causeway down the length of the Churchill Downs stretch.   My biggest windfall as a gambler was a pool-scooping pick-4 win, paying over $6,600 at The Woodlands in 2005.

 

The point of this blog is to get everyone out there a few winners, but also to go in depth at how I come to the conclusions that I do.  From week to week, I’ll explain angles I think are important to locate winners.  I encourage others to post picks they like too, but please explain how you come to your conclusions.  That way everyone can learn a little more about this great game, and add another weapon to their handicapping arsenal.-Best of luck, Jasen Mangrum

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