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Handicapper's Corner

Breeders' Cup Longshots

No waxing poetic this week folks…..it’s finals time!  We’ve been studying all year for the two-day comprehensive exam known as the Breeders’ Cup.  Over the next few days I’ll share my selections for all the races, but today is about a wager that I utilize on big race days when fields are large and contentious: the 10-cent superfecta.  The 10-cent super allows players to build massive tickets for minimal cost, where 1 or 2 correct opinions during the course of the Breeders’ Cup will put them in the black.  One of my favorite variations is to find a horse that is 10-1 or greater and wheel them in 3rd and 4th (maybe 2nd) with other contenders.  For example, a 3x1x5x7 ($6), 3x5x1x7 ($6) and 3x5x7x1 ($6) can give you a lot of coverage for only $18.  Normally with this play, if I don’t wheel my key horse 2nd in the superfecta, I may wheel him in the place spot of exactas with the 3 horses on the top line of my superfecta wheels (depending on the will pays).  Let’s take a look at some horses I’ve pinpointed that could be great candidates for these “reverse pyramid” superfecta wheels this weekend.


Juvenile Fillies Turf-#2 Dayatthespa (12-1)


Dayatthespa was the only horse to last through a contentious speed dual last out, in what was arguably the most important prep for this race, the Grade 3 Natalma Stakes at Woodbine.  She has tactical speed, well drawn and should be able to get a piece of this purse.  

Play 
10,13,14/2/6,10,12,13,14/4,5,6,10,12,13,14=$6
10,13,14/6,10,12,13,14/2/4,5,6,10,12,13,14=$6
10,13,14/6,10,12,13,14/4,5,6,10,12,13,14/2=$6 Grand Total $18


Juvenile Turf-#2 Fantastic Song (20-1)
















Fantastic Song ran wide the entire way, into a dawdling pace in his last race, the Grade 3 Pilgrim Stakes at Belmont.  Previous to that, Fantastic Song won first time out at Saratoga going 2 turns, breaking from the far outside (a rare feat) while defeating fellow BC participant, #10 Animal Spirits (8-1 morning line).  After his Saratoga try, Animal Spirits captured the Grade 3 Bourbon Stakes at Keeneland.  This is a wide open race, so use as many as you’d like, for a 10-cent superfecta could be an IRS score.  At 20-1 or higher, I may contemplate a win wager as well.

Play 
4,5,13/2/4,5,7,8,13/4,5,7,8,10,13,14=$6
4,5,13/4,5,7,8,13/2/4,5,7,8,10,13,14=$6
4,5,13/4,5,7,8,13/4,5,7,8,10,13,14/2=$6 Grand Total $18


Whoever you decide to bet on this weekend, think about playing around with 10-cent superfectas.  There are many variations of this wager that can make your Breeders’ Cup profitable for the cost of lunch.


Please be sure to follow me on Twitter-@Cappercorner and/or friend me on facebook.com to continue the horse racing conversation!

 

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One of Castellano's winners ... I'm all over Fantastic Song!
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Meet Jasen Mangrum

My interest in the Sport of Kings goes back over 25 years with my father taking me with his friends to the old Ak-Sar-Ben Race Course in Omaha, NE.  From those early experiences I was able to read the Daily Racing Form before the age of 10.  Once The Woodlands opened in Kansas City in 1988, I became totally hooked on the sport studying racing charts after homework and tennis practice.  In recent years, with the explosion of handicapping tournaments, my love for handicapping the races has risen to a new level.  Primarily focused on New York, Chicago and Louisiana racing, I have now been forced to study races far and wide in attempt to find “cap horses” in the tournaments I play.  I have also dabbled in horse ownership within syndicates and on my own.

 

My fondest memories in racing include Silver Charm’s 1997 Kentucky Derby victory.  Both my father and I selected him, which made for a memorable day.  The best race I’ve seen was Tiznow’s first Breeders Cup Classic win in 2000 when he outdueled Giant’s Causeway down the length of the Churchill Downs stretch.   My biggest windfall as a gambler was a pool-scooping pick-4 win, paying over $6,600 at The Woodlands in 2005.

 

The point of this blog is to get everyone out there a few winners, but also to go in depth at how I come to the conclusions that I do.  From week to week, I’ll explain angles I think are important to locate winners.  I encourage others to post picks they like too, but please explain how you come to your conclusions.  That way everyone can learn a little more about this great game, and add another weapon to their handicapping arsenal.-Best of luck, Jasen Mangrum