• Stormy Regatta a game winner of the Riskaverse.Posted 16 hours ago
  • Da Big Hoss roles down the lane to score in the John's Call.Posted 1 day ago
  • Catch My Drift romps home a big winner in the Summer Colony.Posted 3 days ago
  • Jess's Dream, first foal and second runner of Rachel Alexandra, wins his career debut.Posted 3 days ago
  • Gary Stevens completes a big weekend with a Del Mar Mile win aboard Avanzare.Posted 4 days ago
  • Stallwalkin' Dude wins a three-horse photo thriller in the Tale of the Cat.Posted 4 days ago
  • Reporting Star gets to the wire first in Woodbine's Play the King.Posted 4 days ago
  • Beholder blitzes the boys in sensational style in the TVG Pacific Classic!Posted 5 days ago
  • Big John B powers home in the turfy Del Mar Handicap.Posted 5 days ago
  • Appealing Tale would not be denied in the Pat O'Brien.Posted 5 days ago
HRN Original Blog:
Handicapper's Corner


Older Comments...

OK, let me come out for Tale of Verve to squeeeeeze in past TR and ruin everybody's Super... e.g. my SF (boxed and bowed), is Frosted, AP, KI, Tale of Verve!
QUOTE: "If your (shouldn't this be the more adult : you're) betting the race, your best play is the superfecta, as the pools will be huge!" In reality when 98.997% of the betting public hooks up the big favorite with the rest of the field, IT STILL WILL PAY NEXT TO NOTHING no matter the SIZE of said pool. Only way to make money here is if the favorite runs third, OR oddly, OUT altogether. Unless he breaks down or is pulled up, that is not likely to happen.
  • Anthony Lopez via Disqus · Best thing to bet on Travers day would be the all stakes pick-4's! Single Pharoah and hope for a longshot in the others!!! · 2 days ago
  • cugel the clever · In a race like this, the best saver bet is to put a $1 or $2 exacta box on the next two likeliest horses (IMHO Texas Red and Frosted). · 33 minutes ago
nah its a cake walk they have zero chance to beat this guy! he looks better then ever and his last work sealed the deal.
When one understands the practical application of the numbers from certainty (1) to impossible (0), it is inherent to understand that these extremes are only terminal boundaries, NOT practical points of the probability spectrum.....No horse in any race EVER had zero chance to do anything.
Swiss Affair and Later My Love
The great thing about horse racing is that all arguments are settled at the cash window.
Congratulations on 8 in a row with American Pharoah. Saratoga might be his biggest challenge to date, and if not Beholder is right around the corner. Lets hook these two up and make some extraordinary horses when the racing is over in October!!! ( I'll call SHOTGUN...on first colt) LOL.
Donn Handicap winner Constitution works 5 Furlongs in 1.00.58, after the work, Todd Pletcher tells DRF's David Grening that Constitution will most likely return in the Lukas Classic at Chruchill Downs in mid September, according to DRF
American Pharoah / Frosted / Texas Red / Keen Ice / st8 saver, Frosted over Texas Red exacta with a 3/1 ratio yes I always have a saver except when it's a throwaway bet. Throwaway bet= either it wins or loses... example, Gangster $20.00 win/
Todd is the very best at sending horses into early retirement
In an article that was released on Thursday on the AtTheRaces.com web-site, it appears that trainer David Elsworth and owner Jeff Smith have decided to forgo running Juddmonte International winner Arabian Queen in the G1 Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown on September 12th in favor of running a day later on September 13th in the G1 Prix Vermeille at Longchamp against the likes of Treve, Dolniya, & Sea Calisi among other top fillies & mares.
Possibly when they have a horse of the caliber of American Pharoah ( multi dimensional freak of this century) running in a race with all closers, they should allocate some of the purse money to the leaders at all points of call. It should entice some early speed horses. Otherwise I really don't see the difference in American Pharoah's competition, and that faced by Spectacular Bid 25 years ago in this same race.
  • amino998 · Or use a mechanical rabbit loaded with carrots & peppermints if the imaginary rabbit just won't do · 1 day ago
American Pharoah – this horse looks unbeatable, watch out for the graveyard of champions, the knocks are that he’s never raced here, and Baffert has bad luck at Saratoga. Frosted – always seems to come up second, maybe can turn it around in this race, working out well, hot jockey / trainer combo, might be the best bet to beat Pharoah. Texas Red – winner of the Jim Dandy, hasn’t gone this distance, we will see what Desormeaux can do against Pharoah. Just Missed – Keen Ice, second in Haskell; Tale of Verve, Gary Stevens can find a way.
Okay, can anyone please let me know if Upstart will scratch ? ? I thought he would have by now, but if he hasn't by now, he might run. But he's in the worst post possible . He'll have to get a good jump or miss the break because American Pharoah and Mid Ocean are going to get out fast . I think I'll put him in my full race preview .
Don't worry, Taleb Nassem and his contraian ideas, are hard for the UN-enlightned to comprehend
As of now, I like Aljalela, Stormy Regatta and longshot Lola Beaux
  • patriciaflewi via Disqus · advanced works world hourly payscale34.........receive a weekly paycheck for 75 bucks every hour finishing dead simple jobs for several hr daily over thís web locatìon í located onlìne. it ìs the ìdeal way of earning some fast profìt and ít ís also exactly what ì have been ín search for for many years now. have a look at thìs sìte by clíckíng at this...z...... ....................................................................................................................... ➤➤➤➤ www.best2highpayingsite/key/yes... ......................................................................................................................... ◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐◐ · 1 day ago
Amino did you see the Entries for Saturdays Race.At least we drew the Garden Spot. Although on paper Shared Belief is head and shoulders the best in here, this will not be as easy as some expected. To begin with, he is flying into Newark Airport(appx 6 hr. flight) . Then when he gets off the plane, he jumps in a van for a 6 hr. drive. For a horse that has never shipped before, this isn't exactly your First Class accomodations. Then he drew a dead mans post, he has post 4 with Moreno and Waroftheroses drawing outside of him. We at least drew good in this one. With a clean break, we are on the rail and tracking while saving ground for the "3 TURN TREK' . Thanks to my new hero ....Damon Dilodovico, a clean break by him will ensure that Moreno will not be walking the dog on the front end. Back to Marys favorite Monkey. What does Mikey now do,he must use the horse at the start so that he does not get shut off. If he takes back, he gets caught wide on the 3 turns. If you ask me,Smitty will have no other choice but to be aggressive and send. More than likely he is better than this group and can still win. But at least it will not be as easy a trip as i thought prior to all the entries. Hopefully Charles Town LEADING JOCKEY........JOSE MONTANO, who is the leading jockey in the funkiest race track in America, can secure a great trip. Thats' all we can ask for going into the race. If many think that the right Jock in these bull rings does not make a difference. Just ask Martin Pedroza and how he likes Fairplex.
  • Show All 4 Comments
  • Mary Z. · correction--Pletcher's A-Rod third and Dilger's Steet Babe for fourth. Thanks, tmallios :) · 134 days ago
  • amino998 · Everyone here should have read this great book and taken note at the under title..The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable :) · 14 hours ago
Come on big boy! I know you can do it!
Everyone here should read this great book and take note at the under title..The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable:
Tepin – lost by a nose in the Diana, winner of 3 of her last 4, fast speed, Leparoux knows the turf, I don’t think post 1 is a bad spot to be ion the turf. My Miss Sophia – hoping to rebound from 4th in the Diana, may like shorter distance, less pressure Kitten’s Queen – like the cat horses, knows the track, knows the distance, two 3rds preceded by 2 wins, hope Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz can get up to first. Just Missed – Coffee Clique.
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Meet Jasen Mangrum

My interest in the Sport of Kings goes back over 25 years with my father taking me with his friends to the old Ak-Sar-Ben Race Course in Omaha, NE.  From those early experiences I was able to read the Daily Racing Form before the age of 10.  Once The Woodlands opened in Kansas City in 1988, I became totally hooked on the sport studying racing charts after homework and tennis practice.  In recent years, with the explosion of handicapping tournaments, my love for handicapping the races has risen to a new level.  Primarily focused on New York, Chicago and Louisiana racing, I have now been forced to study races far and wide in attempt to find “cap horses” in the tournaments I play.  I have also dabbled in horse ownership within syndicates and on my own.


My fondest memories in racing include Silver Charm’s 1997 Kentucky Derby victory.  Both my father and I selected him, which made for a memorable day.  The best race I’ve seen was Tiznow’s first Breeders Cup Classic win in 2000 when he outdueled Giant’s Causeway down the length of the Churchill Downs stretch.   My biggest windfall as a gambler was a pool-scooping pick-4 win, paying over $6,600 at The Woodlands in 2005.


The point of this blog is to get everyone out there a few winners, but also to go in depth at how I come to the conclusions that I do.  From week to week, I’ll explain angles I think are important to locate winners.  I encourage others to post picks they like too, but please explain how you come to your conclusions.  That way everyone can learn a little more about this great game, and add another weapon to their handicapping arsenal.-Best of luck, Jasen Mangrum

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