Photo: Eclipse Spotswire
Gulfstream Park is offering
us a very thorny sequence for Saturday’s Pick 5. We have a turf sprint, a
couple of jam packed turf routes, a 2 year old maiden route, and a tricky
stakes sprint to navigate through. I chose to go light on my ticket and take a
few shots with a couple of singles to cut down the cost of my play. I could
definitely understand if you want to go deep here, as it is a very tough series
of races. I just could not find any rock solid opinions so I stepped lightly. The
action kicks off with a 5 panel turf sprint, let’s start there…..
Race 6: I always find these short turf
sprints especially tough. It seems to me these types of races or either won by
a blazing front runner or someone closing like a freight train after a pace
collapse. The hard part is figuring out which scenario will happen. I played it
safe in this case and went with what I believe is the speed of the speed, and
also used a pair I think will be coming from off of it. I went with the trio of
Cavetto, Perfect Package, and Subtle.
If Subtle is able to secure the lead rather easily he could be long gone. But,
if he is bothered up front, and there are other speeds in here, he may get
nipped at the wire. The 2 I thought had the best shot at doing the nipping are
Cavetto and Perfect Package. Cavetto is coming in off of a layoff after
breaking his maiden at Saratoga
at first asking and Christophe Clement
should have him ready to roll. As for Perfect Package, he is facing winners for
the 1st time as well and I like the fact Paco Lopez stays on. He is cutting back from a route for this and I
think he will be coming late.
Race 7: I looked at this maiden route 2
ways, either single or go deep. I chose to single Todd Pletcher’s Palace Gate.
At 8/1 on the morning line, I don’t think we will get that, he has a big shot.
You have to trust Todd in here. If he sees fit to throw this guy back on dirt
and move him up in class, I have to believe he is going to run well. There are
a lot of contenders in here with potential upside, I just felt by singling this
one it may give me an edge going deeper in other legs.
Race 8: I whittled this N1X/OC75k turf
route down to 3 contenders, and I am just hoping to stay alive. I will use Camden
Battle Is On, and School On a Hill.
is facing winners for the 1st time while getting a best last out
Beyer of 82 while breaking his maiden at first asking. If he runs back to that,
he will be tough. The Battle Is On is dropping out of a restricted stakes race
for this. He gets a better post than his last, he broke widest of all, and gets
the services of Javier Castellano. I
expect him to run well. School On a Hill goes out 2nd off the layoff
for Wayne Catalano. He will add
blinkers for this and I expect an improved effort.
Race 9: The main event of the day, the Grade 3 Sugar Swirl for fillies and
mares going 6 furlongs, I saw as a tough race. In my opinion, it boiled down to
the 2 morning line favorites, but I wouldn’t be too shocked if someone pulled
an upset. With that being said though, I am going to single Heart Stealer. I just think R Free Roll will not have it easy up
front. Crazy About Me and Classic Point should be gunning for the lead and I
think Heart Stealer may get the perfect trip. If one of the other speeds should
scratch though, I would either include R Free Roll or possibly even end up
singling her. As is though, I like the trip Heart Stealer should get and I love
Javier Castellano jumping aboard. If anyone upsets this, I believe it will be Munnings Sister. She is dropping out of
a couple of Grade 2’s in New York
and may be able to work out a nice trip herself. I just don’t trust her and
that’s why I ended up where I did. In interesting one to include underneath I
believe is Twice Told Tale. She had
some trouble in her last and I think she may run better today.
Race 10: I went 4 deep here, using 2 logical
choices and 2 bombs, in this claiming turf route. I will use Target Sighted, Favorite Ketch, Northwood
Bully, and Exeter Road.
Target Sighted is coming in off a big drop from a N2X and its now or never time
for him. He must be included, but I do not trust him completely. Favorite Ketch
is going 2nd off the layoff with Paco Lopez staying aboard. He has a
money burning tendency, but I will include him defensively. Northwood Bully is
a very interesting long shot in my opinion. He goes out for a new barn today
and he brings some back class to the table. At 30/1 on the morning line, I will
take my chances and have him on my ticket. Exeter Road, who gets back on the turf
for this, has a shot as well if he can run back to his start at Delaware Park. At 15/1 on the morning line, I
believe he is worth including.
The Play: I will step lightly while playing
an $18 dollar ticket for fifty cents. I will go 5-6-11 with 5 with 3-6-9 with 3
As always, I hope I helped shore up your own opinions, or
turned you onto something you may not have originally seen. Best of luck, everyone.
I wish you all a winning day.