Ticker
  • Miss Ella (5-2) wins the Caress Stakes at Saratoga for the second straight year.Posted 4 hours ago
  • Madam Dancealot (21-1) rolls from last to win the San Clemente going away.Posted 1 day ago
  • Abel Tasman (4-5) edges Elate in the Coaching Club American Oaks.Posted 1 day ago
  • Accelerate (7-1) wins in a romp as Arrogate finishes way back in the San Diego Handicap. Posted 2 days ago
  • Hunt (3-1) waits and then blows by in the Grade 2 Eddie Read.Posted 2 days ago
  • Lady Eli (9-10), giving eight pounds, edges Quidura on the wire of the Grade 1 Diana.Posted 2 days ago
  • Firenze Fire (12-1) holds off Free Drop Billy in the Sanford Stakes.Posted 2 days ago
  • Twisted Tom (7-10) scores a hard-earned win in the New York Derby.Posted 2 days ago
  • Proctor's Ledge (6-1), with first-time Lasix, rolls on the turf in the Lake George.Posted 3 days ago
  • Dream It Is (4-1) romps in the Grade 3 Schuylerville at Saratoga.Posted 3 days ago
Saratoga and Del Mar 2017
HRN Original Blog:
Handicapper's Corner

 

Older Comments...

Coz did so good yesterday! (when compared to how he ran the first two times that is!) The big guy might make a racer yet.
In start 13, was it time to try something else? How about the turf and winning. And so far, the turf turf has been good to Sonneteer, and so maybe the son of Midnight Lute has finally found a home.
The time between August 19 and October 14 is just under two months. I bring up those two dates as Chris Waller as said Winx will run four times in that span in preparation for her attempt at a third plate. I am not making a comparison here between Winx and Arrogate but between the approach to how often horses compete, even at the top level. It seems now to be almost unheard of for a top class horse in the US to run more than four or five times at the most in a calendar year. I watch racing from England, Ireland, France and Australia almost every day and it is not unusual for horses to run back often within two weeks (sometimes within days) if not sooner. If they are in good form their trainers are not afraid to run them back quickly. Arrogate was given four months off since Dubai in which time he just stood in his stall. Unless something physical is found I believe this contributed to his poor performance. A slight break after Dubai was probably necessary but four months of inactivity may have dulled his form. He had been running every two months and obviously this schedule agreed with him. I know that Juddmonte and Baffert said the goal was to have a fresh horse for the Breeders Cup Classic but it appears that Arrogate may have gone stale in the meantime. I'm sure many here remember Conquistador Cielo winning the Met Mile on a Monday and running back and winning the Belmont five days later. Before that race Woody Stephens was called crazy for attempting this but the horse proved him right. I am well aware that the game has changed in many ways and like all sports training methods have changed along with it but unless physical issues are involved long periods of inactivity are likely not good. As an afterthought the sport needs it top performers to run regularly to attract new fans but that is a topic for another post.
Does anybody think that if Arrogate does not train sharply in the next three weeks that they will either retire him or delay running him until the Awesome Again?
Mike Smith "He gallops and faster than that...I'm dumbfounded. I'm at a loss for words".
Well, we saw what happened to Arrogate- I walked away with $3,000 from a $200 bet so I'm happy (God bless the 'show plunge'- hasn't happened since 1955!). As far as I can see, Timeline has the highest Beyer of the field but the least experience and has only done two turns once. He's on my ticket- just can't figure where to put him. Thoughts?
Another smiling D Wayne Lukas UPSET lights up the board @ The Spa with a Zayat home-bred @ $232.50 when the 4/5 chronic hung :) https://www.nyra.com/saratoga/racing/replays Race 1 today 7/24
None of the all time greats have ever won all of their races. Citation won 27 out of 29, which is the best that I know of. Secretariat lost twice after the Belmont (Onion, Prove out), Seattle Slew won 14 out of 17. Neither of them ever lost two in a row. It's hard to say what happened with Arrogate, I can't Imagine a great trainer like Baffert not having him fit and ready to run. His last two work outs were very good. If he runs poorly at the Pacific Classic which Baffert said he will after the San Diego, then they have a lot to think about. I can't see them heading to the BCC with two losses in a row. I really think and hope he bounces back big. Remember that all athletes, human, horses or other have bad days.
Wayne Lukas new how to make even the slowest horses in the barn want to win . His rejects sold to small time owners who did extremely well with them in smaller venues. Baffert Give him a call!
I bet $200 on this race with Accelerate and Cat Burglar and walked away with $3,000!!! A great pay-out...a bit of a freak of nature! Hasn't happened that way since 1955!!
Not only the biggest flop i have seen (1/9 shot) also the shortest horse from a top barn that i have seen. Will be betting with both hands against my favorite horse if Baffert is crazy enough to run him in the Pacific Classic.
Just crazy that Arrogate didn't feel like running. He made an okay middle move, but he was sluggish from the start. Meanwhile Accelerate, while I don't think he can beat Arrogate when Arrogate runs an A race, stepped up for sure.
From today's Racing Post web-site: Trainer John Gosden has left in Investec Oaks & Irish Oaks heroine, Enable, at the 5-day stage for Saturday's G1 King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot. Speaking to the Racing Post this morning Gosden said: "Enable has been left in the 5-day stage today and a decision will be made on Wednesday about her participation in the King George." "She cantered this morning and seems fine in herself, and though she flew to Ireland and back for the Irish Oaks, it didn't seem to take much out of her." "As the Yorkshire Oaks runs a full week later this year (Aug. 25th) than it did a year ago, it makes sense to look at the King George while she's still in such good form." Gosden also has Jack Hobbs & Maverick Wave, a likely pacemaker, still left in among the 16 total left at the 5-day stage, but to me this sounds very much like a man hoping that Prince Khalid Abdullah will sign off on Enable running against the boys in the King George. As of this morning, Enable was a "best priced" 7-4 among British bookmakers, while the Aidan O'Brien trained Highland Reel was a "best priced" 5-2. Jack Hobbs and Idaho were both at 6-1, Coral-Eclipse winner Ulysses was at 8-1, Frontiersman was at 12-1, and it was 14-1 Bar.
stellar wind showed shes ready for this weeks CLEMENT HIRSCH by working 5 fulongs in 59.60 She is ready to go
looks like IRISH WAR CRY had a great work for his preparation for the HASKELl 6 furlongs in 112.61 signals he is ready
only 200k bet against him out of 2.6mm...i've been on the losing side of this bet before and it will happen again...just racing...
Very, very sad. I hope she full recover and will be fine without surprises.
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c987cfd1f7808bb4eb21cbbc21678762e75b4b56320d500d10cdb1096503a39a.jpg https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/b0b008fd01865c43f800c0d277702f640359897cbec52a6eec87abcd6d5bc67b.jpg
He broke his maiden!
The only race she lost, she broke her leg. :(
Connect With Jasen
Google+
Find 

Me On Facebook
Follow Me On Twitter


Meet Jasen Mangrum

My interest in the Sport of Kings goes back over 25 years with my father taking me with his friends to the old Ak-Sar-Ben Race Course in Omaha, NE.  From those early experiences I was able to read the Daily Racing Form before the age of 10.  Once The Woodlands opened in Kansas City in 1988, I became totally hooked on the sport studying racing charts after homework and tennis practice.  In recent years, with the explosion of handicapping tournaments, my love for handicapping the races has risen to a new level.  Primarily focused on New York, Chicago and Louisiana racing, I have now been forced to study races far and wide in attempt to find “cap horses” in the tournaments I play.  I have also dabbled in horse ownership within syndicates and on my own.

 

My fondest memories in racing include Silver Charm’s 1997 Kentucky Derby victory.  Both my father and I selected him, which made for a memorable day.  The best race I’ve seen was Tiznow’s first Breeders Cup Classic win in 2000 when he outdueled Giant’s Causeway down the length of the Churchill Downs stretch.   My biggest windfall as a gambler was a pool-scooping pick-4 win, paying over $6,600 at The Woodlands in 2005.

 

The point of this blog is to get everyone out there a few winners, but also to go in depth at how I come to the conclusions that I do.  From week to week, I’ll explain angles I think are important to locate winners.  I encourage others to post picks they like too, but please explain how you come to your conclusions.  That way everyone can learn a little more about this great game, and add another weapon to their handicapping arsenal.-Best of luck, Jasen Mangrum

Best of the Blogs

Top Stories