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HRN Original Blog:
Across the Board with Mike B

Aqueduct: Fall Highweight Analysis

Sage Valley MD 615 X 400
Photo: Eclipse Sportswire

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! We have a nice Grade 3 sprint on our hands come Thursday in the Fall Highweight at Aqueduct. An interesting, and diverse group of 8 will take center stage going 6 panels on the main. Let’s get to know the field and find out who the pretenders and contenders are on this turkey day affair. From the rail out are:

                                                                                           

2 - Saturday’s Charm: If this horse wins I will smash my face into a bowl of mashed potatoes and tweet out a picture of it. No offense to this one or the connections, I just feel he has been a bit of a money burner and he did not draw well for this. He does own a win here, but he just seems to settle a bit too much for my liking. Pretender.

 

3 - Caixa Electronica: How can you not like this horse? He is a 23 time winner and is about as cool as a racehorse can be. He is coming into this off a little vacation and I expect him to run well. He took down last year’s edition and you have to respect him in here again. While I believe he is a contender, I am going to limit his use to underneath as a like a few others a little bit more in here. None the less, contender.

 

4 - Jake N Elwood: The only thing I like about this one is his name. I view his as nothing more than a pace factor. I just feel he is in over his head here and may need lesser to fulfill his true potential. Pretender.

 

5 - Palace: This one is coming in off a nice win while taking down a state-bred stakes. He overcame breaking from the rail to draw off to a visually impressive win.  He gets the class test here and I expect him to pass. He is 2/2 at The Big A and loves 6 panels. He has a very big shot in my eyes. Contender.

 

1 - B Shanny: The weaker part of the entry in my opinion. He has some talent, but I think he would be better served in the state-bred ranks. He is another one I consider a pace factor. Pretender.

 

6 - Strapping Groom: I am against this one in here. I thought he had everything his own way in his last and he just didn’t get it done. I think he is on the down swing of his form cycle and he will get no easy go of it on the front end today. Pretender. 

 

1A - The Lumber Guy: This one is kind of tricky. He is dropping out of two straight Grade 1 races, the last being the BC Sprint. Two back he pressed a strong pace in the Vosburgh set by eventual winner and super fast Private Zone. It is now or never for this one. He still is living off his reputation from last year and has burned some money this year. If he can’t get it done on the drop in class, we may just have to face the facts and realize he is not the same charge he once was a year ago. With all that said, he is a contender but I would tread lightly here. I would only use if the price is right. Contender.

 

7 - Sage Valley: This Rudy Rodriguez charge is coming off a short freshening and I believe he should be ready to roll. He owns a win over this oval and has 3 wins at the trip. He is coming in after getting sloppy tracks in his last 2 starts. If he runs back to the last time he had a dry track, when he took down the Grade 3 James Marvin at Saratoga, everyone is running for 2nd. With Joel Rosario in the irons, and a nice draw on the outside, this one has a serious shot in my opinion. Contender.

 

The Play: I am going to play an exacta part-wheel in here with 5-7 with 1A-3-5-7. Two dollar play will cost you $12. If I was going to play multi-race wagers, I think I would use 5-7, or possibly throw in the 1A.

 

As always, I wish everyone a winning day. I hope I helped you lock up your own opinions or turned you onto something you may have missed. Happy Thanksgiving, folks. Best of luck to you all.

 

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Ta Wee under what was it 140 or 142?
We shall see Mike B #strapping groom

 Meet Michael Barry   

 

 It all started 5 years ago for me after a spur of the moment trip to Saratoga Springs with my future wife.  I had always bet on the Triple Crown races, and made a few trips to Suffolk Downs annually, but not until that journey to The Spa did things get serious for me.  I fell in love with horse racing right then and there and I haven’t looked back since.  The following year I read every handicapping book I could get my hands on.  I became, and still am, a very passionate student of the game. 

 

Through this blog I hope to take you guys through my favorite aspect of the game, which is breaking down races and doping out winners.  I focus my attention between the NYRA circuit (mostly), Gulfstream Park, and Keeneland.  I also plan to provide very thorough coverage leading up to the Kentucky Derby and Breeders Cup.  I love analyzing the prep races leading up to both of those grand events. 

 

Wagering wise, I love playing pick 4’s and 5’s, and I have enjoyed some success in the past playing those types of exotics.  In any given race, I try to attack based on strength of opinion and value.  That may be in the form of an exacta, trifecta, superfecta, daily double, pick 3, or by laddering my choice across the board.  Every race is its own animal and must be played accordingly.

 

Personally, I am a graduate of Boston University and reside on the South Shore of Massachusetts with my beautiful wife Tara and wonderful son Finn.  I work as a technician for a communications company by day. 

 

I can be found on Twitter @mbarry24 and I’m always up to discuss anything horse racing related.