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HRN Original Blog:
Handicapper's Corner

Family, Food & Fair Grounds

Hero of Order (no. 12), ridden by Eddie Martin Jr. and trained by Gennadi Dorochenko, wins the 99th running of the grade 2 Louisiana Derby for three year olds on April 1, 2012 at Fair Grounds Race Course in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Bob Mayberger/Eclipse Sportswire)

Racing at Fair Grounds Race Course kicks off for the year with their traditional Thanksgiving Day card highlighted by the Mr. Sulu stakes for state breds and the Thanksgiving Handicap, which sees the return of Gantry from the Breeders' Cup Sprint and course specialist, Cash Refund 


The early pick-4 merits a looks as 2 of the legs appear to be pretty wide open. Here's a multiple ticket approach to playing the sequence.


 Race A B C X
 2 2   1,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12
 3 5,9,11,12  2,3,8 1,4,6,7,10,13,14
 4 6  3,8 1,2,4,5,7
 5 4,5,6 9 1,2,3,10 3,7,8

 

Race 2


I usually do not just use a single horse in a race, but #2 Fantastical in the 2nd race appears to lay over this field. He owns superior speed figures, and is the lone speed in the race. If Fantastical does not get the job done, I will just drown my sorrows in more gravy.

 

Race 3

 

This is a wide-open state-bred Maiden Special Weight race. #11 Another Shoes is a first-time starter who has worked well for this spot (last 5 works are all 7 days apart) for a trainer that is 14% with debut runners. #5 Taralicious ran great first out at Remington Park for a trainer that has not won a race in 2012. Expect an improved effort with a switch to the Bret Calhoun barn. #12 Chocolat City has flashed early speed against open maidens in his 2 career starts at Churchill and Keeneland. His early foot should be even more evident with this class drop.

 

Race 4

 

#6 Outta Tune was a graded-stakes winner earlier this year at Oaklawn Park and should be well prepared for this, since he is 2nd off the layoff. Outta Tune shows 2 victories in his PPs with this angle and his trainer, Chris Hartman, is 28% with these types. #3 Hard Case & #8 Hudson's Creek are both fringe players with good tactical speed that could land in the winner's circle by duplicating their best career efforts.

 

Race 5

 

#5 Yonaguska Storm returns from a August layoff for a trainer that is 22% with horses that have been away for at least 90 days. He is undefeated sprinting and been working locally the last month for this spot. #6 Raiseanothergator appears to be a horse for course with his only loss at FG coming to Bourbon Courage, who can be seen in the Clark Handicap on Saturday. Trainer Tom Amoss specifically points his horses for this meet, so don't let the 8-month layoff bother you. #4 Tensas Cold Front's speed figures fit with these and there should be enough early speed to set up his late kick, but he seems more suited to route racing. He should be respected, but this looks like a spot where he is prepping for bigger things down the road.

 

Pick-4 Tickets

 

$0.50 2/2,3,5,8,9,11,12/6/1,2,3,4,5,6,9,10=$28

 

$0.50 2/5,9,11,12/3,8/4,5,6=$12

 

$1.50 2/5,9,11,12/6/4,5,6=$18

 

$0.50 2/5,9,11,12/6/9=$2

 

$1.50 2/5,11/6/4,5,6=$9

 

Please be sure to follow me on Twitter-@Cappercorner and/or friend me on facebook.com to continue the horse racing conversation!

 

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Older Comments about Family, Food & Fair Grounds ...

I think I'll have a little taste of FG Pick 4 thanks to Jasen. Happy Thanksgiving, Capper.
Since #3 is scratched in race 3, let's replace with #4 to keep the ticket price the same.
Turkey goes best with winning Pick 4 tickets ... Best of luck, Jasen!
I like when the cook annunces the soup of the day there......Old Huey Long would love to hear it almost as much as his beloved LSU fight song. What a nutty guy.
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Meet Jasen Mangrum

My interest in the Sport of Kings goes back over 25 years with my father taking me with his friends to the old Ak-Sar-Ben Race Course in Omaha, NE.  From those early experiences I was able to read the Daily Racing Form before the age of 10.  Once The Woodlands opened in Kansas City in 1988, I became totally hooked on the sport studying racing charts after homework and tennis practice.  In recent years, with the explosion of handicapping tournaments, my love for handicapping the races has risen to a new level.  Primarily focused on New York, Chicago and Louisiana racing, I have now been forced to study races far and wide in attempt to find “cap horses” in the tournaments I play.  I have also dabbled in horse ownership within syndicates and on my own.

 

My fondest memories in racing include Silver Charm’s 1997 Kentucky Derby victory.  Both my father and I selected him, which made for a memorable day.  The best race I’ve seen was Tiznow’s first Breeders Cup Classic win in 2000 when he outdueled Giant’s Causeway down the length of the Churchill Downs stretch.   My biggest windfall as a gambler was a pool-scooping pick-4 win, paying over $6,600 at The Woodlands in 2005.

 

The point of this blog is to get everyone out there a few winners, but also to go in depth at how I come to the conclusions that I do.  From week to week, I’ll explain angles I think are important to locate winners.  I encourage others to post picks they like too, but please explain how you come to your conclusions.  That way everyone can learn a little more about this great game, and add another weapon to their handicapping arsenal.-Best of luck, Jasen Mangrum